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Ice Lab

Fri, Dec 23, 2011·American Airlines Center, Dallas

Nashville Predators 3, Dallas Stars 6

Away

Nashville Predators

3

Final

Home

Dallas Stars

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 59% of the time.

DAL winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:27Shot by Grossmann, saved by Rinne
  3. P1 2:47Shot by Burish, saved by Rinne
  4. P1 3:23Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Bachman
  5. P1 3:56Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Bachman
  6. P1 4:50Shot by Dvorak, saved by Rinne
  7. P1 4:59Shot by Dvorak, saved by Rinne
  8. P1 5:10Shot by Spaling, saved by Bachman
  9. P1 5:59Shot by Erat, saved by Bachman
  10. P1 6:01Shot by Smith, saved by Bachman
  11. P1 6:23Shot by Erat, saved by Bachman
  12. P1 7:24Shot by Kostitsyn, saved by Bachman
  13. P1 9:25Goal by Fiddler (Dvorak, Souray)+17 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Souray, Dvorak, Fiddler, Nystrom, Larsen · NSH Bouillon, Smithson, Geoffrion, Halischuk, Josi

  14. P1 10:41Goal by Eriksson (Daley, Ryder)+12 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Ryder, Daley, Eriksson, Grossmann, Benn · NSH Bouillon, Tootoo, Spaling, Wilson, Josi

  15. P1 12:30Goal by Ott (Daley, Ribeiro)+7 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Morrow, Ribeiro, Ott, Daley, Grossmann · NSH Smithson, Suter, Weber, Geoffrion, Halischuk

  16. P1 16:23Shot by Weber, saved by Bachman
  17. P1 16:38Shot by Nystrom, saved by Lindback
  18. P1 16:47Shot by Smith, saved by Bachman
  19. P1 17:37Eriksson: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DAL Ryder, Daley, Eriksson, Grossmann, Benn · NSH Bouillon, Legwand, Fisher, Kostitsyn, Hornqvist, Josi

  20. P1 17:35Shot by Bouillon, saved by Bachman5v6
  21. P1 17:48Shot by Fisher, saved by Bachman4v5
  22. P1 18:05Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Bachman4v5
  23. P1 18:23Shot by Weber, saved by Bachman4v5
  24. P1 19:28Shot by Kostitsyn, saved by Bachman4v6
  25. P1 19:29Daley: Holding (2 min)4v6

    On ice: DAL Ribeiro, Daley, Grossmann, Benn · NSH Legwand, Erat, Suter, Kostitsyn, Wilson, Smith

  26. P1 19:43Shot by Weber, saved by Bachman4v5
  27. P1 19:51Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Bachman4v5
  28. P1 19:57Shot by Weber, saved by Bachman4v5
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 0:18Shot by Weber, saved by Bachman4v5
  32. P2 0:53Shot by Smith, saved by Bachman4v5
  33. P2 3:21Shot by Wandell, saved by Lindback6v5
  34. P2 3:47Tootoo: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DAL Ribeiro, Burish, Daley, Nystrom, Pardy, Wandell · NSH Smithson, Tootoo, Geoffrion, Blum, Hillen

  35. P2 4:42Shot by Goligoski, saved by Lindback5v4
  36. P2 4:43Shot by Morrow, saved by Lindback5v4
  37. P2 4:51Shot by Daley, saved by Lindback5v4
  38. P2 5:05Shot by Suter, saved by Bachman5v4
  39. P2 5:47Shot by Daley, saved by Lindback5v4
  40. P2 6:15Shot by Larsen, saved by Lindback
  41. P2 6:57Shot by Spaling, saved by Bachman
  42. P2 7:16Shot by Wilson, saved by Bachman
  43. P2 7:21Shot by Tootoo, saved by Bachman
  44. P2 8:17Shot by Pardy, saved by Lindback
  45. P2 8:56Goal by Halischuk (Geoffrion, Smithson)+6 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Dvorak, Fiddler, Daley, Nystrom, Pardy · NSH Bouillon, Smithson, Geoffrion, Halischuk, Hillen

  46. P2 8:55Shot by Geoffrion, saved by Bachman
  47. P2 9:09Shot by Halischuk, saved by Bachman
  48. P2 9:34Shot by Nystrom, saved by Lindback
  49. P2 10:29Burish: Kneeing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DAL Ott, Burish, Daley, Grossmann, Wandell · NSH Fisher, Erat, Suter, Weber, Kostitsyn, Hornqvist

  50. P2 10:41Shot by Fisher, saved by Bachman4v5
  51. P2 11:00Shot by Fisher, saved by Bachman4v5
  52. P2 11:06Grossmann: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DAL Dvorak, Fiddler, Daley, Grossmann · NSH Fisher, Erat, Suter, Weber, Hornqvist

  53. P2 11:45Goal by Erat (Suter, Weber)3v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Ribeiro, Fistric, Larsen · NSH Fisher, Erat, Suter, Weber, Hornqvist

  54. P2 13:07Shot by Josi, saved by Bachman
  55. P2 13:41Shot by Wandell, saved by Lindback
  56. P2 14:10Goal by Ribeiro (Morrow, Ott)+13 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Morrow, Ribeiro, Ott, Daley, Grossmann · NSH Fisher, Suter, Weber, Kostitsyn, Hornqvist

  57. P2 18:33Shot by Dvorak, saved by Lindback
  58. P2 19:02Shot by Burish, saved by Lindback
  59. P2 19:03Smithson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Burish, Goligoski, Wandell, Benn, Larsen · NSH Bouillon, Smithson, Tootoo, Kostitsyn, Josi

  60. P2 19:42Shot by Suter, saved by Bachman5v4
  61. P2 19:59Shot by Goligoski, saved by Lindback5v4
  62. P2 0:00Period end
  63. P3 0:00Period start
  64. P3 1:48Shot by Ryder, saved by Lindback
  65. P3 3:00Shot by Nystrom, saved by Lindback
  66. P3 3:58Goligoski: Delaying game (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Morrow, Ribeiro, Ott, Goligoski, Larsen · NSH Tootoo, Suter, Weber, Spaling, Wilson

  67. P3 4:19Shot by Dvorak, saved by Lindback4v5
  68. P3 4:38Goal by Legwand (Wilson, Smith)4v5+12 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Nystrom, Fistric, Benn, Larsen · NSH Legwand, Suter, Weber, Wilson, Smith

  69. P3 5:08Goal by Benn (Eriksson, Ryder)+13 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Ryder, Eriksson, Goligoski, Benn, Larsen · NSH Bouillon, Fisher, Kostitsyn, Hornqvist, Josi

  70. P3 5:34Shot by Smith, saved by Bachman
  71. P3 9:53Shot by Benn, saved by Lindback
  72. P3 11:04Shot by Smith, saved by Bachman
  73. P3 14:08Shot by Halischuk, saved by Bachman
  74. P3 14:28Geoffrion: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Burish, Goligoski, Wandell, Benn, Larsen · NSH Smithson, Suter, Weber, Geoffrion, Halischuk

  75. P3 15:18Shot by Eriksson, saved by Lindback5v4
  76. P3 15:40Shot by Ryder, saved by Lindback5v4
  77. P3 17:10Shot by Fisher, saved by Bachman
  78. P3 17:53Goal by Ryder (Benn)5v6+1 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Ryder, Eriksson, Goligoski, Benn, Larsen · NSH Fisher, Suter, Weber, Kostitsyn, Hornqvist, Halischuk

  79. P3 18:10Shot by Spaling, saved by Bachman
  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. P3 0:00Final