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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 14, 2012·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit

Dallas Stars 1, Detroit Red Wings 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 74% of the time.

DET winsDAL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:34Shot by Stuart, saved by Lehtonen
  3. P1 1:32Shot by Miller, saved by Lehtonen
  4. P1 5:10Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Lehtonen
  5. P1 5:55Shot by Franzen, saved by Lehtonen
  6. P1 6:33Shot by Ribeiro, saved by MacDonald
  7. P1 7:01Shot by Wandell, saved by MacDonald
  8. P1 7:05Shot by Grossmann, saved by MacDonald
  9. P1 7:24Benn: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DET Holmstrom, Stuart, Zetterberg, Kronwall, Filppula, Hudler · DAL Robidas, Ott, Daley, Benn, Vincour

  10. P1 7:30Shot by Lidstrom, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  11. P1 7:57Goal by Zetterberg (Datsyuk, Lidstrom)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: DET Lidstrom, Datsyuk, Zetterberg, White, Franzen · DAL Robidas, Ott, Eriksson, Fistric

  12. P1 8:11Shot by Daley, saved by MacDonald
  13. P1 8:27Shot by Daley, saved by MacDonald
  14. P1 9:02Shot by Hudler, saved by Lehtonen
  15. P1 9:12Shot by Miller, saved by Lehtonen
  16. P1 9:15Goal by Stuart (Helm)+12 pts WP

    On ice: DET Stuart, Kronwall, Miller, Abdelkader, Helm · DAL Ott, Fistric, Benn, Larsen, Vincour

  17. P1 9:55Shot by Ribeiro, saved by MacDonald
  18. P1 10:08Shot by White, saved by Lehtonen
  19. P1 10:10Shot by White, saved by Lehtonen
  20. P1 10:34Shot by Lidstrom, saved by Lehtonen
  21. P1 10:48Shot by Ryder, saved by MacDonald
  22. P1 11:26Shot by Goligoski, saved by MacDonald
  23. P1 12:15Shot by Franzen, saved by Lehtonen
  24. P1 12:19Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Lehtonen
  25. P1 12:59Shot by Helm, saved by Lehtonen
  26. P1 14:12Shot by Wandell, saved by MacDonald
  27. P1 14:13Burish: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Holmstrom, Ericsson, Kindl, Emmerton, Mursak · DAL Robidas, Burish, Goligoski, Dowell, Wandell

  28. P1 12:20Shot by Franzen, saved by Lehtonen
  29. P1 16:22Shot by Helm, saved by Lehtonen
  30. P1 17:42Shot by Franzen, saved by Lehtonen
  31. P1 17:57Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Lehtonen
  32. P1 18:20Shot by Franzen, saved by Lehtonen
  33. P1 18:30Shot by Burish, saved by MacDonald
  34. P1 0:00Period end
  35. P2 0:00Period start
  36. P2 1:03Shot by Lidstrom, saved by Lehtonen
  37. P2 1:36Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Lehtonen
  38. P2 1:48Shot by Ribeiro, saved by MacDonald
  39. P2 3:39Shot by Wandell, saved by MacDonald
  40. P2 6:20Shot by Miller, saved by Lehtonen
  41. P2 7:47Shot by Ott, saved by MacDonald
  42. P2 8:18Shot by White, saved by Lehtonen
  43. P2 9:36Shot by Ericsson, saved by Lehtonen
  44. P2 9:50Shot by Nystrom, saved by MacDonald
  45. P2 10:07Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Lehtonen
  46. P2 10:30Shot by Hudler, saved by Lehtonen
  47. P2 10:43Ott: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Stuart, Zetterberg, Kronwall, Filppula, Hudler · DAL Ott, Fistric, Benn, Larsen, Vincour

  48. P2 12:35Shot by Kronwall, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  49. P2 12:40Shot by Stuart, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  50. P2 12:58Ott: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Ericsson, Miller, Kindl, Abdelkader, Helm · DAL Ott, Fiddler, Goligoski, Larsen, Vincour

  51. P2 13:55Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  52. P2 16:16Kronwall: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DET Stuart, Kronwall, Miller, Abdelkader, Helm · DAL Ribeiro, Ryder, Eriksson, Goligoski, Benn, Larsen

  53. P2 17:06Shot by Eriksson, saved by MacDonald4v5
  54. P2 18:32Fiddler: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Miller, Kindl, Abdelkader, Mursak · DAL Dvorak, Robidas, Ott, Fiddler, Goligoski

  55. P2 18:32Miller: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Miller, Kindl, Abdelkader, Mursak · DAL Dvorak, Robidas, Ott, Fiddler, Goligoski

  56. P2 18:55Shot by Franzen, saved by Lehtonen4v4
  57. P2 19:01Shot by Ribeiro, saved by MacDonald4v4
  58. P2 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 2:05Shot by White, saved by Lehtonen
  61. P3 4:59Shot by Ericsson, saved by Lehtonen
  62. P3 6:26Larsen: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Ericsson, Miller, Kindl, Abdelkader, Helm · DAL Ribeiro, Ryder, Eriksson, Fistric, Larsen

  63. P3 7:08Shot by White, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  64. P3 10:05Shot by Benn, saved by MacDonald
  65. P3 12:36Shot by Miller, saved by Lehtonen
  66. P3 13:51Shot by Helm, saved by Lehtonen
  67. P3 15:11Goal by Hudler (Filppula, White)+1 pts WP

    On ice: DET Stuart, Datsyuk, Kronwall, Filppula, Hudler · DAL Robidas, Ribeiro, Eriksson, Goligoski, Vincour

  68. P3 15:11Ribeiro: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: DET Stuart, Datsyuk, Kronwall, Filppula, Hudler · DAL Robidas, Ribeiro, Eriksson, Goligoski, Vincour

  69. P3 15:27Shot by Benn, saved by MacDonald
  70. P3 15:48Shot by Benn, saved by MacDonald
  71. P3 17:22Shot by Fistric, saved by MacDonald5v6
  72. P3 17:23Helm: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DET Ericsson, Miller, Franzen, Kindl, Helm · DAL Dvorak, Ott, Fiddler, Nystrom, Fistric, Larsen

  73. P3 19:27Goal by Burish (Ryder, Eriksson)0 pts WP

    On ice: DET Stuart, Ericsson, Miller, Abdelkader, Helm · DAL Robidas, Ryder, Burish, Eriksson, Goligoski

  74. P3 0:00Period end
  75. P3 0:00Final