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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 26, 2012·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Philadelphia Flyers 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 83% of the time.

PHI winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

PHI forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

St. Louis–Purcell–StamkosMalone–Pyatt–ConnollyWyman–Wallace–SmithWyman–Smith–LabriePurcell–Labrie–ConnollySt. Louis–Wallace–StamkosSegal–Wallace–StamkosSegal–Wyman–PyattSt. Louis–Malone–StamkosMalone–Wyman–PyattSegal–Pyatt–WallaceSt. Louis–Pyatt–StamkosSegal–Pyatt–LabrieClark–LeeBrewer–MikkelsonBrewer–GervaisClark–CommodoreBrewer–CommodoreClark–BrewerLee–AulieBrewer–LeeCommodore–AulieGervais–MikkelsonGervais–AulieCommodore–MikkelsonCommodore–GervaisCommodore–Lee
Jagr–Hartnell–Giroux4:310.31–0.001:110.00–0.001:050.00–0.020:560.00–0.003:020.22–0.040:470.01–0.021:520.09–0.000:590.02–0.001:060.00–0.000:310.00–0.00
Brière–Simmonds–Schenn0:570.00–0.001:270.07–0.090:360.00–0.001:100.00–0.001:010.00–0.131:130.03–0.001:070.19–0.031:040.00–0.091:000.07–0.001:220.01–0.120:540.00–0.001:090.07–0.001:130.00–0.131:580.19–0.03
Talbot–Rinaldo–Couturier5:460.12–0.140:300.00–0.000:320.00–0.001:550.01–0.100:540.00–0.041:360.00–0.000:490.00–0.000:400.00–0.000:350.11–0.00
Voracek–Wellwood–Read1:520.07–0.000:460.18–0.010:420.00–0.101:170.26–0.000:320.06–0.000:400.00–0.00
Talbot–Voracek–Couturier2:360.20–0.000:540.18–0.001:010.02–0.001:360.20–0.001:360.18–0.000:360.02–0.00
Talbot–Wellwood–Couturier0:390.00–0.000:520.00–0.000:330.00–0.000:360.00–0.00
Coburn–Grossmann8:520.32–0.141:480.00–0.001:230.18–0.091:010.02–0.005:170.20–0.101:220.11–0.041:150.00–0.000:470.00–0.000:480.00–0.000:340.00–0.001:130.11–0.001:360.18–0.000:320.00–0.000:570.02–0.00
Kubina–Gustafsson0:490.00–0.003:440.38–0.001:260.00–0.091:400.00–0.001:340.00–0.101:130.03–0.000:510.19–0.030:370.00–0.002:130.22–0.091:250.07–0.001:250.09–0.001:310.01–0.120:360.00–0.001:140.00–0.001:270.03–0.001:270.19–0.03
Timonen–Carle1:540.00–0.001:040.25–0.000:460.06–0.000:570.00–0.000:590.00–0.020:340.00–0.001:160.00–0.001:450.27–0.021:070.00–0.000:330.13–0.000:590.02–0.001:110.06–0.000:330.19–0.000:440.21–0.11
Coburn–Carle0:400.00–0.000:310.00–0.00
Kubina–Carle
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndCouturier FTalbot FRinaldo FHartnell FGiroux FJagr FSimmonds FBrière FSchenn FRead FWellwood FVoracek FCoburn DGrossmann DTimonen DCarle DKubina DGustafsson DBryzgalov GPurcell FSt. Louis FStamkos FPyatt FMalone FConnolly FWallace FSmith FWyman FLabrie FSegal FClark DLee DBrewer DMikkelson DGervais DAulie DCommodore DRoloson G
PHITBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Eric BrewerTBL2626:141:012:4509
Steven StamkosTBL2624:190:561:5854
Martin St. LouisTBL2523:090:561:3864
Tom PyattTBL2723:050:511:45010
Kimmo TimonenPHI2422:070:553:0592
Brett ClarkTBL2521:140:511:57310
Claude GirouxPHI2221:010:572:45123
Braydon CoburnPHI2821:010:451:3156
Matt CarlePHI2420:070:501:4062
Scott HartnellPHI2019:521:002:45122
Ryan MaloneTBL2219:020:521:5408
Bruno GervaisTBL2218:330:511:3525
Jakub VoracekPHI2218:200:502:37121
Nicklas GrossmannPHI2518:000:431:1766
Jaromir JagrPHI2017:500:542:4581
Daniel BrièrePHI2217:410:481:2570
Max TalbotPHI2317:390:461:5245
Brian LeeTBL2117:270:501:3123
Sean CouturierPHI2417:060:431:3356
Teddy PurcellTBL2016:430:501:3251
Brayden SchennPHI1715:050:531:3140
Wayne SimmondsPHI1714:510:522:1650
Mike CommodoreTBL2114:470:421:3105
Pavel KubinaPHI1814:330:491:3950
JT WymanTBL2214:310:401:25014
Erik GustafssonPHI1914:160:451:3950
Brett ConnollyTBL1713:030:461:3913
Trevor SmithTBL1812:380:421:3105
Matt ReadPHI1712:120:431:3051
Brendan MikkelsonTBL1811:400:391:3913
Keith AulieTBL139:120:421:2510
Tim WallaceTBL148:400:371:3005
Eric WellwoodPHI148:210:361:1440
Zac RinaldoPHI148:190:361:2503
Brandon SegalTBL97:280:501:3910
Pierre-Cedric LabrieTBL107:270:451:1313