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Ice Lab

Centre · #46

Jeremy Welsh

Age
38
Shoots
Left
Height
191 cm
Weight
95 kg
Born
Bayfield, CAN
Draft
Undrafted

Career · 4 seasons

Games
27
Goals
1
Points
2
TOI per game
7:08
xGF% (5v5)
48.4%
Goals above expected
−0.4

Season by season

The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.

2011–12CAR1000016:3220.0%00.151.3%
2012–13CAR5011+15:5140.0%00.264.7%
2013–14VAN19101−16:51137.7%01.145.5%
After a break: 2015–16STL200008:190–00.065.8%
Total3 teams2711207:08195.3%01.448.4%

Form

Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.

Form, ten-game rolling

Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.

Points per gameixG per gameTOI per game (minutes)
00.020.040.060.080.1101214161820222426
5m6m7m8m9m101214161820222426Game

Player card

How 4 seasons compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.

Overall rating

Extra / AHL

11th percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.

  1. 1st line
  2. 2nd line
  3. 3rd line
  4. 4th line
  5. Extra / AHL

Scoring

Extra / AHL
  • Goals /600.3113th pct
  • Assists /600.317th pct
  • ixG /600.439th pct
  • Goals above expected−0.453rd pct

Play-driving

4th line
  • xGF% (5v5)48.4%43rd pct
  • CF% (5v5)50.3%59th pct
  • Relative xGF%−6.013th pct
  • Penalty diff /60-0.933rd pct

Usage

Extra / AHL
  • TOI per game7:083rd pct
  • PP time share2.1%18th pct
  • Offensive zone starts60.3%62nd pct
  • Quality of competition23.1%20th pct

Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how). This player is below the threshold, so the percentiles and ratings are for reference only.

Most similar players this season

Needs a regular role to compare.

Faceoffs

How often Welsh wins the draw over 4 seasons, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 729+ draws over the same seasons.

Win rate

52.4%

66–60 · below the 729 draws of a regular

Against an average centre

52.2%

Opponents won 49.8% of their draws; an average centre would have won 50.2% against them.

Wins above average

+3

Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.

Draws per game

5.5

126 draws in all.

By dot, attacking to the right

52%25 · 0.040%25 · −0.550%20 · +0.857%7 · +1.067%3 · 0.014%7 · −0.180%5 · +0.364%28 · +1.467%6 · +4.2Attacking zone →← Defending zone

Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.

By zone

  • Offensive zone44.4% 20–25
  • Neutral zone51.1% 24–23
  • Defensive zone64.7% 22–12

By strength

  • Even strength52.8% 66–59
  • Power play0.0% 0–1

What a win leads to

Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: +12 after a win, −3 after a loss. Each win was worth 0.6 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.

Most-faced opponents

Season by season

SeasonDrawsWin rateAgainst average
2011–121330.8%32.7%
2012–132075.0%77.0%
2013–149051.1%50.2%
2015–16333.3%31.2%

Finishing

Did the goals match the chances?

Goals against expected goals

Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.

−0.4 goals above expected

00.511.5510152025Game

Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games

−40−200+20+40+60