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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 25, 2012·Scotiabank Place, Ottawa

Boston Bruins 5, Ottawa Senators 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 78% of the time.

OTT winsBOS wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BOS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Kelly–Krejci–LucicBergeron–Marchand–SeguinCampbell–Paille–PouliotCampbell–Paille–CaronHennessy–Caron–CamperKelly–Caron–CamperBergeron–Krejci–LucicCorvo–SeidenbergChara–BoychukFerence–McQuaidSeidenberg–McQuaidChara–McQuaidFerence–BoychukChara–SeidenbergCorvo–FerenceFerence–SeidenbergChara–Ference
Spezza–Michalek–Butler5:220.36–0.153:360.15–0.321:020.16–0.381:350.07–0.004:160.31–1.061:320.28–0.000:460.00–0.000:380.12–0.001:180.00–0.110:370.00–0.00
Neil–Foligno–O'Brien0:430.02–0.001:090.14–0.111:330.04–0.041:500.09–0.010:490.29–0.002:170.08–0.041:480.03–0.001:410.14–0.091:090.29–0.020:530.04–0.00
Alfredsson–Greening–Turris2:320.08–0.421:470.00–0.420:400.00–0.000:590.02–0.002:480.08–0.671:550.02–0.350:400.00–0.000:420.00–0.02
Daugavins–Condra–Smith0:570.00–0.002:110.05–0.151:320.02–0.330:410.00–0.000:510.00–0.021:220.05–0.130:510.01–0.310:520.00–0.000:550.00–0.020:300.00–0.00
Alfredsson–Spezza–Michalek2:060.08–0.000:430.00–0.131:300.03–0.031:040.02–0.030:560.01–0.000:510.00–0.130:380.00–0.000:560.08–0.00
Foligno–Turris–Butler1:300.00–0.010:300.00–0.000:450.00–0.00
Alfredsson–Michalek–Turris0:540.11–0.000:340.00–0.041:000.11–0.000:360.00–0.01
Spezza–Greening–Butler0:430.06–0.000:430.06–0.00
Kuba–Karlsson2:230.34–0.0010:160.34–1.131:090.12–0.410:560.06–0.000:350.00–0.022:330.02–0.195:420.31–1.342:260.34–0.210:480.00–0.001:420.18–0.130:460.00–0.000:460.00–0.001:420.00–0.041:080.06–0.001:010.10–0.00
Gonchar–Phillips9:190.15–0.570:320.00–0.000:490.10–0.002:310.09–0.020:540.11–0.000:450.00–0.084:570.18–0.362:060.03–0.091:550.13–0.011:240.11–0.001:110.00–0.011:140.02–0.002:310.00–0.110:410.00–0.06
Carkner–Cowen3:390.07–0.020:590.02–0.001:110.02–0.311:020.00–0.011:360.02–0.001:110.00–0.002:110.02–0.331:270.04–0.00
Gonchar–Karlsson0:370.00–0.000:500.00–0.040:490.29–0.001:380.00–0.150:490.29–0.00
Phillips–Cowen0:400.11–0.001:050.15–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndTurris FAlfredsson FGreening FMichalek FButler FSpezza FNeil FO'Brien FFoligno FSmith FCondra FDaugavins FPhillips DGonchar DKuba DKarlsson DCarkner DCowen DAuld GLucic FKelly FKrejci FSeguin FBergeron FMarchand FCampbell FPaille FCaron FCamper FHennessy FPouliot FChara DSeidenberg DCorvo DBoychuk DFerence DMcQuaid DThomas G
OTTBOSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Dennis SeidenbergBOS3027:310:551:4905
Erik KarlssonOTT2826:380:571:5365
Filip KubaOTT2823:440:512:2565
Milan MichalekOTT2723:300:522:0382
Sergei GoncharOTT2523:080:561:5122
Zdeno CharaBOS3222:540:431:3236
Jason SpezzaOTT2722:140:491:4592
Chris PhillipsOTT2522:090:531:3233
Daniel AlfredssonOTT2520:550:501:4552
Andrew FerenceBOS2720:020:451:2022
Patrice BergeronBOS2519:290:471:2746
David KrejciBOS2319:170:501:2623
Milan LucicBOS2218:560:521:2622
Chris KellyBOS2217:460:481:4312
Brad MarchandBOS2317:180:451:0536
Tyler SeguinBOS2117:080:491:1435
Gregory CampbellBOS2016:580:511:1401
Adam McQuaidBOS2316:490:442:3403
Joe CorvoBOS2416:430:421:2611
Bobby ButlerOTT2216:170:441:5553
Johnny BoychukBOS1716:060:572:3012
Kyle TurrisOTT2015:350:471:2823
Daniel PailleBOS1915:070:481:1010
Nick FolignoOTT1914:120:451:0821
Jared CowenOTT1713:090:461:3401
Jordan CaronBOS1412:070:522:3410
Colin GreeningOTT1511:320:461:2802
Benoit PouliotBOS1611:130:421:2010
Matt CarknerOTT1611:120:421:3410
Erik CondraOTT1511:110:451:0904
Chris NeilOTT1610:560:411:0830
Zack SmithOTT1710:470:380:5403
Jim O'BrienOTT1610:120:381:0510
Kaspars DaugavinsOTT149:170:401:0201
Carter CamperBOS105:570:361:4310
Josh HennessyBOS94:250:291:0200