Sat, Mar 3, 2012·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Buffalo Sabres 5, Vancouver Canucks 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 55% of the time.
34%
11%
10%
45%
VAN winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:34 | 0.16 | 63.6% | +5.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 21:10 | 0.01 | 42.0% | +5.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:58 | 0.09 | 62.5% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:57 | 0.02 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:13 | 0.03 | 62.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:12 | 0.78 | 46.2% | +5.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 16:52 | 0.23 | 41.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:44 | 0.00 | 21.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:30 | 0.10 | 60.5% | +5.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 16:25 | 0.11 | 31.1% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 13:52 | 0.44 | 88.5% | +27.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 13:41 | 0.02 | 29.4% | +5.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:57 | 0.00 | 38.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 12:40 | 0.06 | 76.2% | +27.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 12:35 | 0.33 | 88.4% | +12.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 12:32 | 0.10 | 33.7% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:09 | 0.04 | 19.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 11:59 | 0.00 | 30.9% | +10.7 |
| W | 35 | 32 | 3 | .914 | 2.30 | −0.7 | 60:00 |
Vancouver Canucks
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25:02 | 0.17 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 23:26 | 0.15 | 53.1% | +7.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:18 | 0.07 | 45.0% | +7.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:56 | 0.21 | 48.2% | +7.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:54 | 0.03 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:23 | 0.35 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:51 | 0.09 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:38 | 0.00 | 34.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 17:03 | 0.24 | 33.8% | +7.4 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 16:23 | 0.37 | 44.1% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:23 | 0.02 | 67.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:07 | 0.00 | 50.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 13:01 | 0.04 | 63.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 11:50 | 0.00 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:27 | 0.15 | 54.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10:40 | 0.17 | 49.6% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 9:41 | 0.10 | 51.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 9:16 | 0.14 | 57.4% | 0.0 |
| – | 7 | 4 | 3 | .571 | 0.67 | −2.3 | 5:10 | |
| L | 17 | 16 | 1 | .941 | 1.14 | +0.1 | 54:31 |