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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 22, 2013·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Carolina Hurricanes 1

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

4

Final

Home

Carolina Hurricanes

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 66% of the time.

CAR winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:29Shot by Gleason, saved by Garon
  3. P1 0:42Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Ward
  4. P1 5:18Goal by Pyatt (Lecavalier, Carle)+20 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Jokinen, LaRose, Pitkanen, Sanguinetti, Skinner · TBL Salo, Lecavalier, Carle, Pouliot, Pyatt

  5. P1 5:48Shot by Pyatt, saved by Ward
  6. P1 6:25Shot by Staal, saved by Garon
  7. P1 7:30Shot by Staal, saved by Garon
  8. P1 7:28Shot by Staal, saved by Garon
  9. P1 7:38Shot by Bowman, saved by Garon
  10. P1 9:17Shot by LaRose, saved by Garon
  11. P1 11:35Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Ward
  12. P1 11:36Goal by Conacher (Lecavalier, Purcell)+16 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Semin, Pitkanen, Staal, Sanguinetti, Bowman · TBL Salo, Lecavalier, Purcell, Hedman, Conacher

  13. P1 12:04Shot by Thompson, saved by Ward
  14. P1 12:54Shot by Welsh, saved by Garon
  15. P1 13:02Crombeen: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Harrison, Brent, Westgarth, Welsh · TBL Brewer, Hall, Crombeen, Aulie, Tyrell

  16. P1 13:25Shot by Skinner, saved by Garon5v4
  17. P1 15:21Shot by Crombeen, saved by Ward
  18. P1 17:09Staal: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CAR Gleason, Dwyer, Tlusty, Staal, Faulk · TBL Salo, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Stamkos, Hedman, Conacher

  19. P1 19:08Shot by Purcell, saved by Ward4v5
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:03Shot by Hedman, saved by Ward
  23. P2 1:03Shot by Dwyer, saved by Garon
  24. P2 1:29Conacher: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Gleason, Jokinen, LaRose, Faulk, Skinner · TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Carle, Stamkos, Conacher

  25. P2 1:41Shot by Semin, saved by Garon5v4
  26. P2 3:15Malone: Boarding (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CAR LaRose, Semin, Pitkanen, Staal, Tlusty · TBL Brewer, Malone, Crombeen, Hedman

  27. P2 3:31Shot by Semin, saved by Garon5v4
  28. P2 3:35Goal by Skinner (Staal, Semin)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Semin, Staal, Staal, Faulk, Skinner · TBL Brewer, Hall, Hedman, Conacher

  29. P2 3:33Shot by Staal, saved by Garon5v4
  30. P2 4:44Shot by Purcell, saved by Ward
  31. P2 4:52Shot by Staal, saved by Garon
  32. P2 4:56Shot by Corvo, saved by Garon
  33. P2 5:41Shot by Faulk, saved by Garon
  34. P2 5:46Shot by Hedman, saved by Ward
  35. P2 6:02Shot by Skinner, saved by Garon
  36. P2 6:05Shot by Skinner, saved by Garon
  37. P2 7:47Shot by Stamkos, saved by Ward
  38. P2 8:36Shot by St. Louis, saved by Ward
  39. P2 9:09Shot by Staal, saved by Garon
  40. P2 9:14Bowman: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Harrison, Semin, Staal, Bowman · TBL Brewer, Lecavalier, Carle, Pouliot, Purcell

  41. P2 9:46Shot by Dwyer, saved by Garon4v5
  42. P2 10:56Shot by Carle, saved by Ward4v5
  43. P2 11:10Carle: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: CAR Gleason, Semin, Staal, Faulk · TBL Lecavalier, Carle, Pouliot, Hedman, Conacher

  44. P2 12:44Shot by Corvo, saved by Garon5v4
  45. P2 14:44Shot by Pouliot, saved by Ward
  46. P2 16:28Jokinen: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Jokinen, LaRose, Pitkanen, Sanguinetti, Skinner · TBL Salo, Malone, Thompson, Pyatt, Hedman

  47. P2 16:37Shot by Conacher, saved by Ward4v5
  48. P2 18:16Shot by St. Louis, saved by Ward4v5
  49. P2 18:27Shot by Carle, saved by Ward4v5
  50. P2 19:18Shot by Pyatt, saved by Ward
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 1:28Shot by Pyatt, saved by Ward
  54. P3 1:37Goal by Aulie (Mikkelson)+18 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Harrison, Jokinen, LaRose, Skinner · TBL Thompson, Pouliot, Mikkelson, Pyatt, Aulie

  55. P3 1:56Tyrell: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Pitkanen, Brent, Sanguinetti, Westgarth, Welsh · TBL Salo, Hall, Crombeen, Tyrell, Hedman

  56. P3 1:56Brent: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CAR Pitkanen, Brent, Sanguinetti, Westgarth, Welsh · TBL Salo, Hall, Crombeen, Tyrell, Hedman

  57. P3 3:27Shot by Semin, saved by Garon4v4
  58. P3 4:13LaRose: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Harrison, Jokinen, LaRose, Skinner · TBL Carle, Thompson, Tyrell, Hedman, Conacher

  59. P3 5:35Shot by Semin, saved by Garon4v5
  60. P3 5:54Shot by Pouliot, saved by Ward4v5
  61. P3 6:02Shot by Malone, saved by Ward4v5
  62. P3 7:16Shot by Pyatt, saved by Ward
  63. P3 7:49Shot by Tlusty, saved by Garon
  64. P3 7:53Shot by Gleason, saved by Garon
  65. P3 7:55Shot by Gleason, saved by Garon
  66. P3 8:13Shot by Staal, saved by Garon
  67. P3 9:07Shot by Staal, saved by Garon
  68. P3 9:26Shot by Semin, saved by Garon
  69. P3 9:36Jokinen: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Harrison, Jokinen, LaRose, Skinner · TBL Lecavalier, Pouliot, Mikkelson, Purcell, Aulie

  70. P3 9:57Goal by Malone (Stamkos, Salo)4v5+5 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Gleason, Brent, Staal, Faulk · TBL Salo, St. Louis, Malone, Carle, Stamkos

  71. P3 10:44Shot by Harrison, saved by Garon
  72. P3 12:28Lecavalier: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Gleason, LaRose, Staal, Faulk, Welsh · TBL Lecavalier, Pouliot, Mikkelson, Purcell, Aulie

  73. P3 13:20Hall: Elbowing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CAR Semin, Pitkanen, Staal, Staal, Skinner · TBL Brewer, Hall, Carle, Pyatt

  74. P3 13:20Staal: Roughing (2 min)5v3

    On ice: CAR Semin, Pitkanen, Staal, Staal, Skinner · TBL Brewer, Hall, Carle, Pyatt

  75. P3 15:28Shot by Bowman, saved by Garon
  76. P3 15:30Shot by Staal, saved by Garon
  77. P3 15:43Shot by Semin, saved by Garon
  78. P3 16:10Shot by Purcell, saved by Ward
  79. P3 16:20Shot by Staal, saved by Garon
  80. P3 18:18Shot by Staal, saved by Garon
  81. P3 18:22Shot by Skinner, saved by Garon
  82. P3 19:40Staal: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Semin, Pitkanen, Staal, Faulk, Skinner · TBL Malone, Thompson, Mikkelson, Pyatt, Aulie

  83. P3 0:00Period end
  84. P3 0:00Final