Tue, Jan 3, 2012·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 81% of the time.
74%
12%
TOR winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 24:33 | 0.04 | 56.1% | +22.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:25 | 0.02 | 38.4% | +22.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:53 | 0.06 | 36.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 20:52 | 0.15 | 39.1% | +22.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 20:46 | 0.11 | 32.1% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 20:39 | 0.29 | 39.4% | +22.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 18:47 | 0.02 | 45.3% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:29 | 0.05 | 53.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:14 | 0.04 | 28.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:36 | 0.21 | 57.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:24 | 0.02 | 62.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:25 | 0.10 | 31.4% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:17 | 0.17 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:17 | 0.20 | 67.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:02 | 0.00 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 10:10 | 0.08 | 45.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:53 | 0.03 | 37.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 7:55 | 0.03 | 45.6% | 0.0 |
| – | 21 | 18 | 3 | .857 | 1.98 | −1.0 | 26:17 | |
| L | 21 | 17 | 4 | .810 | 1.43 | −2.6 | 33:43 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 25:45 | 0.18 | 59.1% | +17.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 9 | 25:06 | 0.51 | 57.4% | +4.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:06 | 0.08 | 50.3% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:10 | 0.02 | 47.2% | +23.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18:56 | 0.03 | 59.6% | +30.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:12 | 0.06 | 51.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 17:20 | 0.68 | 62.9% | +0.4 | |
| 1 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 3 | 16:31 | 0.51 | 55.4% | +53.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15:59 | 0.41 | 43.9% | +26.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:13 | 0.33 | 46.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:32 | 0.01 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:04 | 0.00 | 38.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:20 | 0.16 | 69.0% | +3.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 12:33 | 0.09 | 74.0% | +13.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:02 | 0.22 | 47.2% | +23.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 11:28 | 0.00 | 78.2% | +22.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:45 | 0.03 | 75.2% | +13.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 8:58 | 0.10 | 65.8% | +36.3 |
| W | 24 | 21 | 3 | .875 | 1.61 | −1.4 | 60:00 |