Sat, Mar 31, 2012·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Buffalo Sabres 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 52% of the time.
44%
8%
8%
40%
TOR winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jordan LeopoldD · #3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 25:16 | 0.12 | 49.3% | +22.0 |
 Andrej SekeraD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:28 | 0.02 | 26.9% | 0.0 |
 Alexander SulzerD · #52 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22:40 | 0.36 | 41.7% | +12.4 |
 Derek RoyC · #9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:49 | 0.12 | 56.3% | 0.0 |
 Drew StaffordRW · #21 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 20:23 | 0.33 | 55.6% | +28.4 |
 Jason PominvilleRW · #29 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:23 | 0.17 | 66.3% | +12.4 |
 Cody HodgsonC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 19:52 | 0.52 | 22.5% | 0.0 |
 Tyler EnnisRW · #63 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 18:23 | 0.23 | 61.8% | +28.4 |
 Marcus FolignoLW · #82 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:37 | 0.23 | 53.4% | +6.4 |
 Robyn RegehrD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:15 | 0.02 | 47.5% | 0.0 |
 Thomas VanekLW · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:44 | 0.16 | 23.6% | 0.0 |
 Brayden McNabbD · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:32 | 0.05 | 48.8% | 0.0 |
 Ville LeinoLW · #23 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:12 | 0.27 | 53.4% | +12.4 |
 Corey TroppRW · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:29 | 0.04 | 21.9% | 0.0 |
 TJ BrennanD · #33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 11:56 | 0.21 | 51.6% | 0.0 |
 Brad BoyesRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:06 | 0.14 | 50.6% | 0.0 |
 Patrick KaletaRW · #36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:12 | 0.08 | 77.3% | 0.0 |
 Cody McCormickC · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:49 | 0.02 | 77.3% | 0.0 |
 Ryan Miller#30 | L | 29 | 25 | 4 | .862 | 3.20 | −0.8 | 58:59 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Dion PhaneufD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26:11 | 0.14 | 65.5% | 0.0 |
 Carl GunnarssonD · #36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:20 | 0.00 | 70.5% | 0.0 |
 Clarke MacArthurLW · #16 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 20:01 | 0.63 | 71.9% | +25.2 |
 Tyler BozakC · #42 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:59 | 0.15 | 50.0% | +20.7 |
 Phil KesselRW · #81 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:56 | 0.30 | 45.5% | +20.7 |
 Joey CrabbRW · #46 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 19:42 | 0.19 | 71.7% | +31.1 |
 John-Michael LilesD · #24 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 18:58 | 0.49 | 65.8% | +25.2 |
 Mike KomisarekD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 18:11 | 0.03 | 61.3% | 0.0 |
 Jake GardinerD · #51 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 18:06 | 0.04 | 29.8% | +20.7 |
 Tim ConnollyC · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:52 | 0.16 | 43.4% | 0.0 |
 Matt FrattinRW · #39 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:48 | 0.18 | 48.6% | +11.8 |
 Mikhail GrabovskiC · #84 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:41 | 0.09 | 65.8% | 0.0 |
 Luke SchennD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:14 | 0.02 | 22.7% | 0.0 |
 Mike BrownRW · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 12:53 | 0.42 | 41.6% | 0.0 |
 Matthew LombardiC · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:49 | 0.25 | 80.8% | 0.0 |
 Carter AshtonRW · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 12:02 | 0.10 | 32.9% | 0.0 |
 Jay RosehillLW · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:50 | 0.00 | 18.9% | 0.0 |
 Colby ArmstrongRW · #9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:27 | 0.00 | 18.9% | 0.0 |
 Ben Scrivens#30 | W | 32 | 29 | 3 | .906 | 3.07 | +0.1 | 60:00 |