Fri, Jan 25, 2013·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Carolina Hurricanes 3, Buffalo Sabres 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 67% of the time.
24%
8%
60%
BUF winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 29:30 | 0.26 | 67.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:42 | 0.00 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 22:24 | 0.09 | 60.7% | +39.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 22:09 | 0.52 | 69.0% | +37.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 20:41 | 1.01 | 43.8% | +2.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20:28 | 0.53 | 53.1% | +30.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 20:15 | 0.21 | 60.9% | +30.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 17:57 | 0.35 | 50.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:25 | 0.00 | 29.5% | +2.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:06 | 0.03 | 47.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:29 | 0.03 | 61.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:27 | 0.05 | 40.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:54 | 0.01 | 38.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:51 | 0.06 | 76.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:33 | 0.22 | 56.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:11 | 0.26 | 58.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:34 | 0.00 | 92.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:05 | 0.02 | 84.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 41 | 40 | 1 | .976 | 2.59 | +1.6 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 22:18 | 0.12 | 49.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:59 | 0.03 | 24.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 20:57 | 0.39 | 53.3% | +29.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:40 | 0.05 | 59.6% | +29.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 20:21 | 0.30 | 61.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:26 | 0.05 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:26 | 0.08 | 60.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 6 | 17:55 | 0.44 | 50.6% | +29.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:46 | 0.05 | 26.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:45 | 0.00 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:14 | 0.37 | 19.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:53 | 0.14 | 22.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:37 | 0.00 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:35 | 0.13 | 54.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13:39 | 0.36 | 65.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:14 | 0.06 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:48 | 0.00 | 22.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:21 | 0.02 | 42.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 41 | 39 | 2 | .951 | 2.86 | +0.9 | 59:42 |