Thu, Jan 12, 2012·Scottrade Center, St. Louis
Vancouver Canucks 3, St. Louis Blues 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 71% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 17 | 110 | 02 | 12 | 321 |
| STL | 110 | 116 | 07 | 00 | 233 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:48VANAlexandre BurrowsAssists: Daniel Sedin, Henrik Sedin · Snap, 0.17 xG1–0
- P1 3:50STLJason ArnottAssists: Jamie Langenbrunner, Ian Cole · Wrist, 0.22 xG1–1
- P2 6:27STLJason ArnottAssists: Alex Pietrangelo, Cade Fairchild · Backhand, 0.10 xG1–2
- P2 17:52VANAlexandre BurrowsAssists: Alexander Edler, Manny Malhotra · Deflected, 0.09 xG2–2
- OT 0:46VANDaniel SedinPPGWGAssists: Henrik Sedin, Alexander Edler · Slap, 0.08 xG3–2
Penalties (13)
- P1 2:22STLB.J. Crombeen: Fighting5 min
- P1 2:22VANDale Weise: Fighting5 min
- P1 6:03VANManny Malhotra: Holding2 min
- P1 17:27STLChris Stewart: Slashing2 min
- P2 2:36STLRoman Polak: Fighting5 min
- P2 2:36VANMaxim Lapierre: Fighting5 min
- P2 2:36VANMaxim Lapierre: Roughing2 min
- P2 12:11VANHenrik Sedin: Interference2 min
- P2 18:28STLMatt D'Agostini: Interference2 min
- P3 2:42VANKevin Bieksa: Interference2 min
- P3 2:42STLB.J. Crombeen: Diving2 min
- P3 8:22VANDaniel Sedin: Tripping2 min
- P3 19:40STLDavid Backes: Boarding2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Backes won the faceoff against Sedin
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestKesler – Hansen – Raymond2:37
xG 0.07–0.01 (86%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Higgins – Lapierre – Hansen2:49
xG 0.00–0.01 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Burrows12:09
xG 0.59–0.61 (49%)attempts 11–12goals 1–0
- Higgins – Lapierre – Hodgson2:04
xG 0.00–0.03 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Alberts – Edler2:15
xG 0.00–0.02 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
- Alberts – Rome5:53
xG 0.05–0.10 (31%)attempts 1–6goals 0–0
- Bieksa – Sulzer2:43
xG 0.00–0.09 (0%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestArnott – Langenbrunner – Sobotka10:42
xG 0.64–0.10 (87%)attempts 11–4goals 2–1
- Oshie – D'Agostini – Berglund9:25
xG 0.58–0.13 (82%)attempts 11–6goals 0–0
- Nichol – Crombeen – Reaves4:54
xG 0.16–0.05 (77%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Backes – Stewart – Perron9:23
xG 0.21–0.54 (28%)attempts 7–10goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestPolak – Cole9:34
xG 0.67–0.17 (80%)attempts 11–7goals 1–0
- Colaiacovo – Pietrangelo14:58
xG 0.82–0.54 (60%)attempts 15–10goals 0–1
- Cole – Shattenkirk5:03
xG 0.27–0.06 (82%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 71% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (STL − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).