Thu, Mar 15, 2012·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 50% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 0:07Lee: Interference (2 min)
On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Malone, Lee, Stamkos · TOR Liles, Phaneuf, Grabovski, Frattin, Ashton
- P1 1:09Goal by Liles (Grabovski, Kessel)4v5+12 pts WP
On ice: TBL Clark, Commodore, Hall, Pyatt · TOR Connolly, Liles, Phaneuf, Grabovski, Kessel
- P1 1:25Shot by Purcell, saved by Reimer
- P1 2:27Komisarek: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: TBL Malone, Mikkelson, Pyatt, Hedman, Connolly · TOR Liles, Komisarek, MacArthur, Frattin, Bozak
- P1 3:20Shot by Stamkos, saved by Reimer5v4
- P1 5:18Shot by Komisarek, saved by Tokarski
- P1 7:56Shot by Connolly, saved by Reimer
- P1 8:37Shot by Shannon, saved by Reimer
- P1 9:49Shot by Wyman, saved by Reimer
- P1 13:08Stamkos: Holding (2 min)
On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Lee, Purcell, Stamkos · TOR Steckel, Phaneuf, Gunnarsson, Frattin, Ashton
- P1 14:45Shot by Frattin, saved by Tokarski4v5
- P1 15:48Shot by Mikkelson, saved by Reimer
- P1 17:03Shot by Frattin, saved by Tokarski
- P1 17:39Shot by Brewer, saved by Reimer
- P1 18:18Shot by St. Louis, saved by Reimer
- P1 19:24Shot by Thompson, saved by Reimer
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 1:09Shot by Ashton, saved by Tokarski
- P2 2:24Shot by Commodore, saved by Reimer
- P2 3:27Goal by Crabb (Lombardi, Connolly)+17 pts WP
On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Purcell, Aulie, Stamkos · TOR Connolly, Lombardi, Crabb, Phaneuf, Gunnarsson
- P2 3:50Shot by Ashton, saved by Tokarski
- P2 3:51Wallace: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: TBL Brewer, Wyman, Shannon, Wallace, Hedman · TOR Lombardi, Armstrong, Schenn, Gardiner, Ashton
- P2 4:41Shot by Bozak, saved by Tokarski4v5
- P2 7:08Shot by Brewer, saved by Reimer
- P2 7:28Shot by Hedman, saved by Reimer
- P2 9:34Shot by Steckel, saved by Tokarski
- P2 9:56Shot by Stamkos, saved by Reimer
- P2 10:46Shot by Stamkos, saved by Reimer
- P2 10:47Grabovski: Holding (2 min)
On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Lee, Stamkos, Connolly · TOR Liles, Komisarek, Grabovski, Frattin, Ashton
- P2 11:36Shot by Malone, saved by Reimer5v4
- P2 11:53Shot by Malone, saved by Reimer5v4
- P2 11:54Wallace: Abusive language (2 min)5v4
On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Malone, Purcell, Stamkos · TOR Connolly, Lombardi, Phaneuf, Gunnarsson
- P2 12:28Goal by Gardiner (Lombardi)4v4+8 pts WP
On ice: TBL Lee, Pyatt, Hedman, Connolly · TOR Liles, Lombardi, MacArthur, Gardiner
- P2 12:44Shot by Kessel, saved by Roloson4v4
- P2 13:03Shot by Kessel, saved by Roloson4v5
- P2 13:13Shot by Stamkos, saved by Reimer4v5
- P2 14:20Shot by Shannon, saved by Reimer
- P2 14:28Shot by Frattin, saved by Roloson
- P2 15:07Shot by Grabovski, saved by Roloson
- P2 17:27Shot by Stamkos, saved by Reimer
- P2 17:32Shot by St. Louis, saved by Reimer
- P2 19:14Shot by Lee, saved by Reimer
- P2 19:38Stamkos: High sticking (2 min)
On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Malone, Stamkos, Hedman · TOR Phaneuf, MacArthur, Grabovski, Gunnarsson, Frattin
- P2 19:38Stamkos: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)4v5
On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Malone, Stamkos, Hedman · TOR Phaneuf, MacArthur, Grabovski, Gunnarsson, Frattin
- P2 19:38Phaneuf: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)4v5
On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Malone, Stamkos, Hedman · TOR Phaneuf, MacArthur, Grabovski, Gunnarsson, Frattin
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 1:00Shot by MacArthur, saved by Roloson4v5
- P3 1:05Shot by Bozak, saved by Roloson4v5
- P3 1:14Shot by MacArthur, saved by Roloson4v5
- P3 1:29Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Roloson4v5
- P3 1:39Shot by Frattin, saved by Roloson
- P3 2:21Shot by Frattin, saved by Roloson
- P3 2:44Shot by Connolly, saved by Roloson
- P3 3:33Shot by Mikkelson, saved by Reimer
- P3 4:38Shot by MacArthur, saved by Roloson
- P3 4:51Shot by Crabb, saved by Roloson
- P3 5:18Gunnarsson: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: TBL St. Louis, Commodore, Lee, Purcell, Stamkos · TOR Connolly, Steckel, Crabb, Phaneuf, Gunnarsson
- P3 5:33Shot by Purcell, saved by Reimer5v4
- P3 7:26Shot by Connolly, saved by Reimer
- P3 7:43Shot by Brewer, saved by Reimer
- P3 8:06Phaneuf: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: TBL Clark, Brewer, St. Louis, Hall, Stamkos · TOR Steckel, Crabb, Phaneuf, Grabovski, Gunnarsson
- P3 8:09Shot by St. Louis, saved by Reimer5v4
- P3 8:28Shot by Purcell, saved by Reimer5v4
- P3 8:37Shot by Stamkos, saved by Reimer5v4
- P3 9:16Shot by Purcell, saved by Reimer5v4
- P3 9:35Shot by Connolly, saved by Reimer5v4
- P3 11:07Shot by Hedman, saved by Reimer
- P3 13:42Shot by Lee, saved by Reimer
- P3 14:56Shot by Gardiner, saved by Roloson
- P3 16:00Shot by Connolly, saved by Roloson
- P3 16:53Shot by MacArthur, saved by Roloson
- P3 17:56Shot by Lombardi, saved by Roloson
- P3 18:00Hall: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: TBL Hall, Malone, Lee, Hedman, Connolly · TOR Connolly, Steckel, Crabb, Phaneuf, Gunnarsson
- P3 18:18Shot by Gardiner, saved by Roloson4v5
- P3 18:38Phaneuf: Roughing (2 min)4v5
On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Stamkos, Hedman · TOR Phaneuf, MacArthur, Kessel, Gardiner, Bozak
- P3 18:38Stamkos: Roughing (2 min)4v4
On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Stamkos, Hedman · TOR Phaneuf, MacArthur, Kessel, Gardiner, Bozak
- P3 18:38Phaneuf: Roughing (2 min)5v4
On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Stamkos, Hedman · TOR Phaneuf, MacArthur, Kessel, Gardiner, Bozak
- P3 18:57Shot by Malone, saved by Reimer5v4
- P3 18:59Shot by Malone, saved by Reimer5v4
- P3 19:34Goal by St. Louis (Clark)5v40 pts WP
On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Malone, Purcell, Hedman · TOR Komisarek, Steckel, Grabovski, Gunnarsson
- P3 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Final