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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 29, 2011·RBC Center, Raleigh

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Carolina Hurricanes 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 54% of the time.

CAR winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:24Shot by Faulk, saved by Reimer
  3. P1 1:26Shot by Tlusty, saved by Reimer
  4. P1 4:15Goal by Sutter (Bowman)+16 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Harrison, LaRose, Sutter, Bowman, Faulk · TOR Lupul, Franson, Kessel, Gardiner, Bozak

  5. P1 4:32Shot by Staal, saved by Reimer
  6. P1 4:45Shot by Kadri, saved by Ward
  7. P1 6:47Shot by Lupul, saved by Ward
  8. P1 8:48Shot by Boyce, saved by Ward
  9. P1 9:36Frattin: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Allen, Ponikarovsky, Spacek, Ruutu, Jokinen · TOR Crabb, Phaneuf, Grabovski, Aulie, Frattin

  10. P1 10:20Shot by Ruutu, saved by Reimer5v4
  11. P1 12:18Tlusty: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CAR Allen, Gleason, LaRose, Staal, Tlusty · TOR Lupul, Grabovski, Franson, Kessel, Schenn, Bozak

  12. P1 14:58Gleason: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Gleason, Staal, Nodl, McBain, Dalpe · TOR Connolly, Phaneuf, Kulemin, Aulie, Frattin

  13. P1 15:26Shot by Lupul, saved by Ward4v5
  14. P1 18:14Shot by Crabb, saved by Ward
  15. P1 0:00Period end
  16. P1 15:27Shot by Lupul, saved by Ward4v5
  17. P2 0:00Period start
  18. P2 1:34Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Ward
  19. P2 1:43Goal by Kadri (MacArthur)+20 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Harrison, Staal, Tlusty, Dalpe, Faulk · TOR Connolly, MacArthur, Gunnarsson, Schenn, Kadri

  20. P2 1:53Shot by Dalpe, saved by Reimer
  21. P2 2:20Shot by Steckel, saved by Ward
  22. P2 3:33Shot by Grabovski, saved by Ward
  23. P2 4:53Shot by LaRose, saved by Reimer
  24. P2 5:00Shot by Harrison, saved by Reimer
  25. P2 5:08Dalpe: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Allen, Spacek, Staal, Tlusty, Dalpe · TOR Connolly, Phaneuf, MacArthur, Aulie, Kadri

  26. P2 8:00Shot by Aulie, saved by Ward
  27. P2 8:21Shot by Schenn, saved by Ward
  28. P2 8:30Shot by MacArthur, saved by Ward
  29. P2 9:18Shot by Ponikarovsky, saved by Reimer
  30. P2 9:31Shot by LaRose, saved by Reimer
  31. P2 11:02Shot by Connolly, saved by Ward
  32. P2 11:17Aulie: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Gleason, Staal, Tlusty, McBain, Dalpe · TOR Connolly, Phaneuf, MacArthur, Aulie, Kadri

  33. P2 13:03Shot by Jokinen, saved by Reimer5v4
  34. P2 13:04Shot by Ruutu, saved by Reimer5v4
  35. P2 16:23Shot by Ponikarovsky, saved by Reimer
  36. P2 17:04Shot by Sutter, saved by Reimer
  37. P2 17:45Tlusty: High sticking double minor (4 min)5v6

    On ice: CAR Gleason, Staal, Tlusty, McBain, Dalpe · TOR Steckel, Crabb, Phaneuf, Boyce, Kessel, Aulie

  38. P2 18:11Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Ward4v5
  39. P2 18:49MacArthur: Interference (2 min)4v5

    On ice: CAR Harrison, Jokinen, LaRose, Faulk · TOR Connolly, Phaneuf, MacArthur, Gardiner, Kadri

  40. P2 18:52Shot by Harrison, saved by Reimer4v4
  41. P2 0:00Period end
  42. P3 0:00Period start
  43. P3 1:46Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Ward4v4
  44. P3 2:13Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Ward
  45. P3 3:23Shot by Stewart, saved by Reimer
  46. P3 4:20Shot by McBain, saved by Reimer
  47. P3 4:53Shot by Bowman, saved by Reimer
  48. P3 6:13Shot by McBain, saved by Reimer
  49. P3 6:24Shot by Ponikarovsky, saved by Reimer
  50. P3 6:35Shot by Boyce, saved by Ward
  51. P3 6:36Goal by Kulemin (Boyce, Grabovski)+33 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Ponikarovsky, Ruutu, Gleason, Jokinen, McBain · TOR Boyce, Grabovski, Franson, Kulemin, Gardiner

  52. P3 7:02Allen: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Allen, Spacek, Brent, Stewart, Nodl · TOR Steckel, Crabb, Boyce, Gunnarsson, Schenn

  53. P3 7:50Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Ward4v5
  54. P3 7:59Shot by Franson, saved by Ward4v5
  55. P3 9:08Goal by Lupul (Kessel, Bozak)+15 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Allen, Gleason, Jokinen, LaRose, Faulk · TOR Lupul, Franson, Kessel, Gardiner, Bozak

  56. P3 9:19Shot by Staal, saved by Reimer
  57. P3 9:48Goal by Staal (Dalpe, Tlusty)+14 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Spacek, Staal, Tlusty, McBain, Dalpe · TOR Phaneuf, Grabovski, Kulemin, Aulie, Frattin

  58. P3 9:57Shot by Stewart, saved by Reimer
  59. P3 10:01Shot by Stewart, saved by Reimer
  60. P3 11:47Shot by Tlusty, saved by Reimer
  61. P3 11:48Shot by Tlusty, saved by Reimer
  62. P3 11:50Goal by Dalpe (Tlusty, Staal)+37 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Spacek, Staal, Tlusty, McBain, Dalpe · TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Aulie, Bozak

  63. P3 14:21Shot by Bowman, saved by Reimer
  64. P3 15:39Shot by Jokinen, saved by Reimer
  65. P3 16:55Stewart: Too many men on the ice (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CAR Allen, Ponikarovsky, Ruutu, Gleason, Jokinen, Brent · TOR Connolly, Crabb, Lupul, Franson, Gardiner

  66. P3 18:03Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Ward4v5
  67. P3 18:43Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Ward4v5
  68. P3 18:56Shot by Staal, saved by Reimer
  69. P3 19:07Shot by Ponikarovsky, saved by Reimer
  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. OT 0:00Period start
  72. OT 1:14Shot by Faulk, saved by Reimer4v4
  73. OT 2:31Connolly: Tripping (2 min)4v4

    On ice: CAR Spacek, Staal, McBain, Sutter · TOR Connolly, Phaneuf, Gunnarsson, Kadri

  74. OT 2:47Shot by Faulk, saved by Reimer4v3
  75. OT 3:09Goal by Staal (Faulk, McBain)4v3+48 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, McBain, Sutter, Faulk · TOR Steckel, Phaneuf, Gunnarsson

  76. OT 3:09Period end
  77. OT 3:09Final