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Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 21, 2012·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Montréal Canadiens 0, Buffalo Sabres 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 56% of the time.

BUF winsMTL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:21Shot by Myers, saved by Price
  3. P1 0:38Shot by Desharnais, saved by Miller
  4. P1 1:02Shot by Ennis, saved by Price
  5. P1 2:47McCormick: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Boyes, McCormick, Myers, Turnbull · MTL Campoli, Nokelainen, Staubitz, Palushaj, Weber

  6. P1 2:47Staubitz: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Boyes, McCormick, Myers, Turnbull · MTL Campoli, Nokelainen, Staubitz, Palushaj, Weber

  7. P1 3:06Shot by Nokelainen, saved by Miller
  8. P1 4:53Shot by Bourque, saved by Miller
  9. P1 5:25Shot by Weber, saved by Miller
  10. P1 5:32Shot by Leblanc, saved by Miller
  11. P1 6:15Goal by Hodgson (Ehrhoff, Tropp)+17 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Vanek, Tropp, Hodgson, Myers · MTL Gorges, Nokelainen, Emelin, Bourque, Palushaj

  12. P1 6:47Shot by Gorges, saved by Miller
  13. P1 7:17Shot by Roy, saved by Price
  14. P1 7:55Leino: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Stafford, Myers, Ennis, Foligno · MTL Cole, Plekanec, Gorges, Bourque, Desharnais, Subban

  15. P1 8:33Shot by Roy, saved by Price4v5
  16. P1 9:29Shot by Plekanec, saved by Miller4v5
  17. P1 9:35Shot by Plekanec, saved by Miller4v5
  18. P1 10:59Shot by Hodgson, saved by Price
  19. P1 11:06Shot by Leopold, saved by Price
  20. P1 11:20Shot by Weber, saved by Miller
  21. P1 12:32Shot by Pominville, saved by Price
  22. P1 12:41Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Miller
  23. P1 14:47Shot by Subban, saved by Miller
  24. P1 14:51Shot by Blunden, saved by Miller
  25. P1 14:49Shot by Gorges, saved by Miller
  26. P1 15:12Shot by Stafford, saved by Price
  27. P1 16:26Shot by Pominville, saved by Price
  28. P1 17:38Shot by Weber, saved by Miller
  29. P1 18:27Shot by Subban, saved by Miller
  30. P1 0:00Period end
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 1:04Shot by Hodgson, saved by Price
  33. P2 1:32Shot by Stafford, saved by Price
  34. P2 1:42Shot by Roy, saved by Price
  35. P2 2:29Shot by Sekera, saved by Price
  36. P2 2:31Goal by Pominville (Leino, Roy)+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Roy, Pominville, Sekera, Leino · MTL Cole, Campoli, Desharnais, Weber, Pacioretty

  37. P2 3:30Shot by Bourque, saved by Miller
  38. P2 4:36Shot by Sekera, saved by Price
  39. P2 6:12Shot by Tropp, saved by Price
  40. P2 6:40Shot by Nokelainen, saved by Miller
  41. P2 8:13Shot by Cole, saved by Miller
  42. P2 8:30Shot by Cole, saved by Miller
  43. P2 9:09Shot by Blunden, saved by Miller
  44. P2 9:51Leblanc: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Sulzer, Stafford, Ennis, Foligno · MTL Gorges, Emelin, Blunden, White, Leblanc

  45. P2 12:35Shot by Roy, saved by Price
  46. P2 12:51Shot by Tropp, saved by Price
  47. P2 12:56Shot by Hodgson, saved by Price
  48. P2 14:06Shot by Pominville, saved by Price
  49. P2 16:29Shot by Plekanec, saved by Miller
  50. P2 16:38Shot by Subban, saved by Miller
  51. P2 18:22Roy: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Roy, Pominville, Sekera, Leino · MTL Cole, Campoli, Desharnais, Weber, Pacioretty

  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 1:35Shot by Stafford, saved by Price
  55. P3 1:59Shot by Leblanc, saved by Miller
  56. P3 2:34Shot by Nokelainen, saved by Miller
  57. P3 2:50Shot by Palushaj, saved by Miller
  58. P3 2:56Shot by Nokelainen, saved by Miller
  59. P3 3:16Shot by Roy, saved by Price
  60. P3 5:17Shot by Plekanec, saved by Miller
  61. P3 5:30Eller: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Stafford, Myers, Ennis, Foligno · MTL Plekanec, Gorges, Emelin, Bourque, Eller

  62. P3 6:27Shot by Hodgson, saved by Price5v4
  63. P3 7:52Shot by Regehr, saved by Price
  64. P3 8:14Shot by McCormick, saved by Price
  65. P3 8:31Shot by Hodgson, saved by Price
  66. P3 9:35Shot by Subban, saved by Miller
  67. P3 9:40Shot by Plekanec, saved by Miller
  68. P3 10:33Shot by Cole, saved by Miller
  69. P3 10:54Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Miller
  70. P3 11:16Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Miller
  71. P3 11:27Shot by Stafford, saved by Price
  72. P3 11:56Staubitz: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Vanek, Sulzer, Tropp, Hodgson · MTL Gorges, Nokelainen, Emelin, Staubitz, Palushaj

  73. P3 12:13Shot by Vanek, saved by Price5v4
  74. P3 12:45Goal by Hodgson (Roy, Vanek)5v4+2 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Roy, Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Hodgson · MTL Nokelainen, Emelin, Bourque, Weber

  75. P3 14:17Shot by Plekanec, saved by Miller
  76. P3 16:33Shot by Emelin, saved by Miller5v6
  77. P3 16:42Cole: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Roy, Pominville, Sekera, Leino · MTL Cole, Plekanec, Gorges, Emelin, Desharnais, Pacioretty

  78. P3 17:59Vanek: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Pominville, Vanek, Hodgson, Myers · MTL Plekanec, Emelin, Weber, Eller

  79. P3 18:40Pacioretty: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Roy, Pominville, Ehrhoff · MTL Markov, Plekanec, Desharnais, Subban, Pacioretty

  80. P3 19:30Subban: Cross checking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Pominville, Ehrhoff, Sekera, Hodgson · MTL Plekanec, Campoli, Emelin, Bourque, Desharnais

  81. P3 19:30Subban: Roughing (2 min)4v3

    On ice: BUF Pominville, Ehrhoff, Sekera, Hodgson · MTL Plekanec, Campoli, Emelin, Bourque, Desharnais

  82. P3 19:53Shot by Sekera, saved by Price4v3
  83. P3 0:00Period end
  84. P3 0:00Final