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Ice Lab

Sun, Feb 3, 2013·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Florida Panthers 4, Buffalo Sabres 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 53% of the time.

BUF winsFLA wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against FLA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Weiss–Fleischmann–VersteegKovalev–Kopecky–GocMueller–Shore–HuberdeauParros–Smithson–MatthiasSmithson–Mueller–MatthiasGoc–Fleischmann–HuberdeauWeaver–KulikovKuba–CampbellStrachan–EllerbyWeaver–EllerbyEllerby–KulikovCampbell–EllerbyCampbell–WeaverKuba–Kulikov
Pominville–Vanek–Hodgson5:510.31–0.083:560.18–0.010:330.00–0.015:550.00–0.095:010.37–0.011:460.00–0.000:400.14–0.00
Hecht–Ennis–Foligno4:160.05–0.183:480.32–0.122:390.00–0.005:460.18–0.184:030.12–0.121:510.00–0.030:480.10–0.00
Ott–Stafford–Grigorenko1:130.00–0.074:420.63–0.071:250.00–0.032:110.00–0.412:380.00–0.093:110.50–0.07
Stafford–Ennis–Foligno1:090.11–0.000:340.00–0.001:450.11–0.00
McCormick–Gerbe–Scott1:530.00–0.000:300.00–0.001:550.00–0.00
Hecht–Gerbe–Grigorenko1:030.00–0.010:540.10–0.000:400.00–0.010:540.10–0.00
Hecht–Stafford–Foligno0:390.00–0.080:390.02–0.000:390.02–0.000:570.00–0.08
Vanek–Stafford–Grigorenko0:460.00–0.01
Leopold–Weber2:410.16–0.043:420.09–0.124:290.00–0.031:290.00–0.050:550.02–0.006:040.10–0.045:220.16–0.133:480.05–0.05
Ehrhoff–Sulzer7:570.32–0.222:000.00–0.081:090.13–0.005:420.01–0.234:140.31–0.071:000.00–0.002:130.00–0.000:350.02–0.000:560.00–0.00
Brennan–Myers0:500.00–0.085:140.43–0.092:300.50–0.051:370.00–0.024:130.19–0.071:580.03–0.023:410.50–0.130:440.08–0.000:570.00–0.08
Weber–Myers0:540.10–0.000:300.00–0.060:460.00–0.001:060.10–0.06
Ehrhoff–Brennan0:390.00–0.000:420.00–0.000:410.00–0.00
Ehrhoff–Myers0:390.00–0.000:310.00–0.01
Leopold–Myers0:530.00–0.01
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndHodgson FVanek FPominville FHecht FEnnis FFoligno FStafford FOtt FGrigorenko FGerbe FMcCormick FScott FLeopold DWeber DEhrhoff DSulzer DBrennan DMyers DMiller GMatthias FSmithson FKopecky FVersteeg FWeiss FFleischmann FKovalev FGoc FShore FMueller FHuberdeau FParros FKuba DCampbell DKulikov DWeaver DEllerby DStrachan DTheodore G
BUFFLAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Mike WeaverFLA2824:320:531:3413
Dmitry KulikovFLA2723:480:531:3103
Christian EhrhoffBUF2623:210:542:0634
Brian CampbellFLA3022:150:451:3652
Jordan LeopoldBUF2721:520:491:1023
Marcus FolignoBUF2421:460:541:3643
Jochen HechtBUF2421:080:531:3633
Mike WeberBUF2521:030:511:2614
Tomas FleischmannFLA2619:510:461:5081
Stephen WeissFLA2519:450:471:4382
Tyler EnnisBUF2319:390:511:3243
Tyler MyersBUF2319:310:512:0922
Filip KubaFLA2919:310:401:1343
Drew StaffordBUF2219:150:531:5132
Thomas VanekBUF2419:150:481:3254
Jason PominvilleBUF2518:440:451:3745
Alex KovalevFLA2317:330:461:2233
Kris VersteegFLA2217:310:481:2792
Tomas KopeckyFLA2617:270:401:1845
Cody HodgsonBUF2417:240:441:2045
Alexander SulzerBUF2116:570:481:4633
Marcel GocFLA2516:490:401:0644
Keaton EllerbyFLA2016:190:492:0220
TJ BrennanBUF1915:440:502:0931
Mikhail GrigorenkoBUF1815:040:501:2541
Jonathan HuberdeauFLA1613:230:501:0320
Tyson StrachanFLA1813:020:431:3220
Drew ShoreFLA1712:490:451:2010
Peter MuellerFLA1812:300:421:0521
Shawn MatthiasFLA1712:030:431:3420
Steve OttBUF1911:560:381:1333
Jerred SmithsonFLA1811:340:391:0222
George ParrosFLA117:180:401:0130
Nathan GerbeBUF96:010:401:0310
John ScottBUF64:040:411:1901
Cody McCormickBUF74:010:340:5201