Thu, Dec 29, 2011·RBC Center, Raleigh
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Carolina Hurricanes 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 54% of the time.
45%
9%
8%
37%
CAR winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 6 | 27:38 | 0.20 | 12.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 26:23 | 0.06 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 21:21 | 0.00 | 16.2% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:47 | 0.09 | 67.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 20:17 | 0.00 | 16.2% | +15.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 20:03 | 0.81 | 20.5% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:17 | 0.01 | 10.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:14 | 0.05 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:05 | 0.07 | 76.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:54 | 0.27 | 61.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:27 | 0.10 | 50.3% | +32.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:57 | 0.14 | 61.1% | +19.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:59 | 0.49 | 49.6% | +32.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:32 | 0.35 | 49.7% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:36 | 0.00 | 28.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:50 | 0.04 | 25.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:42 | 0.05 | 36.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 9:56 | 0.13 | 68.0% | +32.7 |
| O | 34 | 30 | 4 | .882 | 3.09 | −0.9 | 62:57 |
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 5 | 24:20 | 0.42 | 76.0% | +99.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 23:47 | 0.00 | 30.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 23:03 | 0.09 | 76.2% | +48.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:54 | 0.05 | 91.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:09 | 0.18 | 59.6% | +48.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:47 | 0.16 | 36.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:10 | 0.00 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:53 | 0.05 | 82.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:35 | 0.11 | 85.0% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:38 | 0.20 | 36.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 15:29 | 0.00 | 82.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 14:47 | 0.21 | 29.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 13:34 | 0.96 | 77.5% | +51.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 11:39 | 0.42 | 73.1% | +51.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:09 | 0.04 | 78.8% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9:09 | 0.20 | 67.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:24 | 0.00 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:20 | 0.00 | 45.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 24 | 21 | 3 | .875 | 2.86 | −0.1 | 63:09 |