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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 29, 2013·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Buffalo Sabres 3 (OT)

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Final

Overtime

Home

Buffalo Sabres

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 53% of the time.

BUF winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:12Shot by Ellis, saved by Reimer
  3. P1 8:18Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller
  4. P1 8:36Shot by Vanek, saved by Reimer
  5. P1 9:25Goal by McClement (Kadri, Kulemin)+20 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Leopold, Myers, Foligno, Grigorenko · TOR McClement, Franson, Fraser, Kulemin, Kadri

  6. P1 9:23Shot by Kadri, saved by Miller
  7. P1 9:50Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller
  8. P1 12:04Shot by Hecht, saved by Reimer
  9. P1 13:03Shot by Grabovski, saved by Miller
  10. P1 13:04Brown: Delaying game face off violation (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Pominville, Ehrhoff, Ellis, Vanek, Myers · TOR Liles, Grabovski, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Gunnarsson

  11. P1 14:24Shot by Vanek, saved by Reimer5v4
  12. P1 14:28Goal by Pominville (Foligno, Vanek)5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Ennis, Foligno · TOR Fraser, Komarov, van Riemsdyk, Gunnarsson

  13. P1 17:34Brown: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ellis, Kaleta, Weber, Scott, Brennan · TOR Liles, Orr, Steckel, Brown, Gunnarsson

  14. P1 17:34Brown: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Ellis, Kaleta, Weber, Scott, Brennan · TOR Liles, Orr, Steckel, Brown, Gunnarsson

  15. P1 17:34Weber: Instigator (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Ellis, Kaleta, Weber, Scott, Brennan · TOR Liles, Orr, Steckel, Brown, Gunnarsson

  16. P1 17:34Weber: Fighting (5 min)4v4

    On ice: BUF Ellis, Kaleta, Weber, Scott, Brennan · TOR Liles, Orr, Steckel, Brown, Gunnarsson

  17. P1 17:34Weber: Misconduct (10 min)4v4

    On ice: BUF Ellis, Kaleta, Weber, Scott, Brennan · TOR Liles, Orr, Steckel, Brown, Gunnarsson

  18. P1 17:55Shot by Komarov, saved by Miller
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:15Shot by Stafford, saved by Reimer
  22. P2 0:19Shot by Leopold, saved by Reimer
  23. P2 1:02Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Reimer
  24. P2 1:07Shot by Foligno, saved by Reimer
  25. P2 1:33Shot by Fraser, saved by Miller
  26. P2 2:28Goal by Sekera (Stafford, Ehrhoff)+21 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ott, Ehrhoff, Stafford, Sekera, Ennis · TOR Liles, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Gunnarsson, Bozak

  27. P2 3:20Shot by Sekera, saved by Reimer
  28. P2 3:38Shot by Franson, saved by Miller
  29. P2 3:34Shot by Sekera, saved by Reimer
  30. P2 3:40Goal by Frattin (Franson, Komarov)+22 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Sekera, Brennan, Foligno, Grigorenko · TOR Franson, Fraser, Komarov, Frattin, Kadri

  31. P2 4:52Shot by Pominville, saved by Reimer
  32. P2 5:04Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Reimer
  33. P2 6:21Goal by Franson (Kessel, Bozak)+21 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Brennan, Grigorenko · TOR Franson, Fraser, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Bozak

  34. P2 8:01Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller
  35. P2 9:41Shot by Ennis, saved by Reimer
  36. P2 11:07Shot by Foligno, saved by Reimer
  37. P2 12:53Shot by Ennis, saved by Reimer
  38. P2 13:21Shot by Vanek, saved by Reimer
  39. P2 13:19Shot by Pominville, saved by Reimer
  40. P2 16:40Shot by Ott, saved by Reimer
  41. P2 17:37Shot by Kadri, saved by Miller
  42. P2 17:45Shot by Kadri, saved by Miller
  43. P2 17:46Hecht: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Ellis, Weber, Brennan, Foligno · TOR Franson, Fraser, Komarov, Frattin, Kadri

  44. P2 17:46Hecht: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Ellis, Weber, Brennan, Foligno · TOR Franson, Fraser, Komarov, Frattin, Kadri

  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 0:30Shot by Kadri, saved by Miller4v5
  48. P3 0:27Shot by Kadri, saved by Miller4v5
  49. P3 1:19Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Miller4v5
  50. P3 3:13Shot by Ennis, saved by Reimer
  51. P3 6:46Shot by Bozak, saved by Miller
  52. P3 7:07Shot by Weber, saved by Reimer
  53. P3 7:10Goal by Grigorenko (Weber, Foligno)+27 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Weber, Brennan, Foligno, Grigorenko · TOR Liles, Komarov, Gunnarsson, Frattin, Kadri

  54. P3 7:23Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Reimer
  55. P3 7:54Shot by Grabovski, saved by Miller
  56. P3 8:22Shot by Bozak, saved by Miller
  57. P3 9:54Shot by Ott, saved by Reimer
  58. P3 10:09Shot by Ennis, saved by Reimer
  59. P3 11:58Shot by Hodgson, saved by Reimer
  60. P3 12:03Shot by Hodgson, saved by Reimer
  61. P3 15:57Shot by Myers, saved by Reimer
  62. P3 16:24Shot by McClement, saved by Miller
  63. P3 16:29Shot by McClement, saved by Miller
  64. P3 19:15Shot by Ellis, saved by Reimer
  65. P3 0:00Period end
  66. OT 0:00Period start
  67. OT 0:29Shot by Kostka, saved by Miller4v4
  68. OT 0:44Shot by Vanek, saved by Reimer4v4
  69. OT 1:07Shot by Liles, saved by Miller4v4
  70. OT 2:26Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Reimer4v4
  71. OT 4:58Goal by Frattin (Liles)4v4+54 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Leopold, Stafford, Myers · TOR Liles, Phaneuf, Frattin, Kadri

  72. OT 4:58Period end
  73. OT 4:58Final