Fri, Feb 10, 2012·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Dallas Stars 2, Buffalo Sabres 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 57% of the time.
45%
12%
11%
32%
BUF winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 25:45 | 0.08 | 61.4% | +16.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24:21 | 0.08 | 64.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 24:19 | 0.10 | 67.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 23:03 | 0.09 | 51.4% | +16.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:08 | 0.02 | 59.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:55 | 0.10 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:18 | 0.01 | 66.7% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:48 | 0.09 | 71.3% | +16.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:57 | 0.34 | 52.6% | +16.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:09 | 0.05 | 24.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:21 | 0.00 | 23.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 15:34 | 0.37 | 69.1% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:04 | 0.21 | 50.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:07 | 0.00 | 61.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:41 | 0.02 | 53.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:26 | 0.00 | 4.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:55 | 0.01 | 22.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:46 | 0.03 | 35.6% | 0.0 |
| O | 32 | 30 | 2 | .938 | 1.89 | −0.1 | 65:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 26:02 | 0.03 | 36.8% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 24:12 | 0.08 | 41.6% | +50.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:30 | 0.08 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 21:53 | 0.10 | 54.6% | +50.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 21:05 | 0.08 | 61.6% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:12 | 0.05 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:57 | 0.12 | 76.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:26 | 0.09 | 66.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:10 | 0.11 | 53.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:05 | 0.17 | 61.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:36 | 0.10 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:35 | 0.00 | 54.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 16:10 | 0.40 | 65.8% | +50.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16:01 | 0.41 | 15.1% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:44 | 0.04 | 72.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:42 | 0.02 | 11.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:18 | 0.01 | 62.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:15 | 0.01 | 16.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 26 | 24 | 2 | .923 | 1.59 | −0.4 | 64:29 |