Wed, Mar 14, 2012·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Colorado Avalanche 5, Buffalo Sabres 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 55% of the time.
35%
10%
9%
46%
BUF winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 25:13 | 0.32 | 51.0% | +43.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:04 | 0.00 | 13.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21:34 | 0.38 | 57.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21:28 | 0.06 | 62.2% | +19.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 5 | 21:19 | 0.65 | 48.4% | +65.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20:01 | 0.07 | 60.9% | +39.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:39 | 0.04 | 31.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:34 | 0.00 | 51.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 19:17 | 0.07 | 60.7% | +19.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:05 | 0.07 | 22.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:24 | 0.29 | 60.6% | +19.2 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 18:05 | 0.53 | 63.7% | +60.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:57 | 0.08 | 13.5% | +22.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:50 | 0.11 | 15.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:26 | 0.01 | 19.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:31 | 0.05 | 18.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:36 | 0.02 | 22.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:30 | 0.00 | 38.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 24 | 20 | 4 | .833 | 2.49 | −1.5 | 63:27 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 27:35 | 0.03 | 76.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 25:58 | 0.02 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:39 | 0.26 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:03 | 0.08 | 51.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:52 | 0.02 | 22.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 1 | 19:13 | 0.16 | 52.1% | +58.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:01 | 0.04 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:12 | 0.12 | 70.3% | +25.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:25 | 0.57 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:32 | 0.04 | 43.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:46 | 0.12 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 0 | 15:05 | 0.04 | 51.4% | +65.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:04 | 0.02 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 14:41 | 0.21 | 52.7% | +40.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:17 | 0.00 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:32 | 0.05 | 64.3% | +25.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 7:24 | 0.59 | 64.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 6:51 | 0.12 | 68.7% | 0.0 |
| O | 42 | 38 | 4 | .905 | 2.76 | −1.2 | 65:00 |