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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 31, 2012·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Buffalo Sabres 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 4

Away

Buffalo Sabres

3

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 52% of the time.

TOR winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:17Shot by Hodgson, saved by Scrivens
  3. P1 1:25Shot by Leopold, saved by Scrivens
  4. P1 1:35Shot by Hodgson, saved by Scrivens
  5. P1 5:19Shot by Stafford, saved by Scrivens
  6. P1 5:36Shot by Gardiner, saved by Miller
  7. P1 7:49Shot by MacArthur, saved by Miller
  8. P1 8:15Shot by Leopold, saved by Scrivens
  9. P1 9:14Ashton: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Liles, Lombardi, Komisarek, Brown, Ashton · BUF Pominville, Sulzer, Stafford, Ennis, McNabb, Foligno

  10. P1 9:32Goal by Crabb, unassisted4v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Connolly, Crabb, Phaneuf, Gunnarsson · BUF Roy, Pominville, Vanek, Sekera, Hodgson

  11. P1 13:03Shot by Brennan, saved by Scrivens
  12. P1 13:23Brown: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Connolly, Brown, Schenn, Gardiner, Ashton · BUF Boyes, Brennan, Tropp, Hodgson, McNabb

  13. P1 13:34Shot by Boyes, saved by Scrivens4v5
  14. P1 16:33Shot by Crabb, saved by Miller
  15. P1 17:39Shot by Ashton, saved by Miller
  16. P1 19:07Shot by Kaleta, saved by Scrivens
  17. P1 19:22Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Miller
  18. P1 19:51Shot by Grabovski, saved by Miller
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:10Shot by Liles, saved by Miller
  22. P2 1:02Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller
  23. P2 2:36Shot by Brennan, saved by Scrivens
  24. P2 4:37Shot by MacArthur, saved by Miller
  25. P2 7:02Rosehill: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Liles, Komisarek, Kessel, Frattin, Bozak · BUF Roy, Pominville, Sulzer, Sekera, Leino

  26. P2 7:17Shot by Hodgson, saved by Scrivens4v5
  27. P2 7:27Shot by Sulzer, saved by Scrivens4v5
  28. P2 7:27Shot by Hodgson, saved by Scrivens4v5
  29. P2 7:44Shot by Sulzer, saved by Scrivens4v5
  30. P2 7:53Shot by Hodgson, saved by Scrivens4v5
  31. P2 7:56Shot by Roy, saved by Scrivens4v5
  32. P2 8:50Shot by Sekera, saved by Scrivens4v5
  33. P2 9:34Shot by Komisarek, saved by Miller
  34. P2 10:46Shot by Gardiner, saved by Miller
  35. P2 10:59Goal by Ennis (Stafford, Leopold)+22 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Connolly, Brown, Schenn, Gardiner, Ashton · BUF Regehr, Leopold, Stafford, Ennis, Foligno

  36. P2 11:06Shot by Ashton, saved by Miller
  37. P2 11:17Shot by Bozak, saved by Miller
  38. P2 12:43Shot by McNabb, saved by Scrivens
  39. P2 12:50Shot by Foligno, saved by Scrivens
  40. P2 13:19Shot by Sulzer, saved by Scrivens
  41. P2 13:34Shot by Sulzer, saved by Scrivens
  42. P2 13:46Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Miller
  43. P2 14:22Leopold: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Komisarek, Armstrong, Rosehill, Grabovski, Gunnarsson · BUF Regehr, Leopold, Vanek, Leino, Hodgson

  44. P2 14:57Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller5v4
  45. P2 15:17Goal by Kessel (Bozak, Gardiner)5v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, MacArthur, Kessel, Gardiner, Bozak · BUF Sulzer, Stafford, Sekera, Hodgson

  46. P2 15:28Shot by Ennis, saved by Scrivens
  47. P2 18:03Shot by Frattin, saved by Miller
  48. P2 18:46Shot by Connolly, saved by Miller
  49. P2 19:16Shot by Regehr, saved by Scrivens
  50. P2 19:57Shot by MacArthur, saved by Miller
  51. P2 19:59Goal by Liles (MacArthur, Crabb)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Liles, Komisarek, Crabb, MacArthur, Grabovski · BUF Leopold, Vanek, Tropp, Hodgson, McNabb

  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 1:08Shot by Tropp, saved by Scrivens
  55. P3 2:03Shot by Brennan, saved by Scrivens
  56. P3 3:16Shot by Leino, saved by Scrivens
  57. P3 4:26Shot by Brown, saved by Miller
  58. P3 5:08Shot by Ennis, saved by Scrivens
  59. P3 6:48Goal by Leino (Pominville, Sulzer)+12 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Connolly, Phaneuf, Brown, Gunnarsson, Ashton · BUF Roy, Pominville, Sulzer, Brennan, Leino

  60. P3 7:26Vanek: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Crabb, Phaneuf, MacArthur, Grabovski, Gunnarsson · BUF Leopold, Vanek, Tropp, Hodgson, McNabb

  61. P3 9:01Shot by Liles, saved by Miller5v4
  62. P3 10:11Shot by Ennis, saved by Scrivens
  63. P3 10:20Goal by Frattin (MacArthur, Liles)+12 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Liles, Komisarek, MacArthur, Frattin, Bozak · BUF Sulzer, Stafford, Brennan, Ennis, Foligno

  64. P3 12:46Shot by MacArthur, saved by Miller
  65. P3 13:07Shot by Lombardi, saved by Miller
  66. P3 14:19Shot by MacArthur, saved by Miller
  67. P3 16:57Shot by MacArthur, saved by Miller
  68. P3 17:13Shot by Ennis, saved by Scrivens
  69. P3 17:15Goal by Stafford (Foligno, Ennis)+6 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Connolly, Brown, Schenn, Gardiner, Ashton · BUF Leopold, Stafford, Brennan, Ennis, Foligno

  70. P3 18:15Shot by Lombardi, saved by Miller
  71. P3 19:59Shot by Leopold, saved by Scrivens5v6
  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. P3 0:00Final