Tue, Jan 29, 2013·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Buffalo Sabres 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 53% of the time.
42%
11%
9%
38%
BUF winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Dion PhaneufD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 27:41 | 0.13 | 24.0% | 0.0 |
 Carl GunnarssonD · #36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 26:06 | 0.00 | 41.6% | 0.0 |
 Phil KesselRW · #81 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26:04 | 0.20 | 36.1% | +20.6 |
 James van RiemsdykLW · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:27 | 0.11 | 36.3% | 0.0 |
 Michael KostkaD · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:19 | 0.02 | 17.5% | 0.0 |
 John-Michael LilesD · #24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 24:18 | 0.02 | 35.3% | +53.7 |
 Tyler BozakC · #42 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:17 | 0.24 | 38.4% | +20.6 |
 Mikhail GrabovskiC · #84 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:03 | 0.16 | 48.7% | 0.0 |
 Nazem KadriC · #43 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 17:43 | 0.33 | 44.5% | +20.0 |
 Nikolay KuleminLW · #41 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:07 | 0.21 | 62.1% | +20.0 |
 Jay McClementC · #11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:59 | 0.45 | 56.8% | +20.0 |
 Leo KomarovRW · #47 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:17 | 0.01 | 37.5% | +21.8 |
 Matt FrattinRW · #39 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 16:10 | 0.39 | 35.7% | +75.5 |
 Mark FraserD · #45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 1 | 14:29 | 0.01 | 61.9% | 0.0 |
 Cody FransonD · #4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 13:03 | 0.13 | 73.8% | +42.3 |
 David SteckelC · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:15 | 0.00 | 4.4% | 0.0 |
 Colton OrrRW · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:10 | 0.00 | 4.4% | 0.0 |
 Mike BrownRW · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
 James Reimer#34 | W | 32 | 29 | 3 | .906 | 2.52 | −0.5 | 64:58 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Christian EhrhoffD · #10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 28:28 | 0.11 | 76.4% | +21.4 |
 Jordan LeopoldD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 24:55 | 0.02 | 42.8% | 0.0 |
 Andrej SekeraD · #44 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24:18 | 0.16 | 66.7% | +21.4 |
 Jason PominvilleRW · #29 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 23:55 | 0.24 | 71.2% | +16.5 |
 Tyler MyersD · #57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 23:09 | 0.07 | 42.4% | 0.0 |
 Thomas VanekLW · #26 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 23:01 | 0.40 | 65.3% | +16.5 |
 Tyler EnnisRW · #63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 22:22 | 0.22 | 57.3% | 0.0 |
 Cody HodgsonC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:46 | 0.14 | 75.8% | 0.0 |
 Drew StaffordRW · #21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:37 | 0.06 | 55.9% | +21.4 |
 Steve OttC · #9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:40 | 0.28 | 62.1% | 0.0 |
 Jochen HechtC · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:17 | 0.07 | 46.0% | 0.0 |
 Marcus FolignoLW · #82 | 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 16:04 | 0.21 | 49.2% | +43.6 |
 TJ BrennanD · #33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:27 | 0.00 | 53.9% | 0.0 |
 Mike WeberD · #6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:15 | 0.04 | 64.1% | +27.1 |
 Mikhail GrigorenkoC · #25 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 10:05 | 0.28 | 48.1% | +27.1 |
 Matt EllisLW · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6:31 | 0.22 | 54.0% | 0.0 |
 John ScottLW · #32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:04 | 0.00 | 68.6% | 0.0 |
 Patrick KaletaRW · #36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1:58 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
 Ryan Miller#30 | O | 24 | 20 | 4 | .833 | 2.42 | −1.6 | 64:58 |