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Ice Lab

Fri, Feb 10, 2012·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Dallas Stars 2, Buffalo Sabres 3 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 57% of the time.

BUF winsDAL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:01Shot by Gerbe, saved by Lehtonen
  3. P1 2:57Shot by Vincour, saved by Miller
  4. P1 3:09Shot by Goligoski, saved by Miller
  5. P1 3:27Shot by Eriksson, saved by Miller
  6. P1 4:43Shot by Vanek, saved by Lehtonen
  7. P1 5:35Shot by Vincour, saved by Miller
  8. P1 8:23Shot by Dvorak, saved by Miller
  9. P1 8:55Shot by Daley, saved by Miller
  10. P1 9:15Shot by Stafford, saved by Lehtonen
  11. P1 9:54Shot by Benn, saved by Miller
  12. P1 10:42Shot by Leopold, saved by Lehtonen
  13. P1 14:03Shot by Larsen, saved by Miller
  14. P1 14:57Shot by Myers, saved by Lehtonen
  15. P1 15:17Shot by Nystrom, saved by Miller
  16. P1 17:15McCormick: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF McCormick, Ellis, Vanek, Sekera, Weber · DAL Ott, Fistric, Benn, Larsen, Vincour

  17. P1 17:53Goal by Ryder (Goligoski, Eriksson)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Leopold, Gaustad, Pominville · DAL Robidas, Ribeiro, Ryder, Eriksson, Goligoski

  18. P1 19:21Shot by Pominville, saved by Lehtonen
  19. P1 19:40Shot by Weber, saved by Lehtonen
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:42Goligoski: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Leopold, Roy, Kaleta, Leino · DAL Robidas, Ribeiro, Ryder, Eriksson, Goligoski

  23. P2 2:27Shot by Stafford, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  24. P2 2:31Shot by Stafford, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  25. P2 3:11Shot by Gerbe, saved by Lehtonen
  26. P2 4:43Shot by Goligoski, saved by Miller
  27. P2 5:17Shot by Stafford, saved by Lehtonen
  28. P2 5:24Shot by Pominville, saved by Lehtonen
  29. P2 5:29Shot by Sekera, saved by Lehtonen
  30. P2 6:54Shot by Vincour, saved by Miller
  31. P2 7:18Shot by Goligoski, saved by Miller
  32. P2 7:31Shot by Daley, saved by Miller
  33. P2 8:51Shot by Leopold, saved by Lehtonen
  34. P2 9:33Shot by Vincour, saved by Miller
  35. P2 10:25Leopold: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Leopold, Gaustad, Kaleta, Ennis · DAL Ribeiro, Ryder, Daley, Nystrom, Grossmann

  36. P2 10:25Shot by Ott, saved by Miller4v5
  37. P2 12:52Shot by Daley, saved by Miller
  38. P2 13:49Shot by Stafford, saved by Lehtonen
  39. P2 15:32Shot by Boyes, saved by Lehtonen
  40. P2 16:18Shot by Ryder, saved by Miller
  41. P2 16:30Shot by Robidas, saved by Miller
  42. P2 16:32Shot by Robidas, saved by Miller
  43. P2 17:46Shot by Vincour, saved by Miller
  44. P2 19:12Roy: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Roy, Pominville, Sekera, Weber, Leino · DAL Robidas, Ott, Burish, Goligoski, Benn

  45. P2 19:59Shot by Ryder, saved by Miller4v5
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 1:52Shot by Stafford, saved by Lehtonen
  49. P3 3:22Shot by Dowell, saved by Miller
  50. P3 3:37Shot by Gaustad, saved by Lehtonen
  51. P3 4:17Goal by Vincour (Benn, Ott)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Vanek, Stafford, Weber, Ennis · DAL Ott, Fistric, Benn, Larsen, Vincour

  52. P3 4:44Dvorak: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Vanek, Stafford, Sekera, Weber, Ennis · DAL Dvorak, Robidas, Fiddler, Nystrom, Goligoski

  53. P3 4:53Shot by Vanek, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  54. P3 5:00Shot by Pominville, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  55. P3 5:07Goal by Vanek (Pominville, Ehrhoff)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Myers, Ennis · DAL Robidas, Burish, Nystrom, Fistric

  56. P3 7:32Shot by Kaleta, saved by Lehtonen
  57. P3 7:36Shot by Leopold, saved by Lehtonen
  58. P3 8:33Leino: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Roy, Pominville, Sekera, Weber, Leino · DAL Robidas, Ott, Goligoski, Benn, Vincour

  59. P3 11:15Shot by Regehr, saved by Lehtonen
  60. P3 12:32Shot by Burish, saved by Miller
  61. P3 13:15Shot by Kaleta, saved by Lehtonen
  62. P3 14:48Shot by Stafford, saved by Lehtonen
  63. P3 16:44Shot by Gerbe, saved by Lehtonen
  64. P3 19:15Shot by Roy, saved by Lehtonen6v5
  65. P3 19:21Goal by Roy (Stafford, Myers)6v5+50 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gaustad, Roy, Pominville, Vanek, Stafford, Myers · DAL Robidas, Ott, Eriksson, Goligoski, Benn

  66. P3 0:00Period end
  67. OT 0:00Period start
  68. OT 0:44Shot by Roy, saved by Lehtonen4v4
  69. OT 2:52Shot by Benn, saved by Miller4v4
  70. OT 3:44Shot by Weber, saved by Lehtonen4v4
  71. OT 4:59Shot by Vanek, saved by Lehtonen4v4
  72. OT 5:00Period end
  73. SO Period start
  74. SO Goal by Boyes, unassistedother
  75. SO Shot by Eriksson, saved by Millerother
  76. SO Shot by Pominville, saved by Lehtonenother
  77. SO Goal by Benn, unassistedother
  78. SO Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Millerother
  79. SO Shot by Ennis, saved by Lehtonenother
  80. SO Shot by Vincour, saved by Millerother
  81. SO Goal by Gerbe, unassistedother
  82. SO Period end
  83. SO Final