Tue, Jan 3, 2012·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Edmonton Oilers 3, Buffalo Sabres 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 64% of the time.
54%
10%
10%
26%
BUF winsEDM wins
Edmonton Oilers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 0 | 23:14 | 0.02 | 30.8% | +21.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23:08 | 0.10 | 50.9% | +5.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21:37 | 0.23 | 49.5% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:55 | 0.00 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:22 | 0.01 | 33.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 19:45 | 0.42 | 51.8% | +37.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 18:59 | 0.12 | 51.7% | +37.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:31 | 0.02 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 16:21 | 0.02 | 21.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:04 | 0.31 | 38.1% | +5.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:01 | 0.12 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:29 | 0.01 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:28 | 0.00 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:27 | 0.08 | 55.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 12:43 | 0.04 | 20.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:20 | 0.18 | 31.7% | +5.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 1 | 11:17 | 0.08 | 19.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:31 | 0.01 | 42.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 33 | 29 | 4 | .879 | 2.53 | −1.5 | 58:48 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:30 | 0.10 | 40.0% | +20.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:53 | 0.00 | 66.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:02 | 0.06 | 64.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19:51 | 0.00 | 43.6% | +38.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 2 | 18:48 | 0.40 | 68.4% | +62.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 18:47 | 0.22 | 74.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 18:44 | 0.04 | 66.0% | +34.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 17:36 | 0.00 | 74.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 5 | 17:03 | 0.23 | 76.5% | +42.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:51 | 0.07 | 67.3% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:18 | 0.39 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:05 | 0.15 | 58.2% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:38 | 0.01 | 54.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:00 | 0.07 | 54.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:38 | 0.26 | 54.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:06 | 0.31 | 52.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:25 | 0.17 | 58.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:28 | 0.04 | 52.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 26 | 23 | 3 | .885 | 1.77 | −1.2 | 59:57 |