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Ice Lab

Fri, Jan 25, 2013·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Carolina Hurricanes 3, Buffalo Sabres 1

Away

Carolina Hurricanes

3

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 67% of the time.

BUF winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:56Leopold: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Pominville, Vanek, Sekera, Hodgson · CAR Gleason, Staal, Dalpe, Faulk, Skinner

  3. P1 1:02Shot by Skinner, saved by Miller4v5
  4. P1 1:34Staal: Interference (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Pominville, Ehrhoff, Sekera, Hodgson · CAR Semin, Pitkanen, Staal, Staal, Skinner

  5. P1 1:57Shot by Ennis, saved by Ellis4v4
  6. P1 2:38Shot by Sekera, saved by Ellis4v4
  7. P1 3:30Shot by Vanek, saved by Ellis5v4
  8. P1 3:38Shot by Ott, saved by Ellis
  9. P1 4:03Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Miller
  10. P1 4:11Shot by LaRose, saved by Miller
  11. P1 4:21Shot by Foligno, saved by Ellis
  12. P1 5:01Shot by Westgarth, saved by Miller
  13. P1 6:58Shot by Hecht, saved by Ellis
  14. P1 8:17Shot by Staal, saved by Miller
  15. P1 9:03Shot by Sekera, saved by Ellis
  16. P1 10:27Ott: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Ott, Ehrhoff, Sulzer, Kaleta · CAR Gleason, Semin, Staal, Tlusty, Faulk

  17. P1 10:27Ott: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Ott, Ehrhoff, Sulzer, Kaleta · CAR Gleason, Semin, Staal, Tlusty, Faulk

  18. P1 10:27Gleason: Instigator (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Ott, Ehrhoff, Sulzer, Kaleta · CAR Gleason, Semin, Staal, Tlusty, Faulk

  19. P1 10:27Gleason: Fighting (5 min)4v4

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Ott, Ehrhoff, Sulzer, Kaleta · CAR Gleason, Semin, Staal, Tlusty, Faulk

  20. P1 10:27Gleason: Misconduct (10 min)4v4

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Ott, Ehrhoff, Sulzer, Kaleta · CAR Gleason, Semin, Staal, Tlusty, Faulk

  21. P1 11:23Shot by Hodgson, saved by Ellis
  22. P1 13:48Shot by Hodgson, saved by Ellis
  23. P1 14:07Shot by Skinner, saved by Miller
  24. P1 14:37Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Miller
  25. P1 14:54Shot by Staal, saved by Miller
  26. P1 15:11Shot by Semin, saved by Miller
  27. P1 15:25Shot by Faulk, saved by Miller
  28. P1 15:56Shot by Sekera, saved by Ellis
  29. P1 16:32Vanek: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Pominville, Vanek, Sekera, Hodgson · CAR Harrison, Jokinen, Dalpe, Faulk, Skinner

  30. P1 16:32Vanek: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Pominville, Vanek, Sekera, Hodgson · CAR Harrison, Jokinen, Dalpe, Faulk, Skinner

  31. P1 16:37Shot by Staal, saved by Miller4v5
  32. P1 17:01Skinner: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Regehr, Kaleta, Myers · CAR Semin, Pitkanen, Staal, Staal, Skinner

  33. P1 17:34Shot by Harrison, saved by Miller4v4
  34. P1 18:58Shot by Staal, saved by Miller4v4
  35. P1 19:57Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Miller4v5
  36. P1 0:00Period end
  37. P2 0:00Period start
  38. P2 0:19Shot by Tlusty, saved by Miller4v5
  39. P2 0:52Shot by Hodgson, saved by Ellis
  40. P2 0:58Shot by Pominville, saved by Ellis
  41. P2 1:03Shot by Vanek, saved by Ellis
  42. P2 2:03Shot by Ennis, saved by Ellis
  43. P2 2:52Shot by Foligno, saved by Ellis
  44. P2 3:05Shot by Dwyer, saved by Miller
  45. P2 3:09Shot by Dwyer, saved by Miller
  46. P2 3:45Pitkanen: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Regehr, Ott, Kaleta, Myers · CAR Semin, Pitkanen, Staal, Tlusty, McBain

  47. P2 3:54Shot by Vanek, saved by Ellis5v4
  48. P2 3:59Shot by Ott, saved by Ellis5v4
  49. P2 4:35Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Ellis5v4
  50. P2 5:11Shot by Ennis, saved by Ellis5v4
  51. P2 5:54Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Miller
  52. P2 8:21Shot by Hecht, saved by Ellis
  53. P2 8:38Shot by Skinner, saved by Miller
  54. P2 8:57Shot by Harrison, saved by Miller
  55. P2 10:43Shot by Staal, saved by Miller
  56. P2 10:48Shot by Hodgson, saved by Ellis
  57. P2 12:18Shot by Scott, saved by Ellis
  58. P2 12:46Shot by Semin, saved by Miller
  59. P2 14:05Shot by Ott, saved by Ellis
  60. P2 14:47Staal: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Ehrhoff, Sulzer, Ennis, Foligno · CAR Pitkanen, Staal, McBain, Dalpe, Skinner

  61. P2 15:33Shot by Vanek, saved by Ellis5v4
  62. P2 16:00Shot by Hodgson, saved by Ellis5v4
  63. P2 16:23Shot by Myers, saved by Ellis5v4
  64. P2 17:04Shot by Tlusty, saved by Miller
  65. P2 17:34Shot by Gerbe, saved by Ellis
  66. P2 19:18Shot by Leopold, saved by Ellis
  67. P2 19:55Shot by Bowman, saved by Miller
  68. P2 0:00Period end
  69. P3 0:00Period start
  70. P3 0:20Shot by Semin, saved by Miller
  71. P3 1:37Staal: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ott, Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Hodgson · CAR Gleason, Harrison, LaRose, Staal, Skinner

  72. P3 1:56Goal by Vanek (Pominville, Ehrhoff)5v4+29 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ott, Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Hodgson · CAR Jokinen, Pitkanen, Tlusty, McBain

  73. P3 2:50Foligno: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Stafford, Myers, Ennis, Foligno · CAR Semin, Pitkanen, Staal, Tlusty, McBain

  74. P3 2:58Shot by Semin, saved by Miller4v5
  75. P3 3:31Goal by Semin (Staal)4v5+31 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Regehr, Kaleta, Myers · CAR Semin, Pitkanen, Staal, Staal, Skinner

  76. P3 3:54Shot by Hodgson, saved by Ellis
  77. P3 4:30Shot by Skinner, saved by Miller
  78. P3 5:07Shot by Staal, saved by Miller
  79. P3 7:14Shot by Stafford, saved by Ellis
  80. P3 8:01Shot by Staal, saved by Miller
  81. P3 8:05Shot by Kaleta, saved by Ellis
  82. P3 8:09Shot by Kaleta, saved by Ellis
  83. P3 8:20Shot by Bowman, saved by Miller
  84. P3 11:13Shot by Vanek, saved by Ellis
  85. P3 12:03Shot by Kaleta, saved by Ellis
  86. P3 12:13Shot by Semin, saved by Miller
  87. P3 12:43Shot by Tlusty, saved by Miller
  88. P3 13:05Shot by Skinner, saved by Miller
  89. P3 13:12Shot by Corvo, saved by Miller
  90. P3 13:17Shot by Skinner, saved by Miller
  91. P3 13:55Shot by Ott, saved by Ellis
  92. P3 14:49Shot by Staal, saved by Miller
  93. P3 15:10Goal by Harrison (Staal)+37 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Pominville, Vanek, Sekera, Ennis · CAR Gleason, Harrison, Semin, Staal, Tlusty

  94. P3 15:46Shot by Dalpe, saved by Miller
  95. P3 16:03Shot by Ott, saved by Ellis
  96. P3 16:47Shot by Tlusty, saved by Miller
  97. P3 17:20Shot by Pominville, saved by Ellis
  98. P3 17:26Shot by Pominville, saved by Ellis
  99. P3 17:51Vanek: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Pominville, Vanek, Sekera, Hodgson · CAR Gleason, Harrison, Dwyer, Staal, Skinner

  100. P3 18:15Shot by Tlusty, saved by Miller4v5
  101. P3 18:31Shot by Hecht, saved by Ellis4v5
  102. P3 19:18Shot by Pominville, saved by Ellis
  103. P3 19:34Goal by Skinner (Gleason, Harrison)+3 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Pominville, Sekera, Hodgson, Myers, Foligno · CAR Harrison, Pitkanen, Dwyer, Staal, Skinner

  104. P3 0:00Period end
  105. P3 0:00Final