Sat, Feb 4, 2012·TD Garden, Boston
Pittsburgh Penguins 2, Boston Bruins 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 65% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | 16 | 012 | 110 | 228 |
| BOS | 010 | 010 | 19 | 129 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 19:51PITEvgeni MalkinPPAssists: Chris Kunitz, James Neal · Snap, 0.13 xG1–0
- P3 1:53PITMatt CookeGWGAssists: Dustin Jeffrey, Pascal Dupuis · Wrist, 0.40 xG2–0
- P3 6:45BOSJoe CorvoAssists: Patrice Bergeron, Brad Marchand · Wrist, 0.01 xG2–1
Penalties (6)
- P1 19:16BOSRich Peverley: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 5:57BOSBenoit Pouliot: Hooking2 min
- P2 8:56PITPascal Dupuis: High sticking double minor4 min
- P3 7:28BOSBenoit Pouliot: High sticking2 min
- P3 9:04BOSDaniel Paille: Tripping2 min
- P3 9:04PITKris Letang: Closing hand on puck2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bergeron won the faceoff against Malkin
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Pittsburgh Penguins
Forward lines
- bestCooke – Dupuis – Jeffrey10:03
xG 0.60–0.24 (71%)attempts 5–10goals 1–0
- Sullivan – Kennedy – O'Reilly8:39
xG 0.33–0.06 (85%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
- Park – Adams – Vitale5:24
xG 0.18–0.02 (89%)attempts 4–2goals 0–1
- Kunitz – Malkin – Neal13:46
xG 0.18–0.37 (33%)attempts 10–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEngelland – Niskanen11:40
xG 0.54–0.21 (72%)attempts 8–8goals 1–0
- Martin – Michalek15:14
xG 0.40–0.39 (51%)attempts 13–13goals 0–1
- Orpik – Letang19:09
xG 0.38–0.43 (47%)attempts 11–23goals 0–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Marchand – Seguin14:37
xG 0.51–0.16 (76%)attempts 17–5goals 1–0
- Thornton – Campbell – Paille8:54
xG 0.06–0.10 (37%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Kelly – Pouliot – Lucic2:20
xG 0.00–0.06 (0%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Krejci – Peverley – Lucic9:35
xG 0.06–0.31 (16%)attempts 4–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestChara – Boychuk16:08
xG 0.58–0.08 (88%)attempts 18–6goals 0–0
- Chara – Corvo2:15
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Corvo – Ference2:28
xG 0.10–0.11 (47%)attempts 3–3goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it PIT. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 65% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − PIT), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).