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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 4, 2012·BankAtlantic Center, Sunrise

Ottawa Senators 2, Florida Panthers 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 53% of the time.

FLA winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:05Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Lehner
  3. P1 1:26Shot by Foligno, saved by Theodore
  4. P1 3:01Shot by Smithson, saved by Lehner
  5. P1 3:41Shot by Klinkhammer, saved by Theodore
  6. P1 5:48Shot by Kopecky, saved by Lehner
  7. P1 6:39Shot by Turris, saved by Theodore
  8. P1 7:54Shot by Goc, saved by Lehner
  9. P1 9:12Shot by Turris, saved by Theodore
  10. P1 9:27Bergenheim: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Samuelsson, Weiss, Bergenheim, Garrison · OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Klinkhammer, Turris, Cowen

  11. P1 12:21Shot by Strachan, saved by Lehner
  12. P1 13:23Goal by Cowen (Turris)+17 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Samuelsson, Weiss, Bergenheim, Garrison · OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Klinkhammer, Turris, Cowen

  13. P1 13:39Shot by Michalek, saved by Theodore
  14. P1 15:15Shot by Matthias, saved by Lehner
  15. P1 15:42Shot by Skille, saved by Lehner
  16. P1 16:06Shot by Kuba, saved by Theodore
  17. P1 16:43Shot by Butler, saved by Theodore
  18. P1 17:27Shot by Turris, saved by Theodore
  19. P1 17:28Shot by Turris, saved by Theodore
  20. P1 18:30Shot by O'Brien, saved by Theodore
  21. P1 18:32Goal by Neil (O'Brien, Foligno)+16 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Jovanovski, Fleischmann, Strachan, Wolski, Matthias · OTT Phillips, Neil, Foligno, O'Brien, Gilroy

  22. P1 18:47Shot by Ellerby, saved by Lehner
  23. P1 19:31Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Lehner
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:31Shot by Weaver, saved by Lehner
  27. P2 0:33Goal by Goc (Weaver, Kopecky)+16 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Smithson, Weaver, Kopecky, Goc, Ellerby · OTT Kuba, Spezza, Michalek, Karlsson, Butler

  28. P2 0:31Shot by Goc, saved by Lehner
  29. P2 1:34Shot by Neil, saved by Theodore
  30. P2 1:36Shot by Neil, saved by Theodore
  31. P2 2:54Goal by Barch (Skille, Weaver)+21 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Barch, Weaver, Santorelli, Skille, Ellerby · OTT Phillips, Spezza, Greening, Condra, Gilroy

  32. P2 3:09Shot by Kopecky, saved by Lehner
  33. P2 3:13Shot by Goc, saved by Lehner
  34. P2 3:47Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Lehner
  35. P2 3:56Shot by Klinkhammer, saved by Theodore
  36. P2 3:57Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Theodore
  37. P2 5:11Shot by Strachan, saved by Lehner
  38. P2 10:03Neil: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: FLA Jovanovski, Campbell, Samuelsson, Fleischmann, Matthias · OTT Kuba, Neil, Spezza, Foligno, Karlsson

  39. P2 10:28Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Lehner5v4
  40. P2 11:03Goal by Samuelsson (Weiss, Campbell)5v4+22 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Samuelsson, Weiss, Fleischmann, Bergenheim · OTT Alfredsson, Kuba, Condra, Cowen

  41. P2 13:15Shot by Neil, saved by Theodore
  42. P2 14:02Shot by Butler, saved by Theodore
  43. P2 15:25Shot by Campbell, saved by Lehner
  44. P2 16:44Shot by Strachan, saved by Lehner
  45. P2 16:55Shot by Condra, saved by Theodore
  46. P2 18:20Shot by Garrison, saved by Lehner
  47. P2 18:50Shot by Phillips, saved by Theodore
  48. P2 19:43Spezza: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Weaver, Kopecky, Goc, Bergenheim, Ellerby · OTT Kuba, Spezza, Michalek, Karlsson, Butler

  49. P2 19:48Shot by Campbell, saved by Lehner5v4
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 7:33Shot by Michalek, saved by Theodore
  53. P3 7:49Shot by Goc, saved by Lehner
  54. P3 8:07Shot by Michalek, saved by Theodore
  55. P3 9:15Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Lehner
  56. P3 9:47Shot by Cowen, saved by Theodore
  57. P3 11:00Karlsson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Weiss, Bergenheim, Skille, Garrison · OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Klinkhammer, Turris, Karlsson

  58. P3 11:27Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Lehner5v4
  59. P3 13:09Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Lehner
  60. P3 14:06Karlsson: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Smithson, Goc, Bergenheim, Garrison · OTT Alfredsson, Kuba, Klinkhammer, Turris, Karlsson

  61. P3 14:43Garrison: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Samuelsson, Kopecky, Weiss, Garrison · OTT Alfredsson, Kuba, Michalek, O'Brien, Cowen

  62. P3 18:34Goal by Skille (Matthias)+4 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Fleischmann, Skille, Matthias, Garrison · OTT Spezza, Michalek, Greening, Karlsson, Gilroy

  63. P3 19:03Shot by Gonchar, saved by Theodore
  64. P3 19:23Shot by Foligno, saved by Theodore
  65. P3 0:00Period end
  66. P3 0:00Final