Sat, Mar 10, 2012·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Carolina Hurricanes 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 59% of the time.
50%
9%
33%
TBL winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Justin FaulkD · #28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 22:58 | 0.07 | 18.0% | +2.8 |
 Tim GleasonD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:57 | 0.02 | 35.8% | 0.0 |
 Bryan AllenD · #5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 21:12 | 0.09 | 33.9% | +32.7 |
 Jay HarrisonD · #44 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:24 | 0.02 | 19.0% | +2.8 |
 Brandon SutterC · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:23 | 0.18 | 26.0% | 0.0 |
 Eric StaalC · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:43 | 0.05 | 24.2% | 0.0 |
 Jussi JokinenLW · #36 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 0 | 17:38 | 0.10 | 51.1% | +32.4 |
 Patrick DwyerRW · #39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:51 | 0.09 | 30.3% | 0.0 |
 Tuomo RuutuLW · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 16:49 | 0.46 | 19.7% | 0.0 |
 Jeff SkinnerLW · #53 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 5 | 16:45 | 0.53 | 52.8% | +49.6 |
 Jaroslav SpacekD · #8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 16:30 | 0.04 | 77.9% | +15.5 |
 Jamie McBainD · #4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:29 | 0.02 | 76.0% | +15.5 |
 Andreas NodlRW · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:45 | 0.14 | 30.5% | 0.0 |
 Chad LaRoseRW · #59 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 15:41 | 1.03 | 51.0% | +19.7 |
 Tim BrentC · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:58 | 0.05 | 33.9% | 0.0 |
 Jiri TlustyLW · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:22 | 0.00 | 19.3% | 0.0 |
 Jerome SamsonRW · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:02 | 0.07 | 24.3% | 0.0 |
 Anthony StewartRW · #13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:30 | 0.00 | 28.2% | 0.0 |
 Cam Ward#30 | W | 38 | 36 | 2 | .947 | 3.49 | +1.5 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Martin St. LouisRW · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 29:35 | 0.23 | 50.1% | 0.0 |
 Steven StamkosC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 27:31 | 0.74 | 54.0% | 0.0 |
 Teddy PurcellLW · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:47 | 0.11 | 54.1% | 0.0 |
 Brian LeeD · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:57 | 0.06 | 46.4% | 0.0 |
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:59 | 0.05 | 66.4% | 0.0 |
 Ryan MaloneLW · #12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 6 | 20:36 | 0.66 | 76.2% | +15.9 |
 Brett ClarkD · #7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:03 | 0.00 | 41.2% | 0.0 |
 Eric BrewerD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:12 | 0.00 | 60.6% | 0.0 |
 Tom PyattLW · #11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 16:13 | 0.50 | 79.9% | +15.9 |
 Brett ConnollyRW · #14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:08 | 0.34 | 81.4% | +15.9 |
 Nate ThompsonC · #44 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:39 | 0.30 | 68.6% | +18.5 |
 Brendan MikkelsonD · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:35 | 0.03 | 85.3% | 0.0 |
 Keith AulieD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:52 | 0.00 | 61.6% | 0.0 |
 Adam HallRW · #18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 11:44 | 0.11 | 71.5% | +18.5 |
 Mike CommodoreD · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10:52 | 0.05 | 69.7% | 0.0 |
 JT WymanRW · #34 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 9:25 | 0.10 | 59.8% | +18.5 |
 Ryan ShannonRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:38 | 0.11 | 54.6% | 0.0 |
 Tim WallaceRW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:21 | 0.08 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
 Dustin Tokarski#40 | L | 25 | 22 | 3 | .880 | 2.24 | −0.8 | 58:42 |