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Ice Lab

Fri, Mar 23, 2012·Nationwide Arena, Columbus

Carolina Hurricanes 1, Columbus Blue Jackets 5

Away

Carolina Hurricanes

1

Final

Home

Columbus Blue Jackets

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 60% of the time.

CBJ winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:32Shot by Jokinen, saved by Mason
  3. P1 1:41Shot by Johansen, saved by Ward
  4. P1 3:24Shot by Staal, saved by Mason
  5. P1 3:38Shot by Atkinson, saved by Ward
  6. P1 4:59Shot by Jokinen, saved by Mason
  7. P1 6:16Shot by LaRose, saved by Mason
  8. P1 6:50Goal by Prospal (Johnson, Savard)+17 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Prospal, Nash, Johnson, Letestu, Savard · CAR Harrison, LaRose, Staal, Tlusty, Faulk

  9. P1 9:55Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Mason
  10. P1 10:20Shot by Sutter, saved by Mason
  11. P1 10:21Letestu: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Lebda, Nikitin, Boll, Letestu, Gillies · CAR Pitkanen, Dwyer, McBain, Sutter, Bowman

  12. P1 11:45Shot by McBain, saved by Mason4v5
  13. P1 12:14Shot by Brent, saved by Mason4v5
  14. P1 12:39Shot by Allen, saved by Mason
  15. P1 14:05Shot by Umberger, saved by Ward
  16. P1 14:45Johansen: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Johnson, Russell, Dorsett, Moore, Johansen · CAR Allen, Ruutu, Gleason, Jokinen, Skinner

  17. P1 16:45Shot by Tlusty, saved by Mason4v5
  18. P1 16:52Shot by LaRose, saved by Mason
  19. P1 16:58Shot by Tlusty, saved by Mason
  20. P1 17:45Shot by Atkinson, saved by Ward
  21. P1 18:39Shot by Nash, saved by Ward
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 1:59Shot by Jokinen, saved by Mason
  25. P2 2:37Shot by Jokinen, saved by Mason
  26. P2 4:03Shot by Dwyer, saved by Mason
  27. P2 5:02Shot by Johnson, saved by Ward
  28. P2 5:26Shot by Jokinen, saved by Mason
  29. P2 7:10Shot by Stewart, saved by Mason
  30. P2 7:33Shot by Prospal, saved by Ward
  31. P2 7:39Shot by Prospal, saved by Ward
  32. P2 8:35Ruutu: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Prospal, Johnson, Brassard, Atkinson, Savard · CAR Allen, Ruutu, Gleason, Jokinen, Brent

  33. P2 8:55Shot by Nikitin, saved by Ward5v4
  34. P2 9:03Goal by Umberger (Nikitin, Brassard)5v4+11 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Umberger, Nash, Nikitin, Brassard, Atkinson · CAR Allen, Gleason, Jokinen, Sutter

  35. P2 9:23Shot by LaRose, saved by Mason
  36. P2 10:45Allen: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Umberger, Lebda, Nikitin, Dorsett, Johansen · CAR Allen, Ruutu, Gleason, Jokinen, Brent

  37. P2 13:13Shot by Bowman, saved by Mason
  38. P2 13:16Goal by Bowman (Sutter, Faulk)+13 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Johnson, Boll, Russell, Moore, Johansen · CAR Pitkanen, Dwyer, Sutter, Bowman, Faulk

  39. P2 14:06Shot by Boll, saved by Ward
  40. P2 14:36Goal by Umberger (Brassard, Nikitin)+13 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Umberger, Lebda, Nikitin, Brassard, Atkinson · CAR LaRose, Pitkanen, Staal, Tlusty, McBain

  41. P2 15:16Shot by Johnson, saved by Ward
  42. P2 16:22Shot by Jokinen, saved by Mason
  43. P2 19:30Lebda: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Prospal, Lebda, Nikitin, Dorsett, Johansen · CAR Harrison, LaRose, Staal, Faulk, Skinner

  44. P2 19:55Brassard: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)4v5

    On ice: CBJ Johnson, Johnson, Brassard, Letestu · CAR LaRose, Brent, Staal, Faulk, Skinner

  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 1:21Shot by Staal, saved by Mason3v5
  48. P3 1:41Shot by Faulk, saved by Mason4v5
  49. P3 1:59Shot by McBain, saved by Mason
  50. P3 2:13Shot by Harrison, saved by Mason
  51. P3 2:19Shot by Bowman, saved by Mason
  52. P3 2:41Shot by Staal, saved by Mason
  53. P3 3:13Shot by McBain, saved by Mason
  54. P3 3:37Shot by Nikitin, saved by Ward
  55. P3 4:02Shot by Skinner, saved by Mason
  56. P3 5:03Shot by Johnson, saved by Ward
  57. P3 5:29Shot by Sutter, saved by Mason
  58. P3 5:34Shot by Bowman, saved by Mason
  59. P3 5:45Shot by Gleason, saved by Mason
  60. P3 5:55Shot by Johnson, saved by Ward
  61. P3 6:40Shot by Tlusty, saved by Mason
  62. P3 6:49Jokinen: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Johnson, Boyce, Lebda, Russell, Dorsett · CAR Jokinen, Pitkanen, Brent, McBain, Skinner

  63. P3 7:32Shot by Umberger, saved by Ward5v4
  64. P3 8:05Shot by Staal, saved by Mason5v4
  65. P3 8:39Shot by Letestu, saved by Ward5v4
  66. P3 9:56Shot by Harrison, saved by Mason
  67. P3 10:49Gillies: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Lebda, Nikitin, Boll, Gillies, Johansen · CAR Gleason, LaRose, McBain, Sutter, Bowman

  68. P3 12:31Shot by Sutter, saved by Mason4v5
  69. P3 13:03Shot by Johnson, saved by Ward
  70. P3 13:10Shot by LaRose, saved by Mason
  71. P3 14:14Shot by Nash, saved by Ward
  72. P3 14:24Shot by LaRose, saved by Mason
  73. P3 14:58Goal by Umberger (Brassard)+2 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Umberger, Lebda, Nikitin, Brassard, Atkinson · CAR Harrison, Jokinen, Brent, Faulk, Skinner

  74. P3 15:38Shot by Moore, saved by Ward
  75. P3 16:27Shot by Sutter, saved by Mason
  76. P3 16:45Goal by Letestu (Prospal, Johnson)0 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Prospal, Nash, Johnson, Letestu, Savard · CAR LaRose, Pitkanen, McBain, Sutter, Bowman

  77. P3 17:25Shot by Johnson, saved by Ward
  78. P3 17:53Shot by Umberger, saved by Ward
  79. P3 19:36Shot by Bowman, saved by Mason
  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. P3 0:00Final