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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 3, 2012·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Edmonton Oilers 3, Buffalo Sabres 4

Away

Edmonton Oilers

3

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 64% of the time.

BUF winsEDM wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:16Shot by Green, saved by Miller
  3. P1 2:23Shot by Smyth, saved by Miller
  4. P1 2:28Shot by Jones, saved by Miller
  5. P1 4:57Shot by Sutton, saved by Miller
  6. P1 5:10Shot by Lander, saved by Miller
  7. P1 5:26Weber: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Roy, Vanek, Weber, Kassian · EDM Smyth, Sutton, Petry, Eberle, Lander

  8. P1 5:49Shot by Belanger, saved by Miller4v5
  9. P1 6:53Shot by Eberle, saved by Miller4v5
  10. P1 7:09Shot by Potter, saved by Miller4v5
  11. P1 7:26Shot by Hall, saved by Miller4v5
  12. P1 7:42Shot by Gerbe, saved by Khabibulin
  13. P1 9:22Shot by Vanek, saved by Khabibulin
  14. P1 10:02Shot by Hall, saved by Miller
  15. P1 10:11Shot by Hemsky, saved by Miller
  16. P1 10:33Goal by Hall (Hemsky, Gagner)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Gaustad, Ellis, Kaleta, McNabb · EDM Hemsky, Peckham, Gagner, Teubert, Hall

  17. P1 12:56Shot by Kassian, saved by Khabibulin
  18. P1 13:21Shot by Roy, saved by Khabibulin
  19. P1 14:23Goal by Pominville (Hecht, McNabb)+17 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Leopold, Pominville, Vanek, McNabb · EDM Green, Horcoff, Potter, Smid, Hartikainen

  20. P1 15:20Shot by Roy, saved by Khabibulin
  21. P1 16:59Shot by Brennan, saved by Khabibulin
  22. P1 18:49Shot by Brennan, saved by Khabibulin
  23. P1 19:18Shot by Gagner, saved by Miller
  24. P1 19:28Shot by Hall, saved by Miller
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 2:44Shot by Kassian, saved by Khabibulin
  28. P2 3:32Shot by Gagner, saved by Miller
  29. P2 4:33Shot by Brennan, saved by Khabibulin
  30. P2 4:47Shot by Gerbe, saved by Khabibulin
  31. P2 5:10Goal by Leopold (Stafford, McNabb)+21 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Roy, Stafford, Gerbe, McNabb · EDM Green, Petry, Teubert, Hartikainen, Hall

  32. P2 5:34Hemsky: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Regehr, Pominville, Vanek, Weber · EDM Hemsky, Potter, Smid, Gagner, Hall

  33. P2 5:37Shot by Leopold, saved by Khabibulin5v4
  34. P2 6:22Shot by Vanek, saved by Khabibulin5v4
  35. P2 8:04Kaleta: Charging (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Gaustad, Kaleta, Gerbe, Weber · EDM Hemsky, Potter, Smid, Gagner, Hall

  36. P2 8:36Shot by Eberle, saved by Miller4v5
  37. P2 9:01Shot by Gaustad, saved by Khabibulin4v5
  38. P2 9:10Gerbe: Too many men on the ice (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Leopold, Gaustad, Gerbe · EDM Smyth, Potter, Gagner, Eberle, Hall

  39. P2 9:24Goal by Gagner (Petry, Hemsky)3v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Roy, Weber · EDM Belanger, Hemsky, Jones, Petry, Gagner

  40. P2 10:33Shot by Hecht, saved by Khabibulin4v5
  41. P2 12:10Shot by Brennan, saved by Khabibulin
  42. P2 13:29Shot by Stafford, saved by Khabibulin
  43. P2 14:19Shot by Pominville, saved by Khabibulin
  44. P2 14:31Shot by Belanger, saved by Miller
  45. P2 18:51Shot by Jones, saved by Miller
  46. P2 19:47Shot by Pominville, saved by Khabibulin
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 0:46Shot by Vanek, saved by Khabibulin
  50. P3 1:02Shot by Gagner, saved by Miller
  51. P3 2:29Shot by Adam, saved by Khabibulin
  52. P3 2:35Shot by Kassian, saved by Khabibulin
  53. P3 2:47Shot by Lander, saved by Miller
  54. P3 4:10Shot by Kaleta, saved by Khabibulin
  55. P3 4:07Shot by Weber, saved by Khabibulin
  56. P3 5:01Shot by Teubert, saved by Miller
  57. P3 5:44Shot by Adam, saved by Khabibulin
  58. P3 6:27Shot by Eager, saved by Miller
  59. P3 7:10Shot by Gerbe, saved by Khabibulin
  60. P3 7:59Shot by Hartikainen, saved by Miller
  61. P3 8:30Shot by Boyes, saved by Khabibulin
  62. P3 10:51Shot by Gerbe, saved by Khabibulin
  63. P3 10:54Peckham: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Roy, Stafford, Gragnani, Gerbe, Weber · EDM Hemsky, Peckham, Gagner, Teubert, Hall

  64. P3 13:38Shot by Kaleta, saved by Khabibulin
  65. P3 14:34Goal by Stafford (Gerbe, Roy)+35 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Roy, Stafford, Gragnani, Gerbe, Brennan · EDM Green, Sutton, Horcoff, Petry, Hartikainen

  66. P3 16:05Shot by Gagner, saved by Miller
  67. P3 16:38Goal by Gerbe (Stafford)+8 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Roy, Stafford, Gragnani, Gerbe, Weber · EDM Green, Sutton, Horcoff, Jones, Petry

  68. P3 17:16Shot by Brennan, saved by Khabibulin
  69. P3 18:10Goal by Potter (Eberle, Lander)+5 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Leopold, Pominville, Vanek, McNabb · EDM Smyth, Potter, Smid, Eberle, Lander

  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. P3 0:00Final