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Ice Lab

Wed, Dec 21, 2011·HP Pavilion at San Jose, San Jose

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, San Jose Sharks 7

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 95% of the time.

SJS winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:36Mitchell: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Handzus, Burns, Mitchell, McGinn, Demers · TBL Clark, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Malone, Stamkos

  3. P1 0:57Shot by St. Louis, saved by Niemi4v5
  4. P1 2:36Shot by Purcell, saved by Niemi
  5. P1 3:25Shot by Ferriero, saved by Garon
  6. P1 3:26Goal by Ferriero (Thornton, Boyle)+16 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Boyle, Pavelski, Vlasic, Ferriero · TBL Brewer, Moore, Downie, Purcell, Hedman

  7. P1 4:26Bergeron: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: SJS White, Marleau, Clowe, Braun, Couture · TBL St. Louis, Lecavalier, Moore, Bergeron, Gervais

  8. P1 4:22Shot by Couture, saved by Garon
  9. P1 4:29Shot by Burns, saved by Garon5v4
  10. P1 4:50Shot by Burns, saved by Garon5v4
  11. P1 4:51Goal by Pavelski (Burns, Thornton)5v4+9 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Marleau, Boyle, Burns, Pavelski · TBL Brewer, Hall, Pyatt, Hedman

  12. P1 6:18Shot by Desjardins, saved by Garon
  13. P1 6:21Goal by Desjardins (Murray)+7 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Murray, Burns, Desjardins, McGinn, Demers · TBL Brewer, Shannon, Jones, Purcell, Hedman

  14. P1 6:37Shot by Kubina, saved by Niemi
  15. P1 12:34Shot by Vlasic, saved by Roloson
  16. P1 13:13Goal by Couture (Marleau, Clowe)+4 pts WP

    On ice: SJS White, Marleau, Clowe, Braun, Couture · TBL Clark, Kubina, Malone, Downie, Stamkos

  17. P1 13:46Moore: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Winchester, Murray, Burns, Desjardins, Demers · TBL Moore, Bergeron, Gervais, Shannon, Jones

  18. P1 14:46Shot by Clowe, saved by Roloson5v4
  19. P1 14:47Goal by Couture (Handzus, Clowe)5v4+2 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Handzus, Clowe, Braun, Couture, Demers · TBL Brewer, Jones, Tyrell, Hedman

  20. P1 15:19Shot by Mitchell, saved by Roloson
  21. P1 15:34Shot by Malone, saved by Niemi
  22. P1 15:38Goal by Moore (Brewer)+2 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Handzus, Burns, Mitchell, McGinn, Demers · TBL Brewer, Malone, Moore, Purcell, Hedman

  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:43Shot by Purcell, saved by Niemi
  26. P2 0:56Shot by Pavelski, saved by Roloson
  27. P2 0:57Shot by Thornton, saved by Roloson
  28. P2 1:49Shot by Clowe, saved by Roloson
  29. P2 2:54Shot by Murray, saved by Roloson
  30. P2 2:57Shot by Murray, saved by Roloson
  31. P2 3:09Shot by Jones, saved by Niemi
  32. P2 3:45Shot by Purcell, saved by Niemi
  33. P2 4:52Shot by Bergeron, saved by Niemi
  34. P2 5:52Shot by Winchester, saved by Roloson
  35. P2 5:57Shot by Winchester, saved by Roloson
  36. P2 6:59Shot by Handzus, saved by Roloson
  37. P2 7:20Shot by McGinn, saved by Roloson
  38. P2 7:35Shot by Thornton, saved by Roloson
  39. P2 7:36Shot by Pavelski, saved by Roloson
  40. P2 8:12Shot by Boyle, saved by Roloson
  41. P2 8:35Shot by Thornton, saved by Roloson
  42. P2 8:54Shot by St. Louis, saved by Niemi
  43. P2 10:34Shot by Downie, saved by Niemi
  44. P2 10:35Vlasic: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Boyle, Mitchell, Vlasic, Desjardins, McGinn · TBL Clark, Kubina, Downie, Jones, Tyrell

  45. P2 11:51Shot by Stamkos, saved by Niemi4v5
  46. P2 12:10Shot by Kubina, saved by Niemi4v5
  47. P2 12:40Shot by Downie, saved by Niemi
  48. P2 12:54Shot by Thornton, saved by Roloson
  49. P2 13:55Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Niemi
  50. P2 14:46Shot by Couture, saved by Roloson
  51. P2 15:05Clowe: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Clowe, Burns, Ferriero, Couture, Demers · TBL Kubina, Brewer, St. Louis, Malone, Moore

  52. P2 15:03Shot by Burns, saved by Roloson
  53. P2 16:08Shot by Bergeron, saved by Niemi4v5
  54. P2 16:15Shot by Downie, saved by Niemi4v5
  55. P2 16:52Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Niemi4v5
  56. P2 17:18Shot by Brewer, saved by Niemi
  57. P2 17:26Shot by Hall, saved by Niemi
  58. P2 18:10Shot by Winchester, saved by Roloson6v5
  59. P2 18:21Jones: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Marleau, Winchester, Murray, Burns, Desjardins, Demers · TBL Clark, Moore, Jones, Pyatt, Hedman

  60. P2 19:01Shot by Boyle, saved by Roloson5v4
  61. P2 19:11Shot by Marleau, saved by Roloson5v4
  62. P2 0:00Period end
  63. P3 0:00Period start
  64. P3 0:15Shot by Couture, saved by Roloson5v4
  65. P3 1:11Shot by Pavelski, saved by Roloson
  66. P3 1:15Goal by Burns (Handzus)0 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Handzus, Burns, Mitchell, McGinn, Demers · TBL Clark, Malone, Moore, Purcell, Hedman

  67. P3 2:21Downie: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Boyle, Pavelski, Vlasic, Ferriero · TBL St. Louis, Bergeron, Gervais, Downie, Pyatt

  68. P3 2:24Handzus: High sticking double minor (4 min)5v4

    On ice: SJS Handzus, Boyle, Clowe, Burns, Couture · TBL Kubina, Brewer, Hall, Jones

  69. P3 3:23Shot by Mitchell, saved by Roloson4v4
  70. P3 4:01Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Niemi4v4
  71. P3 4:50Shot by Marleau, saved by Roloson4v5
  72. P3 7:45Goal by St. Louis (Purcell)0 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Boyle, Pavelski, McGinn, Demers · TBL Kubina, St. Louis, Hall, Purcell, Hedman

  73. P3 10:55Shot by Thornton, saved by Roloson
  74. P3 12:04Shot by Clowe, saved by Roloson
  75. P3 12:39Shot by Couture, saved by Roloson
  76. P3 12:40Shot by Couture, saved by Roloson
  77. P3 12:41Goal by Marleau, unassisted0 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Marleau, Clowe, Burns, Couture, Demers · TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Malone, Bergeron, Jones

  78. P3 13:17Shot by Pyatt, saved by Niemi
  79. P3 16:05Shot by Stamkos, saved by Niemi
  80. P3 16:53Shot by McGinn, saved by Roloson
  81. P3 0:00Period end
  82. P3 0:00Final