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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 2, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

New York Rangers 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 56% of the time.

TBL winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:02Shot by Hagelin, saved by Garon
  3. P1 3:33Shot by Hedman, saved by Biron
  4. P1 3:43Shot by Nash, saved by Garon
  5. P1 4:07Shot by McDonagh, saved by Garon
  6. P1 4:20Shot by Girardi, saved by Garon
  7. P1 5:30Shot by St. Louis, saved by Biron
  8. P1 6:06Shot by Girardi, saved by Garon
  9. P1 6:32Shot by Richards, saved by Garon
  10. P1 7:41Shot by Stamkos, saved by Biron
  11. P1 8:41Shot by Pouliot, saved by Biron
  12. P1 9:57Shot by Stamkos, saved by Biron
  13. P1 10:05Shot by Ferriero, saved by Garon
  14. P1 10:21Shot by Rupp, saved by Garon
  15. P1 11:30Shot by Gaborik, saved by Garon
  16. P1 12:15Shot by Carle, saved by Biron
  17. P1 13:47Shot by St. Louis, saved by Biron
  18. P1 15:25Shot by Hedman, saved by Biron
  19. P1 16:23Shot by Gaborik, saved by Garon
  20. P1 16:24Shot by Nash, saved by Garon
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:44Shot by Malone, saved by Biron
  24. P2 3:16Bickel: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Carle, Pouliot, Pyatt, Aulie, Tyrell · NYR Rupp, Stralman, Ferriero, Bickel, Gilroy

  25. P2 4:22Goal by Stamkos (Carle, St. Louis)5v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Malone, Carle, Purcell, Stamkos · NYR Nash, Girardi, McDonagh, Hagelin

  26. P2 5:11Shot by Nash, saved by Garon
  27. P2 5:20Shot by Stralman, saved by Garon
  28. P2 5:31Shot by Hedman, saved by Biron
  29. P2 5:42Shot by Thompson, saved by Biron
  30. P2 5:50Shot by Gaborik, saved by Garon
  31. P2 6:25Shot by Stralman, saved by Garon
  32. P2 6:23Shot by Nash, saved by Garon
  33. P2 7:42Stamkos: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Carle, Purcell, Stamkos · NYR Pyatt, Girardi, McDonagh, Hagelin, Stepan

  34. P2 9:48Shot by Hagelin, saved by Garon
  35. P2 9:50Goal by Stepan (Pyatt, Hagelin)+27 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Salo, Malone, Carle, Tyrell, Stamkos · NYR Pyatt, Staal, Stralman, Hagelin, Stepan

  36. P2 9:58Shot by Pouliot, saved by Biron
  37. P2 11:22Shot by Purcell, saved by Biron
  38. P2 11:52Shot by Stepan, saved by Garon
  39. P2 12:01Shot by Gilroy, saved by Garon
  40. P2 13:03Shot by Hedman, saved by Biron
  41. P2 13:55Shot by Conacher, saved by Biron
  42. P2 14:57Shot by Nash, saved by Garon
  43. P2 17:31Shot by Richards, saved by Garon
  44. P2 18:13Shot by Pyatt, saved by Garon
  45. P2 18:18Shot by Hagelin, saved by Garon
  46. P2 18:23Shot by Stepan, saved by Garon
  47. P2 19:05Shot by Girardi, saved by Garon
  48. P2 19:14Brewer: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Carle, Stamkos · NYR Asham, Halpern, Boyle, Girardi, McDonagh

  49. P2 19:33Shot by Malone, saved by Biron4v5
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 1:51Shot by Conacher, saved by Biron
  53. P3 3:04Goal by Nash (Richards, Staal)+25 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Lecavalier, Malone, Lee, Hedman, Conacher · NYR Richards, Gaborik, Nash, Staal, Del Zotto

  54. P3 3:30Shot by Stepan, saved by Garon
  55. P3 4:00Shot by Stamkos, saved by Biron
  56. P3 4:16Shot by Salo, saved by Biron
  57. P3 7:55Shot by Brewer, saved by Biron
  58. P3 8:49Shot by Purcell, saved by Biron
  59. P3 8:56Shot by Purcell, saved by Biron
  60. P3 8:57Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Biron
  61. P3 10:42Shot by Staal, saved by Garon
  62. P3 11:12Shot by Pyatt, saved by Biron
  63. P3 12:48Shot by Purcell, saved by Biron
  64. P3 14:47Goal by Hagelin (Pyatt)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hall, Carle, Thompson, Lee, Pyatt · NYR Pyatt, Stralman, McDonagh, Hagelin, Stepan

  65. P3 14:59Shot by Stamkos, saved by Biron
  66. P3 15:18Shot by Hedman, saved by Biron
  67. P3 16:12Shot by Stamkos, saved by Biron
  68. P3 17:25Shot by Thompson, saved by Biron
  69. P3 19:23Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Biron6v5
  70. P3 19:39Goal by Stamkos (Carle, Malone)6v5+2 pts WP

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Lecavalier, Malone, Carle, Purcell, Stamkos · NYR Richards, Gaborik, Staal, Hagelin, Del Zotto

  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. P3 0:00Final