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Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 14, 2012·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Colorado Avalanche 5, Buffalo Sabres 4 (SO)

Away

Colorado Avalanche

5

Final

Shootout

Home

Buffalo Sabres

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 55% of the time.

BUF winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:45Shot by Landeskog, saved by Miller
  3. P1 0:50Shot by Landeskog, saved by Miller
  4. P1 1:39Goal by Foligno (Ennis, Stafford)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Stafford, Weber, Ennis, McNabb, Foligno · COL O'Brien, Jones, Stastny, McGinn, Wilson

  5. P1 1:55Shot by Sulzer, saved by Varlamov
  6. P1 3:23Shot by Downie, saved by Miller
  7. P1 3:34Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Miller
  8. P1 4:01Shot by Vanek, saved by Varlamov
  9. P1 4:12Shot by Sulzer, saved by Varlamov
  10. P1 4:54Shot by Hejda, saved by Miller
  11. P1 5:37Shot by Regehr, saved by Varlamov
  12. P1 6:20Shot by McCormick, saved by Varlamov
  13. P1 6:27Shot by Tropp, saved by Varlamov
  14. P1 6:30Shot by Tropp, saved by Varlamov
  15. P1 6:40Shot by Vanek, saved by Varlamov
  16. P1 7:23Shot by Pominville, saved by Varlamov
  17. P1 8:19Shot by Porter, saved by Miller
  18. P1 8:55Goal by McGinn (Stastny)+17 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Sulzer, Kaleta, Leino, Hodgson · COL Jones, Hunwick, Stastny, Johnson, McGinn

  19. P1 9:42Shot by Wilson, saved by Miller
  20. P1 9:47Shot by Downie, saved by Miller
  21. P1 11:30Shot by Jones, saved by Miller
  22. P1 13:50Sulzer: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Boyes, Ehrhoff, McCormick, Sulzer, Tropp · COL Hunwick, Downie, Johnson, O'Reilly, Landeskog

  23. P1 14:42Goal by Stafford, unassisted4v5+19 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Stafford, Kaleta, Weber · COL Stastny, Downie, Johnson, Mueller, Landeskog

  24. P1 15:24Shot by Hejduk, saved by Miller4v5
  25. P1 16:39Shot by O'Brien, saved by Miller
  26. P1 19:06Shot by O'Brien, saved by Miller
  27. P1 19:08Goal by Jones (O'Brien, Wilson)+19 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Boyes, McCormick, Weber, Tropp, McNabb · COL O'Brien, Jones, Stastny, McGinn, Wilson

  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 3:45Hodgson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Leopold, Kaleta, Leino, Hodgson · COL O'Byrne, O'Brien, Jones, Stastny, McGinn

  31. P2 5:33Shot by Mueller, saved by Miller4v5
  32. P2 5:35Goal by Landeskog (Mueller, Stastny)4v5+22 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Leopold, Ennis, Foligno · COL O'Brien, Stastny, Mueller, O'Reilly, Landeskog

  33. P2 6:11Shot by Downie, saved by Miller
  34. P2 6:49O'Brien: Kneeing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Vanek, Sulzer, Stafford, Ennis · COL O'Byrne, O'Brien, Jones, Stastny, McGinn

  35. P2 9:14Shot by Foligno, saved by Varlamov
  36. P2 9:30Shot by Olver, saved by Miller
  37. P2 10:54Shot by Weber, saved by Varlamov
  38. P2 11:01Goal by Foligno (Stafford, Ennis)+24 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Leopold, Stafford, Ennis, Foligno · COL Jones, Hunwick, Stastny, Johnson, McGinn

  39. P2 12:12Shot by Wilson, saved by Miller
  40. P2 15:12Shot by Hejda, saved by Miller
  41. P2 15:36Kaleta: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Leopold, Kaleta, Leino, Hodgson · COL O'Byrne, Hejda, Downie, Mueller, Olver

  42. P2 16:14Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Miller4v5
  43. P2 17:15Shot by Downie, saved by Miller4v5
  44. P2 18:35Shot by Downie, saved by Miller
  45. P2 18:42Shot by Wilson, saved by Miller
  46. P2 19:16Shot by Landeskog, saved by Miller
  47. P2 19:18Regehr: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Sulzer, Stafford, Ennis, Foligno · COL O'Brien, Downie, Wilson, O'Reilly, Landeskog

  48. P2 19:18Downie: Roughing (2 min)4v3

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Sulzer, Stafford, Ennis, Foligno · COL O'Brien, Downie, Wilson, O'Reilly, Landeskog

  49. P2 19:18Landeskog: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Sulzer, Stafford, Ennis, Foligno · COL O'Brien, Downie, Wilson, O'Reilly, Landeskog

  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 0:48Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Varlamov5v4
  53. P3 1:26Shot by Leopold, saved by Varlamov
  54. P3 1:55Goal by Sulzer (Boyes, Ennis)+26 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Boyes, Sulzer, Ennis, Foligno · COL O'Brien, Hunwick, Olver, O'Reilly, Landeskog

  55. P3 2:31Shot by Hejda, saved by Miller
  56. P3 3:44Shot by McClement, saved by Miller
  57. P3 4:39Shot by Hodgson, saved by Varlamov
  58. P3 7:06Shot by Sulzer, saved by Varlamov
  59. P3 7:24Shot by Landeskog, saved by Miller
  60. P3 8:45Shot by O'Brien, saved by Miller
  61. P3 8:56Shot by Wilson, saved by Miller
  62. P3 9:14Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Miller
  63. P3 11:11Shot by Johnson, saved by Miller
  64. P3 11:19Shot by Boyes, saved by Varlamov
  65. P3 12:08Shot by Mueller, saved by Miller
  66. P3 12:51Shot by O'Brien, saved by Miller
  67. P3 13:27Shot by Stastny, saved by Miller
  68. P3 14:45Shot by Leino, saved by Varlamov
  69. P3 14:50Kaleta: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Kaleta, Weber, Leino, Hodgson, McNabb · COL O'Brien, Mueller, Wilson, O'Reilly, Landeskog

  70. P3 15:40Shot by Hejduk, saved by Miller4v5
  71. P3 15:46Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Miller4v5
  72. P3 15:59Shot by Mueller, saved by Miller4v5
  73. P3 17:14Shot by Roy, saved by Varlamov
  74. P3 18:27Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Miller5v6
  75. P3 18:45Shot by Johnson, saved by Miller5v6
  76. P3 19:58Goal by McGinn (O'Reilly, Landeskog)5v6+43 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Pominville, Ehrhoff, Weber, Leino, Hodgson · COL Stastny, Downie, McGinn, Mueller, O'Reilly, Landeskog

  77. P3 0:00Period end
  78. OT 0:00Period start
  79. OT 0:21Shot by Johnson, saved by Miller4v4
  80. OT 1:25Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Varlamov4v4
  81. OT 3:32Shot by Roy, saved by Varlamov4v4
  82. OT 5:00Period end
  83. SO Period start
  84. SO Shot by Boyes, saved by Varlamovother
  85. SO Shot by Hejduk, saved by Millerother
  86. SO Shot by Pominville, saved by Varlamovother
  87. SO Goal by Mueller, unassistedother
  88. SO Shot by Ennis, saved by Varlamovother
  89. SO Period end
  90. SO Final