Tue, Jan 3, 2012·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 81% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 0:58Goal by Lecavalier (Wyman, Moore)+13 pts WP
On ice: TOR Connolly, Lupul, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Schenn · TBL Kubina, Brewer, Lecavalier, Moore, Wyman
- P1 1:15Bergeron: Holding (2 min)
On ice: TOR Lombardi, MacArthur, Franson, Gardiner, Kadri · TBL Bergeron, Gervais, Thompson, Pyatt, Purcell
- P1 1:57Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Garon5v4
- P1 3:01Shot by Gardiner, saved by Garon5v4
- P1 3:25Goal by Lupul (Connolly, Gardiner)+13 pts WP
On ice: TOR Connolly, Lupul, Franson, Kessel, Gardiner · TBL Clark, St. Louis, Bergeron, Gervais, Stamkos
- P1 4:04Shot by Grabovski, saved by Garon
- P1 4:41Shot by Brewer, saved by Gustavsson
- P1 6:18Shot by Kessel, saved by Garon
- P1 7:14Shot by Frattin, saved by Garon
- P1 7:27Shot by Grabovski, saved by Garon
- P1 7:33Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Garon
- P1 8:33Shot by Tyrell, saved by Gustavsson
- P1 8:41Shot by Lupul, saved by Garon
- P1 8:46Goal by Gunnarsson (Connolly, Lupul)+17 pts WP
On ice: TOR Connolly, Lupul, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Schenn · TBL Kubina, Brewer, Hall, Jones, Tyrell
- P1 10:23Shot by Gilroy, saved by Gustavsson
- P1 11:40Shot by St. Louis, saved by Gustavsson
- P1 11:46Shot by Clark, saved by Gustavsson
- P1 11:58Shot by Downie, saved by Gustavsson
- P1 11:58Downie: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TOR Crabb, Phaneuf, Grabovski, Kulemin, Gunnarsson · TBL Hall, Bergeron, Gervais, Downie, Tyrell
- P1 11:58Downie: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TOR Crabb, Phaneuf, Grabovski, Kulemin, Gunnarsson · TBL Hall, Bergeron, Gervais, Downie, Tyrell
- P1 11:58Phaneuf: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TOR Crabb, Phaneuf, Grabovski, Kulemin, Gunnarsson · TBL Hall, Bergeron, Gervais, Downie, Tyrell
- P1 12:54Shot by Kessel, saved by Garon5v4
- P1 13:07Shot by Franson, saved by Garon5v4
- P1 13:33Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Garon5v4
- P1 14:33Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Gustavsson
- P1 14:40Franson: Boarding (2 min)
On ice: TOR Steckel, Boyce, Franson, Frattin, Gardiner · TBL St. Louis, Lecavalier, Bergeron, Gervais, Purcell
- P1 17:20Schenn: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TOR Connolly, Lupul, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Schenn · TBL Brewer, Thompson, Pyatt, Tyrell, Gilroy
- P1 18:17Shot by Stamkos, saved by Gustavsson4v5
- P1 18:35Connolly: Elbowing (2 min)4v5
On ice: TOR Lombardi, Crabb, Phaneuf, Aulie · TBL Kubina, Lecavalier, Bergeron, Downie, Purcell
- P1 18:35Shot by Bergeron, saved by Gustavsson4v5
- P1 19:31Shot by St. Louis, saved by Gustavsson4v5
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 1:11Shot by Downie, saved by Gustavsson
- P2 3:39Shot by Aulie, saved by Garon
- P2 3:55Shot by Stamkos, saved by Gustavsson
- P2 4:47Shot by Kessel, saved by Garon
- P2 5:25Shot by Thompson, saved by Gustavsson
- P2 6:13Shot by Kadri, saved by Garon
- P2 6:34Frattin: Too many men on the ice (2 min)
On ice: TOR Steckel, MacArthur, Gunnarsson, Schenn, Kadri · TBL Clark, Lecavalier, Moore, Downie, Gilroy
- P2 8:11Shot by Connolly, saved by Garon4v5
- P2 8:48Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Garon
- P2 9:53Shot by Kulemin, saved by Garon
- P2 10:23Shot by Bergeron, saved by Gustavsson
- P2 11:55Goal by Stamkos (St. Louis)+22 pts WP
On ice: TOR Connolly, Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Aulie · TBL Kubina, Brewer, St. Louis, Downie, Stamkos
- P2 12:28Goal by Grabovski (Lupul, Schenn)+23 pts WP
On ice: TOR Lupul, Grabovski, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Schenn · TBL Clark, Hall, Thompson, Pyatt, Gilroy
- P2 13:26Goal by Kubina (Brewer)+23 pts WP
On ice: TOR Crabb, Grabovski, Franson, Kulemin, Gardiner · TBL Kubina, Brewer, Lecavalier, Moore, Downie
- P2 13:43Goal by Boyce (Frattin, Aulie)+23 pts WP
On ice: TOR Steckel, Phaneuf, Boyce, Aulie, Frattin · TBL Kubina, Brewer, St. Louis, Downie, Stamkos
- P2 13:59Downie: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)5v4
On ice: TOR Steckel, Phaneuf, Boyce, Aulie, Frattin · TBL Clark, St. Louis, Downie, Stamkos, Gilroy
- P2 13:59Downie: Roughing (2 min)5v4
On ice: TOR Steckel, Phaneuf, Boyce, Aulie, Frattin · TBL Clark, St. Louis, Downie, Stamkos, Gilroy
- P2 13:59Downie: Roughing (2 min)5v4
On ice: TOR Steckel, Phaneuf, Boyce, Aulie, Frattin · TBL Clark, St. Louis, Downie, Stamkos, Gilroy
- P2 13:59Aulie: Roughing (2 min)4v4
On ice: TOR Steckel, Phaneuf, Boyce, Aulie, Frattin · TBL Clark, St. Louis, Downie, Stamkos, Gilroy
- P2 13:59Boyce: Roughing (2 min)5v4
On ice: TOR Steckel, Phaneuf, Boyce, Aulie, Frattin · TBL Clark, St. Louis, Downie, Stamkos, Gilroy
- P2 13:59Downie: Misconduct (10 min)5v4
On ice: TOR Steckel, Phaneuf, Boyce, Aulie, Frattin · TBL Clark, St. Louis, Downie, Stamkos, Gilroy
- P2 13:59Boyce: Misconduct (10 min)5v4
On ice: TOR Steckel, Phaneuf, Boyce, Aulie, Frattin · TBL Clark, St. Louis, Downie, Stamkos, Gilroy
- P2 14:40Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Roloson5v4
- P2 15:00Shot by Kessel, saved by Roloson5v4
- P2 15:14Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Roloson5v4
- P2 15:33Shot by Gardiner, saved by Roloson5v4
- P2 16:04Shot by MacArthur, saved by Roloson
- P2 18:09Shot by Gilroy, saved by Gustavsson
- P2 19:20Shot by Kadri, saved by Roloson
- P2 19:22Goal by Frattin (Kadri, Lombardi)+13 pts WP
On ice: TOR Lombardi, Phaneuf, Frattin, Schenn, Kadri · TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Purcell, Stamkos, Gilroy
- P2 19:28Shot by Kadri, saved by Roloson
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 0:56Purcell: Interference (2 min)
On ice: TOR Connolly, Lupul, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Schenn · TBL Kubina, Brewer, St. Louis, Purcell, Stamkos
- P3 1:23Goal by Phaneuf (Grabovski, MacArthur)5v4+4 pts WP
On ice: TOR Phaneuf, MacArthur, Grabovski, Gunnarsson, Kadri · TBL Kubina, Brewer, Hall, Thompson
- P3 1:44Shot by Franson, saved by Roloson
- P3 2:18Shot by Kessel, saved by Roloson
- P3 3:18Shot by Stamkos, saved by Gustavsson
- P3 6:35Gustavsson: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: TOR Lombardi, MacArthur, Franson, Gardiner, Kadri · TBL Kubina, Lecavalier, Moore, Bergeron, Wyman
- P3 7:12Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Roloson4v5
- P3 9:10Shot by Kessel, saved by Roloson
- P3 10:13Shot by Gervais, saved by Gustavsson
- P3 10:57Shot by Lombardi, saved by Roloson
- P3 11:32Kubina: Holding (2 min)
On ice: TOR Steckel, Phaneuf, Boyce, Aulie, Frattin · TBL Kubina, Brewer, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Downie
- P3 12:04Hall: Roughing (2 min)5v4
On ice: TOR Connolly, Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Gunnarsson · TBL Clark, Brewer, Hall, Thompson
- P3 12:01Shot by Hall, saved by Gustavsson5v4
- P3 12:27Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Roloson5v3
- P3 12:28Goal by Kessel (Lupul, Phaneuf)5v30 pts WP
On ice: TOR Connolly, Steckel, Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel · TBL Clark, Brewer, Thompson
- P3 12:46Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Roloson5v4
- P3 13:06Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Roloson5v4
- P3 15:16Shot by Wyman, saved by Gustavsson
- P3 16:32Thompson: Fighting (5 min)
On ice: TOR Connolly, Lupul, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Schenn · TBL Kubina, Brewer, Thompson, Jones, Tyrell
- P3 16:32Schenn: Fighting (5 min)5v4
On ice: TOR Connolly, Lupul, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Schenn · TBL Kubina, Brewer, Thompson, Jones, Tyrell
- P3 16:51Shot by Lupul, saved by Roloson
- P3 17:18Shot by Steckel, saved by Roloson
- P3 19:04Shot by Moore, saved by Gustavsson
- P3 19:22Shot by MacArthur, saved by Roloson
- P3 19:46Shot by Jones, saved by Gustavsson
- P3 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Final