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Sun, Feb 3, 2013·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Florida Panthers 4, Buffalo Sabres 3

Away

Florida Panthers

4

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 53% of the time.

BUF winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:14Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Theodore
  3. P1 2:26Shot by Kopecky, saved by Miller
  4. P1 2:27Shot by Strachan, saved by Miller
  5. P1 2:44Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Theodore
  6. P1 2:46Goal by Vanek (Pominville, Hodgson)+17 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Sulzer, Hodgson · FLA Kuba, Campbell, Weiss, Fleischmann, Versteeg

  7. P1 4:48Shot by Kopecky, saved by Miller
  8. P1 4:52Shot by Kovalev, saved by Miller
  9. P1 4:51Shot by Kopecky, saved by Miller
  10. P1 6:50Shot by Myers, saved by Theodore
  11. P1 6:49Shot by Ott, saved by Theodore
  12. P1 7:01Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Miller
  13. P1 8:36Goal by Matthias (Smithson)+18 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Leopold, Weber, Ennis, Foligno · FLA Parros, Smithson, Strachan, Matthias, Ellerby

  14. P1 8:44McCormick: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: BUF McCormick, Gerbe, Scott, Brennan, Myers · FLA Parros, Smithson, Strachan, Matthias, Ellerby

  15. P1 8:44Strachan: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF McCormick, Gerbe, Scott, Brennan, Myers · FLA Parros, Smithson, Strachan, Matthias, Ellerby

  16. P1 9:58Shot by Myers, saved by Theodore
  17. P1 10:38Shot by Brennan, saved by Theodore
  18. P1 11:11Shot by Versteeg, saved by Miller
  19. P1 12:27Shot by Smithson, saved by Miller
  20. P1 13:41Goal by Hodgson (Vanek)+19 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Pominville, Vanek, Brennan, Hodgson, Myers · FLA Kovalev, Campbell, Weaver, Kopecky, Goc

  21. P1 14:47Shot by Hecht, saved by Theodore
  22. P1 14:58Shot by Ennis, saved by Theodore
  23. P1 16:30Shot by Mueller, saved by Miller
  24. P1 19:53Shot by Kuba, saved by Miller
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 1:13Shot by Campbell, saved by Miller
  28. P2 1:38Shot by Kuba, saved by Miller
  29. P2 1:41Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Miller
  30. P2 3:25Scott: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, McCormick, Gerbe, Weber, Scott · FLA Parros, Smithson, Fleischmann, Strachan, Ellerby

  31. P2 3:25Parros: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, McCormick, Gerbe, Weber, Scott · FLA Parros, Smithson, Fleischmann, Strachan, Ellerby

  32. P2 3:49Goal by Sulzer (Vanek, Hodgson)+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Sulzer, Hodgson · FLA Kuba, Campbell, Weiss, Fleischmann, Versteeg

  33. P2 4:32Shot by Ennis, saved by Theodore
  34. P2 6:06Shot by Gerbe, saved by Theodore
  35. P2 6:40Kulikov: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Pominville, McCormick, Gerbe, Brennan, Myers · FLA Kovalev, Weaver, Kopecky, Goc, Kulikov

  36. P2 8:22Shot by Stafford, saved by Theodore5v4
  37. P2 9:28Shot by Hecht, saved by Theodore
  38. P2 10:21Goal by Parros (Weiss)+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Sulzer, Stafford, Ennis, Foligno · FLA Campbell, Parros, Weiss, Fleischmann, Kulikov

  39. P2 12:19Shot by Hecht, saved by Theodore
  40. P2 15:22Shot by Smithson, saved by Miller
  41. P2 15:28Shot by Strachan, saved by Miller
  42. P2 18:37Shot by Strachan, saved by Miller
  43. P2 19:06Goal by Mueller (Shore, Kopecky)+28 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ott, Ehrhoff, Stafford, Myers, Grigorenko · FLA Weaver, Kopecky, Mueller, Kulikov, Shore

  44. P2 19:47Shot by Versteeg, saved by Miller
  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 0:54Shot by Versteeg, saved by Miller
  48. P3 2:17Shot by Kuba, saved by Miller
  49. P3 2:34Shot by Parros, saved by Miller
  50. P3 4:49Shot by Ellerby, saved by Miller
  51. P3 5:32Shot by Shore, saved by Miller
  52. P3 7:51Ehrhoff: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ott, Ehrhoff, Stafford, Myers, Grigorenko · FLA Strachan, Mueller, Ellerby, Shore, Huberdeau

  53. P3 8:08Shot by Weiss, saved by Miller4v5
  54. P3 8:28Shot by Campbell, saved by Miller4v5
  55. P3 9:02Shot by Kuba, saved by Miller4v5
  56. P3 9:06Shot by Kopecky, saved by Miller4v5
  57. P3 9:27Goal by Campbell (Kopecky, Huberdeau)4v5+31 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Sulzer, Stafford, Myers · FLA Kuba, Campbell, Kopecky, Mueller, Huberdeau

  58. P3 11:50Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Theodore
  59. P3 12:21Shot by Smithson, saved by Miller
  60. P3 13:51Shot by Kopecky, saved by Miller
  61. P3 14:39Shot by Ennis, saved by Theodore
  62. P3 14:46Shot by Foligno, saved by Theodore
  63. P3 14:47Shot by Foligno, saved by Theodore
  64. P3 17:20Foligno: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Stafford, Brennan, Ennis, Foligno · FLA Smithson, Weaver, Mueller, Matthias, Kulikov

  65. P3 17:44Shot by Weiss, saved by Miller4v5
  66. P3 0:00Ehrhoff: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Brennan, Ennis, Foligno · FLA Kuba, Campbell, Smithson, Kopecky, Matthias

  67. P3 0:00Period end
  68. P3 0:00Final