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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 10, 2012·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Carolina Hurricanes 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 2

Away

Carolina Hurricanes

4

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 59% of the time.

TBL winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:15Shot by Hedman, saved by Ward
  3. P1 0:18Shot by Malone, saved by Ward
  4. P1 0:59Shot by St. Louis, saved by Ward
  5. P1 1:18Shot by Pyatt, saved by Ward
  6. P1 1:20Goal by Malone (Pyatt, Connolly)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Malone, Mikkelson, Pyatt, Hedman, Connolly · CAR Allen, Gleason, Dwyer, Nodl, Sutter

  7. P1 2:38Wallace: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Clark, Shannon, Mikkelson, Pyatt, Wallace · CAR Spacek, Brent, Stewart, McBain, Samson

  8. P1 3:17Shot by Ruutu, saved by Tokarski4v5
  9. P1 3:18Shot by Ruutu, saved by Tokarski4v5
  10. P1 3:46Goal by Spacek (McBain, Jokinen)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Clark, Commodore, Malone, Thompson · CAR Spacek, Jokinen, LaRose, McBain, Skinner

  11. P1 3:58Shot by Stamkos, saved by Ward
  12. P1 4:10Shot by Sutter, saved by Tokarski
  13. P1 7:32Shot by Samson, saved by Tokarski
  14. P1 7:55Shot by Brent, saved by Tokarski
  15. P1 10:12Shot by Shannon, saved by Ward
  16. P1 10:18Shot by Wallace, saved by Ward
  17. P1 12:29Goal by Skinner (Jokinen, LaRose)+17 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Malone, Pyatt, Aulie, Connolly · CAR Spacek, Gleason, Jokinen, LaRose, Skinner

  18. P1 15:21Shot by Ruutu, saved by Tokarski
  19. P1 16:02Shot by Connolly, saved by Ward
  20. P1 16:40Shot by Purcell, saved by Ward
  21. P1 17:14Goal by Thompson (Wyman, Hall)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Hall, Thompson, Wyman, Hedman · CAR Allen, Ruutu, Gleason, Staal, Tlusty

  22. P1 19:59Shot by Skinner, saved by Tokarski
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 1:15Shot by Allen, saved by Tokarski
  26. P2 1:16Skinner: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Purcell, Stamkos, Hedman · CAR Allen, Gleason, Jokinen, LaRose, Skinner

  27. P2 1:16Hedman: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Purcell, Stamkos, Hedman · CAR Allen, Gleason, Jokinen, LaRose, Skinner

  28. P2 2:13Shot by Stamkos, saved by Ward4v4
  29. P2 3:59Shot by Thompson, saved by Ward
  30. P2 4:48Shot by Sutter, saved by Tokarski
  31. P2 5:08Shot by Commodore, saved by Ward
  32. P2 5:34Shot by Hall, saved by Ward
  33. P2 6:08Shot by Wallace, saved by Ward
  34. P2 6:03Shot by Lee, saved by Ward
  35. P2 8:06Shot by Connolly, saved by Ward
  36. P2 8:37Shot by St. Louis, saved by Ward
  37. P2 8:38Shot by Stamkos, saved by Ward
  38. P2 9:45Shot by Ruutu, saved by Tokarski
  39. P2 12:02Shot by LaRose, saved by Tokarski
  40. P2 12:04Shot by Skinner, saved by Tokarski
  41. P2 12:14Shot by Commodore, saved by Ward
  42. P2 12:36Shot by Commodore, saved by Ward
  43. P2 14:02Shot by Malone, saved by Ward
  44. P2 14:08Shot by Lee, saved by Ward
  45. P2 14:28Shot by Dwyer, saved by Tokarski
  46. P2 15:17Shot by Staal, saved by Tokarski
  47. P2 16:15Shot by Nodl, saved by Tokarski
  48. P2 16:26Shot by LaRose, saved by Tokarski
  49. P2 17:01Shot by Thompson, saved by Ward
  50. P2 17:48Shot by Hall, saved by Ward
  51. P2 18:17Shot by Pyatt, saved by Ward
  52. P2 18:21Shot by Pyatt, saved by Ward
  53. P2 19:06Shot by Purcell, saved by Ward
  54. P2 19:16Allen: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Purcell, Stamkos, Hedman · CAR Allen, Ruutu, Gleason, LaRose, Staal

  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 1:22Shot by Malone, saved by Ward
  58. P3 3:36Shot by Brewer, saved by Ward
  59. P3 4:13Shot by Skinner, saved by Tokarski
  60. P3 5:14Shot by Connolly, saved by Ward
  61. P3 5:47Shot by Gleason, saved by Tokarski
  62. P3 6:03Shot by Stamkos, saved by Ward
  63. P3 6:36Goal by Skinner (Allen)+33 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Shannon, Stamkos, Hedman · CAR Spacek, Jokinen, LaRose, McBain, Skinner

  64. P3 8:05Staal: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Lee, Purcell, Stamkos, Hedman · CAR Ruutu, Gleason, Brent, Staal, Faulk

  65. P3 11:09Shot by Hall, saved by Ward
  66. P3 13:00Shot by Nodl, saved by Tokarski
  67. P3 14:40Shot by Dwyer, saved by Tokarski
  68. P3 14:47Shot by Sutter, saved by Tokarski
  69. P3 15:46Shot by St. Louis, saved by Ward
  70. P3 16:30Shot by Malone, saved by Ward
  71. P3 16:36Shot by Malone, saved by Ward
  72. P3 18:06Shot by Allen, saved by Tokarski
  73. P3 19:38Goal by LaRose (Harrison, Faulk)6v5+3 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Malone, Lee, Pyatt, Stamkos · CAR Harrison, Jokinen, LaRose, Faulk, Skinner

  74. P3 19:38Skinner: Misconduct (10 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Malone, Lee, Pyatt, Stamkos · CAR Harrison, Jokinen, LaRose, Faulk, Skinner

  75. P3 19:56Shot by Pyatt, saved by Ward6v5
  76. P3 19:57Dwyer: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Clark, Malone, Thompson, Pyatt, Hedman, Connolly · CAR Allen, Gleason, Dwyer, Nodl, Sutter

  77. P3 19:57Hedman: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Clark, Malone, Thompson, Pyatt, Hedman, Connolly · CAR Allen, Gleason, Dwyer, Nodl, Sutter

  78. P3 0:00Period end
  79. P3 0:00Final