Thu, Mar 15, 2012·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 50% of the time.
40%
11%
10%
40%
TBL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Dion PhaneufD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 25:06 | 0.00 | 44.9% | 0.0 |
 Jake GardinerD · #51 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 23:29 | 0.21 | 67.0% | +8.3 |
 Carl GunnarssonD · #36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:02 | 0.02 | 42.7% | 0.0 |
 Clarke MacArthurLW · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 19:45 | 0.43 | 29.6% | 0.0 |
 John-Michael LilesD · #24 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:23 | 0.09 | 46.1% | +12.2 |
 Tim ConnollyC · #12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:55 | 0.09 | 55.9% | +16.6 |
 Phil KesselRW · #81 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:20 | 0.16 | 41.6% | +12.2 |
 David SteckelC · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:29 | 0.01 | 39.5% | 0.0 |
 Tyler BozakC · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:27 | 0.25 | 31.7% | 0.0 |
 Mikhail GrabovskiC · #84 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 16:59 | 0.23 | 62.7% | +12.2 |
 Matt FrattinRW · #39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16:01 | 0.36 | 56.0% | 0.0 |
 Joey CrabbRW · #46 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:32 | 0.14 | 46.3% | +16.6 |
 Carter AshtonRW · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:37 | 0.17 | 66.4% | 0.0 |
 Luke SchennD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:49 | 0.00 | 71.8% | 0.0 |
 Mike KomisarekD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:08 | 0.03 | 33.6% | 0.0 |
 Cody FransonD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:39 | 0.00 | 47.8% | 0.0 |
 Matthew LombardiC · #15 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 9:28 | 0.03 | 61.1% | +24.9 |
 Colby ArmstrongRW · #9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:29 | 0.00 | 74.2% | 0.0 |
 James Reimer#34 | W | 35 | 34 | 1 | .971 | 2.21 | +1.2 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Martin St. LouisRW · #26 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 28:18 | 0.35 | 54.0% | +0.1 |
 Steven StamkosC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 24:30 | 0.53 | 54.8% | 0.0 |
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:48 | 0.08 | 60.9% | 0.0 |
 Brett ClarkD · #7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 23:24 | 0.06 | 34.6% | +0.1 |
 Ryan MaloneLW · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 23:16 | 0.25 | 60.5% | 0.0 |
 Eric BrewerD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:32 | 0.07 | 35.2% | 0.0 |
 Teddy PurcellLW · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20:16 | 0.27 | 22.9% | 0.0 |
 Brian LeeD · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:16 | 0.05 | 47.9% | 0.0 |
 Tom PyattLW · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:04 | 0.00 | 47.0% | 0.0 |
 Adam HallRW · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:33 | 0.00 | 40.2% | 0.0 |
 Brett ConnollyRW · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 12:26 | 0.28 | 57.6% | 0.0 |
 JT WymanRW · #34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:18 | 0.06 | 36.6% | 0.0 |
 Mike CommodoreD · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:58 | 0.03 | 97.1% | 0.0 |
 Ryan ShannonRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:03 | 0.06 | 56.5% | 0.0 |
 Keith AulieD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:19 | 0.00 | 54.7% | 0.0 |
 Nate ThompsonC · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:06 | 0.09 | 96.1% | 0.0 |
 Brendan MikkelsonD · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:18 | 0.03 | 70.8% | 0.0 |
 Tim WallaceRW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:55 | 0.00 | 37.4% | 0.0 |
 Dwayne Roloson#30 | – | 18 | 18 | 0 | 1.000 | 1.38 | +1.4 | 26:10 |
 Dustin Tokarski#40 | L | 10 | 7 | 3 | .700 | 0.83 | −2.2 | 32:28 |