Sat, Mar 10, 2012·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Carolina Hurricanes 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 59% of the time.
50%
9%
33%
TBL winsCAR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Dwyer–Nodl–Sutter | Jokinen–LaRose–Skinner | Ruutu–Staal–Tlusty | Brent–Stewart–Samson | Ruutu–Brent–Staal | Ruutu–Staal–Samson | LaRose–Brent–Skinner | Allen–Gleason | Harrison–Faulk | Spacek–McBain | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis–Purcell–Stamkos | 6:190.23–0.19 | 3:530.40–0.32 | 0:400.00–0.11 | 1:400.00–0.02 | 0:430.11–0.02 | 9:310.36–0.32 | 5:290.40–0.23 | 0:540.00–0.16 | ||
| Malone–Pyatt–Connolly | 2:190.16–0.10 | 2:410.26–0.07 | 1:540.02–0.03 | 1:380.30–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 4:420.14–0.13 | ||||
| Hall–Thompson–Wyman | 0:300.00–0.10 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 3:340.29–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.05 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:340.15–0.00 | 1:560.18–0.00 | 3:150.00–0.15 | ||
| Shannon–Pyatt–Wallace | 0:560.00–0.00 | 1:240.00–0.00 | 1:080.00–0.00 | 1:290.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Shannon–Pyatt–Connolly | 0:410.21–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:120.21–0.00 | ||||||
| St. Louis–Malone–Stamkos | 0:350.26–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.02 | 0:470.26–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.02 | ||||||
| Hall–Malone–Wyman | 0:460.00–0.08 | 1:060.02–0.00 | 1:230.02–0.08 | |||||||
| St. Louis–Shannon–Wallace | 0:410.06–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:460.06–0.00 | |||||||
| Hall–Malone–Thompson | 1:050.25–0.02 | 1:080.25–0.05 | ||||||||
| Malone–Wallace–Connolly | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| St. Louis–Thompson–Purcell | 0:440.11–0.15 | 0:590.11–0.16 | ||||||||
| Clark–Lee | 4:310.10–0.07 | 2:370.12–0.30 | 0:380.00–0.11 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 6:350.13–0.37 | 3:030.12–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.11 | ||
| Brewer–Hedman | 2:090.00–0.09 | 4:570.44–0.02 | 1:130.02–0.00 | 1:140.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 2:160.10–0.09 | 4:190.34–0.02 | 4:140.02–0.15 | ||
| Commodore–Aulie | 1:160.00–0.00 | 2:190.00–0.00 | 0:470.05–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 1:370.05–0.00 | 2:490.03–0.03 | ||||
| Mikkelson–Hedman | 0:310.35–0.00 | 0:490.07–0.00 | 1:170.02–0.00 | 1:390.41–0.00 | 1:190.02–0.00 | |||||
| Lee–Mikkelson | 0:510.16–0.04 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:120.16–0.06 | 1:040.03–0.00 | ||||||
| Mikkelson–Aulie | 1:080.05–0.06 | 0:310.17–0.00 | 1:180.22–0.05 | 0:450.00–0.01 | ||||||
| Lee–Aulie | 1:040.00–0.03 | 0:550.23–0.15 | 1:050.11–0.16 | 1:090.12–0.03 | ||||||
| Commodore–Mikkelson | 0:470.14–0.00 | 0:480.43–0.07 | 0:300.09–0.00 | 1:360.48–0.07 | ||||||
| Lee–Hedman | 0:350.00–0.02 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.02 | |||||||
| Brewer–Commodore | 0:330.00–0.08 | 0:470.21–0.03 | ||||||||
| Clark–Mikkelson | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Martin St. LouisTBL | 25 | 29:35 | 1:11 | 2:05 | 2 | 0 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 25 | 27:31 | 1:06 | 2:05 | 1 | 0 |
 Justin FaulkCAR | 31 | 22:58 | 0:44 | 1:27 | 3 | 3 |
 Tim GleasonCAR | 29 | 22:57 | 0:47 | 1:29 | 2 | 3 |
 Teddy PurcellTBL | 22 | 22:47 | 1:02 | 2:08 | 1 | 0 |
 Brian LeeTBL | 26 | 21:57 | 0:51 | 2:36 | 3 | 1 |
 Bryan AllenCAR | 28 | 21:12 | 0:45 | 1:29 | 2 | 3 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 28 | 20:59 | 0:45 | 1:39 | 5 | 4 |
 Ryan MaloneTBL | 25 | 20:36 | 0:49 | 1:29 | 6 | 2 |
 Brett ClarkTBL | 27 | 20:03 | 0:45 | 1:27 | 6 | 2 |
 Jay HarrisonCAR | 27 | 19:24 | 0:43 | 1:21 | 2 | 2 |
 Brandon SutterCAR | 27 | 18:23 | 0:41 | 1:27 | 1 | 2 |
 Eric StaalCAR | 30 | 17:43 | 0:35 | 0:55 | 4 | 6 |
 Jussi JokinenCAR | 29 | 17:38 | 0:36 | 1:27 | 4 | 4 |
 Eric BrewerTBL | 23 | 17:12 | 0:45 | 1:34 | 2 | 4 |
 Patrick DwyerCAR | 27 | 16:51 | 0:37 | 1:10 | 0 | 2 |
 Tuomo RuutuCAR | 29 | 16:49 | 0:35 | 1:01 | 4 | 5 |
 Jeff SkinnerCAR | 26 | 16:45 | 0:39 | 1:06 | 4 | 2 |
 Jaroslav SpacekCAR | 24 | 16:30 | 0:41 | 1:26 | 3 | 3 |
 Jamie McBainCAR | 24 | 16:29 | 0:41 | 1:26 | 3 | 3 |
 Tom PyattTBL | 21 | 16:13 | 0:46 | 1:34 | 3 | 0 |
 Andreas NodlCAR | 26 | 15:45 | 0:36 | 1:10 | 0 | 0 |
 Chad LaRoseCAR | 25 | 15:41 | 0:38 | 1:06 | 4 | 2 |
 Tim BrentCAR | 22 | 14:58 | 0:41 | 1:20 | 2 | 3 |
 Brett ConnollyTBL | 18 | 14:08 | 0:47 | 1:34 | 3 | 0 |
 Nate ThompsonTBL | 18 | 13:39 | 0:46 | 1:27 | 3 | 3 |
 Brendan MikkelsonTBL | 19 | 13:35 | 0:43 | 1:15 | 1 | 0 |
 Keith AulieTBL | 18 | 11:52 | 0:40 | 1:09 | 1 | 0 |
 Adam HallTBL | 18 | 11:44 | 0:39 | 1:27 | 4 | 4 |
 Mike CommodoreTBL | 18 | 10:52 | 0:36 | 1:23 | 1 | 2 |
 JT WymanTBL | 13 | 9:25 | 0:43 | 1:27 | 4 | 2 |
 Jiri TlustyCAR | 17 | 9:22 | 0:33 | 1:01 | 3 | 2 |
 Ryan ShannonTBL | 11 | 8:38 | 0:47 | 1:27 | 1 | 0 |
 Jerome SamsonCAR | 12 | 8:02 | 0:40 | 0:54 | 0 | 1 |
 Tim WallaceTBL | 9 | 7:21 | 0:49 | 1:03 | 1 | 0 |
 Anthony StewartCAR | 10 | 6:30 | 0:39 | 0:54 | 0 | 0 |