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Ice Lab

Fri, Mar 30, 2012·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit

Nashville Predators 4, Detroit Red Wings 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 57% of the time.

DET winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:24Shot by Radulov, saved by Howard
  3. P1 0:43Bertuzzi: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Lidstrom, Bertuzzi, Datsyuk, White, Franzen · NSH Legwand, Suter, Weber, Radulov, Hornqvist

  4. P1 1:51Shot by Weber, saved by Howard4v5
  5. P1 2:48Shot by Suter, saved by Howard
  6. P1 3:17Shot by Josi, saved by Howard
  7. P1 8:18Shot by Lidstrom, saved by Rinne
  8. P1 8:29Shot by Erat, saved by Howard
  9. P1 10:22Shot by Cleary, saved by Rinne
  10. P1 10:59Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Rinne
  11. P1 12:18Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Howard
  12. P1 12:28Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Rinne
  13. P1 12:41Shot by Emmerton, saved by Rinne
  14. P1 14:01Shot by Josi, saved by Howard
  15. P1 16:27Shot by Franzen, saved by Rinne
  16. P1 17:23Shot by Josi, saved by Howard
  17. P1 18:15Shot by Kostitsyn, saved by Howard
  18. P1 18:55Shot by Hudler, saved by Rinne
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:32Shot by Lidstrom, saved by Rinne
  22. P2 1:15Shot by Fisher, saved by Howard
  23. P2 2:48Shot by Tootoo, saved by Howard
  24. P2 3:19Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Rinne
  25. P2 4:35Shot by Hudler, saved by Rinne
  26. P2 5:42Gaustad: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Cleary, Stuart, Kronwall, Miller, Abdelkader · NSH Gaustad, Tootoo, Suter, Weber, Bourque

  27. P2 6:01Shot by Kronwall, saved by Rinne5v4
  28. P2 6:16Shot by Gill, saved by Howard5v4
  29. P2 6:35Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Rinne5v4
  30. P2 7:30Shot by Filppula, saved by Rinne5v4
  31. P2 7:40Shot by Hudler, saved by Rinne5v4
  32. P2 8:25Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Howard
  33. P2 9:47Shot by Kindl, saved by Rinne
  34. P2 11:12Shot by Klein, saved by Howard
  35. P2 12:09Shot by Stuart, saved by Rinne
  36. P2 13:05Goal by Bourque (Tootoo, Gill)+25 pts WP

    On ice: DET Lidstrom, Holmstrom, Stuart, Emmerton, Nyquist · NSH Gill, Gaustad, Tootoo, Josi, Bourque

  37. P2 14:04Spaling: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Lidstrom, Cleary, Datsyuk, White, Franzen · NSH Bouillon, Klein, Radulov, Hornqvist, Spaling

  38. P2 14:37Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Rinne5v4
  39. P2 14:48Shot by Lidstrom, saved by Rinne5v4
  40. P2 15:30Shot by Kindl, saved by Rinne5v4
  41. P2 16:24Radulov: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: DET Lidstrom, Bertuzzi, Filppula, Hudler, White · NSH Fisher, Suter, Weber, Radulov, Kostitsyn, Spaling

  42. P2 16:48Shot by Lidstrom, saved by Rinne5v4
  43. P2 16:58Shot by Lidstrom, saved by Rinne5v4
  44. P2 16:59Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Rinne5v4
  45. P2 17:45Shot by White, saved by Rinne5v4
  46. P2 18:11Shot by Kronwall, saved by Rinne5v4
  47. P2 19:27Shot by Josi, saved by Howard
  48. P2 19:27Goal by Bouillon (Radulov)+17 pts WP

    On ice: DET Bertuzzi, Cleary, Stuart, Ericsson, Abdelkader · NSH Bouillon, Radulov, Spaling, Josi, Bourque

  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:57Shot by Erat, saved by Howard
  52. P3 1:54Shot by Miller, saved by Rinne
  53. P3 2:40Goal by Radulov (Kostitsyn, Rinne)+6 pts WP

    On ice: DET Lidstrom, Holmstrom, White, Emmerton, Nyquist · NSH Gill, Legwand, Kostitsyn, Radulov, Josi

  54. P3 5:01Shot by Nyquist, saved by Rinne
  55. P3 5:30Shot by Kostitsyn, saved by Howard
  56. P3 5:40Shot by Radulov, saved by Howard
  57. P3 5:48Shot by Suter, saved by Howard
  58. P3 5:58Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Rinne
  59. P3 6:13Shot by Fisher, saved by Howard
  60. P3 6:39Shot by Kronwall, saved by Rinne
  61. P3 8:19Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Rinne
  62. P3 10:38Kindl: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Filppula, Hudler, Ericsson, Kindl · NSH Suter, Weber, Hornqvist, Spaling, Bourque

  63. P3 10:56Shot by Suter, saved by Howard4v5
  64. P3 15:12Shot by Filppula, saved by Rinne
  65. P3 16:13Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Rinne
  66. P3 16:27Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Howard
  67. P3 16:57Goal by Hudler (Zetterberg, Ericsson)+1 pts WP

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Filppula, Hudler, Ericsson, Kindl · NSH Suter, Weber, Radulov, Spaling, Bourque

  68. P3 17:32Shot by Klein, saved by Howard
  69. P3 19:20Goal by Weber (Legwand)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: DET Lidstrom, Holmstrom, Zetterberg, Filppula, Hudler, White · NSH Legwand, Gaustad, Suter, Weber, Halischuk

  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. P3 0:00Final