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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 22, 2013·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Carolina Hurricanes 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 66% of the time.

CAR winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Lecavalier–Pouliot–PurcellSt. Louis–Malone–StamkosSt. Louis–Stamkos–ConacherHall–Crombeen–TyrellLecavalier–Purcell–ConacherMalone–Thompson–PyattThompson–Pouliot–PyattLecavalier–Purcell–TyrellCrombeen–Thompson–PyattBrewer–CarleSalo–HedmanMikkelson–AulieMikkelson–HedmanBrewer–HedmanBrewer–AulieCarle–Mikkelson
Semin–Staal–Bowman3:190.17–0.161:360.00–0.650:340.00–0.174:140.11–0.422:470.10–0.721:180.21–0.00
Dwyer–Tlusty–Staal0:490.08–0.063:240.37–0.002:380.41–0.082:330.44–0.063:410.24–0.060:380.00–0.00
Jokinen–LaRose–Skinner1:260.00–0.060:420.00–0.001:040.00–0.001:310.14–0.050:370.00–0.02
Semin–Staal–Skinner0:330.06–0.000:500.09–0.000:310.00–0.051:040.29–0.000:500.00–0.00
Brent–Westgarth–Welsh2:460.02–0.000:380.00–0.001:030.00–0.000:510.00–0.00
Brent–Dwyer–Bowman0:470.00–0.00
Gleason–Faulk1:390.19–0.063:430.38–0.003:550.41–0.244:430.35–0.353:520.26–0.091:410.11–0.000:390.00–0.000:450.00–0.00
Pitkanen–Sanguinetti4:060.16–0.161:160.34–0.021:020.00–0.001:440.00–0.653:050.06–0.105:080.15–0.751:320.21–0.000:430.00–0.000:470.37–0.00
Corvo–Harrison0:430.07–0.001:520.02–0.000:500.14–0.091:350.00–0.061:290.04–0.000:500.00–0.172:510.46–0.171:480.07–0.213:380.15–0.050:520.00–0.020:370.00–0.00
Pitkanen–Faulk0:330.00–0.000:480.00–0.000:480.00–0.001:210.00–0.00
Gleason–Harrison0:470.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndStaal FTlusty FJokinen FStaal FBowman FSemin FSkinner FLaRose FWestgarth FBrent FWelsh FDwyer FGleason DFaulk DSanguinetti DPitkanen DCorvo DHarrison DWard GMalone FSt. Louis FStamkos FLecavalier FPurcell FConacher FPyatt FThompson FPouliot FHall FCrombeen FTyrell FSalo DHedman DBrewer DCarle DAulie DMikkelson DGaron G
CARTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Justin FaulkCAR3126:160:511:5658
Victor HedmanTBL3023:270:471:2534
Alexander SeminCAR2923:220:482:0673
Matt CarleTBL2923:060:481:3174
Joni PitkanenCAR3322:550:421:4698
Eric StaalCAR2922:510:472:0663
Eric BrewerTBL2722:220:501:2537
Tim GleasonCAR3021:230:431:2527
Jordan StaalCAR3120:300:401:2567
Martin St. LouisTBL2320:180:531:3572
Sami SaloTBL2919:570:411:2153
Vincent LecavalierTBL2219:560:541:4552
Steven StamkosTBL2119:390:562:0872
Jiri TlustyCAR2819:110:411:4445
Teddy PurcellTBL1918:070:571:4532
Jeff SkinnerCAR2316:200:431:50102
Jay HarrisonCAR2615:570:371:1652
Jussi JokinenCAR2715:290:341:2463
Joe CorvoCAR2115:230:441:2461
Benoit PouliotTBL2014:560:451:2153
Ryan MaloneTBL2014:190:431:2470
Cory ConacherTBL1914:120:451:2313
Patrick DwyerCAR2314:110:371:2533
Brendan MikkelsonTBL1914:090:451:4823
Drayson BowmanCAR1913:390:431:3321
Chad LaRoseCAR2213:180:361:2560
Bobby SanguinettiCAR2112:580:371:2336
Tom PyattTBL1712:210:441:2415
Keith AulieTBL1812:200:411:4514
Nate ThompsonTBL2012:050:361:1313
Adam HallTBL1710:170:360:5926
B.J. CrombeenTBL159:420:391:0513
Dana TyrellTBL148:370:371:0212
Tim BrentCAR126:280:321:2313
Jeremy WelshCAR85:460:431:0510
Kevin WestgarthCAR53:220:400:5910