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Ice Lab

Fri, Mar 23, 2012·Nationwide Arena, Columbus

Carolina Hurricanes 1, Columbus Blue Jackets 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 60% of the time.

CBJ winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CBJ forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

LaRose–Staal–TlustyDwyer–Sutter–BowmanRuutu–Jokinen–SkinnerJokinen–Brent–SkinnerLaRose–Sutter–BowmanPitkanen–McBainAllen–GleasonHarrison–FaulkHarrison–McBain
Umberger–Brassard–Atkinson3:190.21–0.030:400.00–0.000:570.00–0.080:320.24–0.002:130.13–0.102:240.04–0.002:110.27–0.00
Prospal–Nash–Letestu2:570.05–0.284:130.20–0.081:140.11–0.183:470.03–0.022:460.22–0.21
Boyce–Boll–Gillies1:090.00–0.021:060.00–0.062:380.00–0.080:350.00–0.11
Russell–Dorsett–Johansen0:400.15–0.203:320.02–0.130:500.04–0.113:010.22–0.012:290.00–0.27
Boll–Gillies–Johansen0:510.05–0.010:530.02–0.001:180.02–0.00
Boyce–Russell–Dorsett1:000.01–0.041:030.00–0.001:310.00–0.000:300.00–0.04
Prospal–Dorsett–Letestu0:420.00–0.011:000.00–0.01
Umberger–Nash–Brassard0:330.00–0.01
Johnson–Savard6:410.24–0.083:430.20–0.013:370.25–0.115:450.05–0.012:270.25–0.00
Lebda–Nikitin1:150.23–0.002:590.00–0.052:290.00–0.232:460.28–0.174:520.27–0.174:220.00–0.252:330.24–0.03
Johnson–Moore0:500.00–0.061:400.02–0.273:050.07–0.024:230.07–0.082:030.02–0.001:480.00–0.16
Johnson–Johnson1:570.00–0.261:140.00–0.150:300.00–0.04
Lebda–Savard0:390.00–0.200:390.00–0.03
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndAtkinson FBrassard FUmberger FLetestu FProspal FNash FDorsett FJohansen FRussell FGillies FBoll FBoyce FJohnson DSavard DNikitin DLebda DMoore DJohnson DMason GStaal FTlusty FLaRose FSutter FDwyer FBowman FRuutu FJokinen FSkinner FStewart FBrent FAllen DGleason DFaulk DHarrison DMcBain DPitkanen DJoslin DWard G
CBJCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Jack JohnsonCBJ2826:550:581:4637
Jamie McBainCAR2722:120:491:3532
Eric StaalCAR2721:590:491:4863
Justin FaulkCAR2921:390:451:4866
David SavardCBJ2119:570:571:3831
Aaron JohnsonCBJ2619:420:451:2946
Joni PitkanenCAR2419:070:481:5052
Nikita NikitinCBJ2418:470:471:3431
Tim GleasonCAR2518:400:451:3114
Jeff SkinnerCAR2118:350:531:4030
Bryan AllenCAR2317:430:461:3114
Chad LaRoseCAR2317:300:461:3251
Derek DorsettCBJ2317:290:461:2025
R.J. UmbergerCBJ2517:120:411:1343
Jay HarrisonCAR2317:070:451:3935
Mark LetestuCBJ2217:000:461:2054
Jiri TlustyCAR2516:540:411:0653
Brett LebdaCBJ2316:430:441:2714
Derick BrassardCBJ2416:390:421:1335
Jussi JokinenCAR2116:330:471:1840
Brandon SutterCAR2715:440:351:0416
Cam AtkinsonCBJ2114:540:431:2624
Tuomo RuutuCAR1914:450:471:1911
Tim BrentCAR2014:360:441:4852
John MooreCBJ1914:220:451:3322
Vinny ProspalCBJ1914:080:451:2052
Rick NashCBJ2113:380:391:1482
Colton GilliesCBJ1713:290:481:1111
Ryan JohansenCBJ1713:140:471:4002
Ryan RussellCBJ1912:590:411:1633
Drayson BowmanCAR2312:440:331:0415
Patrick DwyerCAR2212:180:340:5915
Darryl BoyceCBJ1811:390:391:1235
Jared BollCBJ1411:130:481:3410
Anthony StewartCAR139:350:441:1610
Derek JoslinCAR127:510:390:5610