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Ice Lab

Fri, Dec 23, 2011·American Airlines Center, Dallas

Nashville Predators 3, Dallas Stars 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 59% of the time.

DAL winsNSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DAL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Legwand–Erat–SmithFisher–Kostitsyn–HornqvistTootoo–Spaling–WilsonSmithson–Geoffrion–HalischukTootoo–Geoffrion–SpalingSuter–WeberBouillon–JosiBlum–HillenBlum–JosiSuter–JosiBouillon–HillenBouillon–Blum
Morrow–Ribeiro–Ott2:450.06–0.153:000.06–0.073:020.00–0.010:470.05–0.007:320.17–0.272:570.00–0.050:340.00–0.00
Dvorak–Fiddler–Nystrom1:550.16–0.062:460.01–0.130:440.00–0.021:510.12–0.341:490.32–0.061:150.10–0.005:080.09–0.130:310.00–0.01
Ryder–Eriksson–Benn4:080.00–0.471:330.28–0.002:030.11–0.002:400.00–0.434:270.39–0.040:580.02–0.00
Burish–Wandell–Benn0:410.00–0.001:250.03–0.040:550.00–0.041:300.18–0.000:410.03–0.00
Burish–Nystrom–Wandell1:120.00–0.060:410.00–0.061:580.00–0.00
Burish–Eriksson–Wandell0:340.01–0.000:390.00–0.000:390.01–0.00
Dvorak–Morrow–Fiddler0:540.06–0.010:540.06–0.01
Daley–Grossmann3:440.06–0.554:570.07–0.041:390.08–0.010:460.08–0.005:480.10–0.563:240.11–0.052:570.10–0.000:430.00–0.00
Goligoski–Larsen4:240.02–0.071:210.28–0.000:400.00–0.081:340.06–0.063:500.01–0.152:500.48–0.121:280.00–0.011:290.04–0.09
Fistric–Pardy3:000.02–0.060:580.00–0.000:430.06–0.001:270.00–0.061:110.01–0.002:210.10–0.000:440.01–0.001:060.02–0.00
Souray–Larsen1:280.19–0.041:200.00–0.130:560.10–0.002:340.18–0.040:420.10–0.001:230.02–0.13
Fistric–Goligoski1:000.00–0.010:500.00–0.000:590.00–0.001:200.00–0.011:310.00–0.00
Pardy–Larsen0:330.00–0.000:300.00–0.000:530.00–0.00
Goligoski–Pardy1:080.00–0.001:110.00–0.00
Souray–Goligoski0:440.00–0.02
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndDvorak FNystrom FFiddler FBenn FEriksson FRyder FMorrow FOtt FRibeiro FBurish FWandell FLarsen DSouray DGrossmann DDaley DPardy DGoligoski DFistric DBachman GFisher FHornqvist FKostitsyn FSmith FErat FLegwand FSpaling FTootoo FWilson FGeoffrion FHalischuk FSmithson FWeber DSuter DBlum DHillen DBouillon DJosi DRinne GLindback G
DALNSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Ryan SuterNSH2929:391:012:3646
Shea WeberNSH3027:200:552:5757
Alex GoligoskiDAL2624:080:562:2042
Philip LarsenDAL2723:120:521:5444
Trevor DaleyDAL2721:220:471:4053
Martin EratNSH2520:340:491:1852
Mike RibeiroDAL2219:330:531:4543
David LegwandNSH2519:300:471:2251
Steve OttDAL2218:420:511:3753
Brenden MorrowDAL2118:300:531:2453
Jamie BennDAL2418:090:451:1642
Roman JosiNSH2617:570:411:4323
Nicklas GrossmannDAL2517:520:431:2554
Mike FisherNSH2417:420:441:5625
Craig SmithNSH2117:060:491:1651
Vernon FiddlerDAL2316:460:441:1705
Eric NystromDAL2116:390:481:3101
Loui ErikssonDAL2116:350:471:3413
Sergei KostitsynNSH2416:210:411:2314
Francis BouillonNSH2115:500:451:5822
Nick SpalingNSH2115:420:451:5413
Jordin TootooNSH1915:280:491:5811
Patric HornqvistNSH2015:270:461:5624
Radek DvorakDAL2115:150:441:1704
Jonathon BlumNSH1614:150:531:2810
Colin WilsonNSH1614:120:531:5410
Mark FistricDAL1914:010:441:2204
Jack HillenNSH1613:060:491:2401
Michael RyderDAL1712:580:461:4022
Adam PardyDAL1411:480:511:3512
Tom WandellDAL129:560:501:3121
Adam BurishDAL129:300:481:3121
Blake GeoffrionNSH148:450:381:0820
Jerred SmithsonNSH148:010:341:0812
Sheldon SourayDAL117:560:431:0213
Matt HalischukNSH147:370:331:0821