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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 3, 2012·Rogers Arena, Vancouver

Buffalo Sabres 5, Vancouver Canucks 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 55% of the time.

VAN winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:55Goal by Leino (Kaleta, Gerbe)+13 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Malhotra, Rome, Lapierre, Gragnani, Kassian · BUF Ehrhoff, Sulzer, Kaleta, Gerbe, Leino

  3. P1 1:28Shot by Sedin, saved by Miller
  4. P1 2:39Shot by Hodgson, saved by Luongo
  5. P1 3:34Shot by Leino, saved by Luongo
  6. P1 3:44Shot by Kaleta, saved by Luongo
  7. P1 3:44Goal by Leino (Kaleta, Myers)+14 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Sedin, Sedin, Hamhuis, Bieksa, Burrows · BUF Leopold, Kaleta, Gerbe, Leino, Myers

  8. P1 4:08Shot by Sekera, saved by Luongo
  9. P1 5:10Goal by Boyes (Tropp)+11 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Malhotra, Rome, Lapierre, Gragnani, Kassian · BUF Boyes, Ehrhoff, Ellis, Tropp, Myers

  10. P1 5:46Shot by Higgins, saved by Miller
  11. P1 7:07Shot by Kassian, saved by Miller
  12. P1 8:33Shot by Bieksa, saved by Miller
  13. P1 8:37Shot by Higgins, saved by Miller
  14. P1 8:42Shot by Hamhuis, saved by Miller
  15. P1 9:16Shot by Bieksa, saved by Miller
  16. P1 9:30Shot by Ellis, saved by Schneider
  17. P1 13:13Shot by Lapierre, saved by Miller
  18. P1 13:39Rome: Illegal check to head (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Sedin, Sedin, Rome, Burrows, Gragnani · BUF Leopold, Stafford, Hodgson, Myers, Ennis

  19. P1 15:47Shot by Gerbe, saved by Schneider
  20. P1 17:15Shot by Vanek, saved by Schneider
  21. P1 17:55Shot by Pahlsson, saved by Miller
  22. P1 18:32Shot by Weber, saved by Schneider
  23. P1 18:46Shot by Pahlsson, saved by Miller
  24. P1 19:03Shot by Hamhuis, saved by Miller
  25. P1 19:15Shot by Kesler, saved by Miller
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:43Shot by Hodgson, saved by Schneider
  29. P2 1:07Shot by Myers, saved by Schneider
  30. P2 3:44Shot by Salo, saved by Miller
  31. P2 4:22Shot by Burrows, saved by Miller
  32. P2 4:26Shot by Burrows, saved by Miller
  33. P2 5:15Shot by Gerbe, saved by Schneider
  34. P2 6:38Shot by Salo, saved by Miller
  35. P2 7:32Shot by Gerbe, saved by Schneider
  36. P2 7:34Kaleta: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Sedin, Sedin, Burrows, Edler, Gragnani · BUF Sekera, Kaleta, Gerbe, Weber, Leino

  37. P2 7:34Shot by Sekera, saved by Schneider5v4
  38. P2 8:12Shot by Edler, saved by Miller5v4
  39. P2 8:35Shot by Sedin, saved by Miller5v4
  40. P2 8:51Kassian: Too many men on the ice (2 min)5v4

    On ice: VAN Sedin, Sedin, Kesler, Edler, Gragnani · BUF Pominville, Ellis, Sekera, Weber

  41. P2 9:29Shot by Bieksa, saved by Miller5v4
  42. P2 9:30Ennis: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: VAN Sedin, Hamhuis, Bieksa, Burrows, Kesler · BUF Ehrhoff, Sekera, Hodgson, Ennis

  43. P2 9:36Shot by Sedin, saved by Miller4v4
  44. P2 10:48Shot by Booth, saved by Miller4v4
  45. P2 12:15Shot by Hansen, saved by Miller
  46. P2 13:37Sulzer: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Sedin, Sedin, Hamhuis, Bieksa, Burrows · BUF Ehrhoff, Ellis, Sulzer, Kaleta, Hodgson

  47. P2 13:43Shot by Edler, saved by Miller5v4
  48. P2 14:27Shot by Kesler, saved by Miller5v4
  49. P2 15:37Goal by Booth (Burrows, Bieksa)+7 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Salo, Bieksa, Burrows, Booth, Raymond · BUF Roy, Pominville, Ehrhoff, Weber

  50. P2 16:19Shot by Hodgson, saved by Schneider
  51. P2 18:00Kesler: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Salo, Rome, Kesler, Booth, Kassian · BUF Ehrhoff, Sulzer, Kaleta, Gerbe, Leino

  52. P2 19:11Ehrhoff: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: VAN Pahlsson, Salo, Higgins, Edler · BUF Roy, Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Stafford

  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 0:30Shot by Leopold, saved by Schneider5v4
  56. P3 2:36Goal by Ehrhoff (Boyes, Ellis)+6 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Pahlsson, Salo, Higgins, Rome, Hansen · BUF Boyes, Ehrhoff, Ellis, Sulzer, Tropp

  57. P3 3:42Shot by Kassian, saved by Miller
  58. P3 3:43Goal by Booth (Kassian)+5 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Hamhuis, Bieksa, Kesler, Booth, Kassian · BUF Leopold, Roy, Pominville, Vanek, Myers

  59. P3 4:21Shot by Gerbe, saved by Schneider
  60. P3 4:41Shot by Salo, saved by Miller
  61. P3 6:27Shot by Burrows, saved by Miller
  62. P3 7:09Shot by Pominville, saved by Schneider
  63. P3 9:57Shot by Malhotra, saved by Miller
  64. P3 12:30Shot by Edler, saved by Miller
  65. P3 14:27Shot by Booth, saved by Miller
  66. P3 14:44Shot by Edler, saved by Miller
  67. P3 15:59Shot by Stafford, saved by Schneider
  68. P3 16:31Shot by Lapierre, saved by Miller
  69. P3 17:14Goal by Kassian (Kesler, Hamhuis)+8 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Hamhuis, Bieksa, Kesler, Booth, Kassian · BUF Leopold, Pominville, Ehrhoff, Gerbe, Leino

  70. P3 17:34Shot by Pominville, saved by Schneider
  71. P3 18:40Shot by Stafford, saved by Schneider
  72. P3 18:57Goal by Ennis (Stafford, Sekera)6v5+5 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Hamhuis, Bieksa, Higgins, Burrows, Kesler, Booth · BUF Stafford, Sekera, Weber, Hodgson, Ennis

  73. P3 0:00Period end
  74. P3 0:00Final