Sat, Mar 24, 2012·HP Pavilion at San Jose, San Jose
Phoenix Coyotes 3, San Jose Sharks 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 65% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHX | 28 | 110 | 09 | 00 | 0 | 327 |
| SJS | 210 | 110 | 08 | 04 | 2 | 432 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:31PHXDaymond LangkowAssists: Gilbert Brule, Raffi Torres · Snap, 0.12 xG1–0
- P1 8:09SJSPatrick MarleauAssists: Joe Thornton · Wrist, 0.15 xG1–1
- P1 17:28SJSBrent BurnsAssists: Joe Pavelski, Joe Thornton · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–2
- P1 19:59PHXDerek MorrisAssists: Daymond Langkow · Wrist, 0.06 xG2–2
- P2 0:49PHXLauri KorpikoskiAssists: Ray Whitney · Deflected, 0.16 xG3–2
- P2 5:01SJSDaniel WinnikAssists: Andrew Desjardins, Tommy Wingels · Slap, 0.06 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. SJS Michal Handzus scored
- 2. PHX Mikkel Boedker stopped
- 3. SJS Ryane Clowe scored
- 4. PHX Ray Whitney stopped
Penalties (6)
- P1 9:34PHXMichael Stone: Delaying game2 min
- P1 12:27PHXDerek Morris: Hooking2 min
- P1 12:57SJSJoe Thornton: Hooking2 min
- P2 6:41PHXAlexandre Bolduc: Hooking2 min
- P2 17:10PHXKyle Chipchura: Interference2 min
- P3 15:55PHXRostislav Klesla: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hanzal won the faceoff against Couture
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestLangkow – Torres – Brule11:44
xG 0.28–0.13 (68%)attempts 7–11goals 2–0
- Vermette – Gordon – Boedker8:09
xG 0.43–0.33 (57%)attempts 7–9goals 0–0
- Bissonnette – Bolduc – Chipchura5:12
xG 0.21–0.15 (58%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
- Whitney – Korpikoski – Hanzal6:24
xG 0.43–0.43 (50%)attempts 7–7goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestKlesla – Stone13:05
xG 0.75–0.40 (65%)attempts 13–17goals 1–1
- Morris – Yandle18:26
xG 0.43–0.87 (33%)attempts 11–22goals 2–0
- Rozsival – Ekman-Larsson12:45
xG 0.12–0.57 (17%)attempts 9–13goals 0–2
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestThornton – Marleau – Pavelski11:18
xG 1.03–0.44 (70%)attempts 19–10goals 2–0
- Winnik – Desjardins – Wingels8:34
xG 0.41–0.03 (93%)attempts 17–2goals 1–0
- Handzus – Moore – Mitchell8:29
xG 0.26–0.20 (56%)attempts 8–5goals 0–1
- Havlat – Clowe – Couture9:58
xG 0.09–0.26 (26%)attempts 10–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestMurray – Burns9:54
xG 0.64–0.38 (62%)attempts 14–5goals 2–0
- Boyle – Demers2:38
xG 0.18–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–0goals 0–0
- Vlasic – Braun3:58
xG 0.23–0.23 (50%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it PHX. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 65% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − PHX), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).