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Ice Lab

Mon, Feb 4, 2013·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Carolina Hurricanes 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 1

Away

Carolina Hurricanes

4

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 68% of the time.

TOR winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:15Shot by Komarov, saved by Ward
  3. P1 1:22Shot by Bozak, saved by Ward
  4. P1 1:30Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Ward
  5. P1 1:45Shot by Staal, saved by Reimer
  6. P1 2:53Shot by McLaren, saved by Ward
  7. P1 2:55Westgarth: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Orr, McClement, Franson, Fraser, McLaren · CAR Pitkanen, Brent, McBain, Wallace, Westgarth

  8. P1 2:55McLaren: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Orr, McClement, Franson, Fraser, McLaren · CAR Pitkanen, Brent, McBain, Wallace, Westgarth

  9. P1 3:22Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Reimer
  10. P1 4:00Shot by Kostka, saved by Ward
  11. P1 4:33Shot by Kulemin, saved by Ward
  12. P1 5:04Shot by Frattin, saved by Ward
  13. P1 5:42Shot by Kadri, saved by Ward
  14. P1 5:44Goal by Frattin (Kadri, Komarov)+17 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Liles, Holzer, van Riemsdyk, Frattin, Kadri · CAR Harrison, Brent, Sanguinetti, Wallace, Skinner

  15. P1 6:13Shot by Tlusty, saved by Reimer
  16. P1 7:09Shot by Skinner, saved by Reimer
  17. P1 7:35Shot by MacArthur, saved by Ward
  18. P1 7:35Shot by Kulemin, saved by Ward
  19. P1 7:35McBain: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Liles, MacArthur, Grabovski, Holzer, Kulemin · CAR Pitkanen, Dwyer, Staal, McBain, Skinner

  20. P1 8:16Shot by Kessel, saved by Ward5v4
  21. P1 8:26Shot by Dwyer, saved by Reimer5v4
  22. P1 10:45Shot by Brent, saved by Reimer
  23. P1 11:05Shot by Sanguinetti, saved by Reimer
  24. P1 11:31Shot by Semin, saved by Reimer
  25. P1 12:30Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Ward
  26. P1 12:58Shot by Jokinen, saved by Reimer
  27. P1 13:07Shot by Faulk, saved by Reimer
  28. P1 13:54Westgarth: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Liles, Fraser, McLaren, Frattin, Kadri · CAR Pitkanen, Brent, Sanguinetti, Wallace, Westgarth

  29. P1 14:07Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Ward5v4
  30. P1 14:30Shot by Kostka, saved by Ward5v4
  31. P1 15:20Shot by Kostka, saved by Ward5v4
  32. P1 15:29Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Ward5v4
  33. P1 17:09Shot by Semin, saved by Reimer
  34. P1 17:14Shot by Harrison, saved by Reimer
  35. P1 17:37Shot by Grabovski, saved by Ward
  36. P1 0:00Period end
  37. P2 0:00Period start
  38. P2 1:21Goal by Staal (Dwyer, Skinner)+21 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Liles, MacArthur, Grabovski, Holzer, Kulemin · CAR Gleason, Dwyer, Staal, Faulk, Skinner

  39. P2 2:21Shot by Bowman, saved by Reimer
  40. P2 2:21Shot by Harrison, saved by Reimer
  41. P2 2:58Shot by Brent, saved by Reimer
  42. P2 3:35Shot by Staal, saved by Reimer
  43. P2 3:33Shot by Tlusty, saved by Reimer
  44. P2 4:12Shot by Tlusty, saved by Reimer
  45. P2 4:18Shot by Semin, saved by Reimer
  46. P2 4:48Shot by Skinner, saved by Reimer
  47. P2 5:12Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Ward
  48. P2 5:36Shot by Frattin, saved by Ward
  49. P2 6:19Shot by LaRose, saved by Reimer
  50. P2 6:31Shot by Bowman, saved by Reimer
  51. P2 6:40Shot by Grabovski, saved by Ward
  52. P2 7:22Shot by Kessel, saved by Ward
  53. P2 7:55Shot by Dwyer, saved by Reimer
  54. P2 9:20Shot by Bowman, saved by Reimer
  55. P2 9:41McClement: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Liles, Orr, McClement, Holzer, McLaren · CAR Harrison, Brent, Sanguinetti, Wallace, Westgarth

  56. P2 9:50Shot by Kulemin, saved by Ward4v5
  57. P2 10:21Goal by Staal (Tlusty, Brent)4v5+22 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Komarov, Kulemin, Kostka · CAR Semin, Brent, Staal, Tlusty, Faulk

  58. P2 11:48Fraser: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Franson, Fraser, Komarov, Frattin, Kadri · CAR Gleason, LaRose, Brent, Bowman, Faulk

  59. P2 12:12Shot by Tlusty, saved by Reimer4v5
  60. P2 12:46Shot by Faulk, saved by Reimer4v5
  61. P2 13:05McBain: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR McClement, Phaneuf, Franson, Bozak · CAR Pitkanen, Staal, McBain, Bowman, Skinner

  62. P2 14:23Shot by Semin, saved by Reimer5v4
  63. P2 16:19Shot by Skinner, saved by Reimer
  64. P2 19:15Shot by Skinner, saved by Reimer
  65. P2 19:16Kostka: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin, Kostka · CAR Pitkanen, Dwyer, Staal, McBain, Skinner

  66. P2 19:46Holzer: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR McClement, Phaneuf, Holzer, Kulemin · CAR Semin, Pitkanen, Staal, Tlusty, Faulk

  67. P2 19:56Shot by Staal, saved by Reimer3v5
  68. P2 0:00Period end
  69. P3 0:00Period start
  70. P3 0:20Shot by Staal, saved by Reimer3v5
  71. P3 0:43Goal by Faulk (Skinner, Semin)3v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: TOR McClement, Phaneuf, Fraser · CAR Semin, Staal, Staal, Faulk, Skinner

  72. P3 2:08Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Ward
  73. P3 2:24Shot by Liles, saved by Ward
  74. P3 3:20Shot by Kostka, saved by Ward
  75. P3 4:56Shot by Tlusty, saved by Reimer
  76. P3 6:04Shot by Bowman, saved by Reimer
  77. P3 6:21Semin: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Kostka, Bozak · CAR Semin, Pitkanen, Brent, Tlusty, McBain

  78. P3 6:41Shot by Kessel, saved by Ward5v4
  79. P3 7:09Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Ward5v4
  80. P3 7:19Shot by Liles, saved by Ward5v4
  81. P3 8:02Shot by Kulemin, saved by Ward5v4
  82. P3 8:03Shot by Kadri, saved by Ward5v4
  83. P3 8:18Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Ward5v4
  84. P3 8:42Shot by Bozak, saved by Ward
  85. P3 9:50Shot by Wallace, saved by Reimer
  86. P3 9:58Goal by Dwyer (Staal, Skinner)+5 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Liles, Franson, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Bozak · CAR Gleason, Dwyer, Staal, Faulk, Skinner

  87. P3 10:12Shot by MacArthur, saved by Ward
  88. P3 10:18Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Ward
  89. P3 11:57Shot by Skinner, saved by Reimer
  90. P3 13:20Shot by Liles, saved by Ward
  91. P3 14:01Shot by MacArthur, saved by Ward
  92. P3 14:10Shot by MacArthur, saved by Ward
  93. P3 14:16Shot by Franson, saved by Ward
  94. P3 15:08Shot by Kulemin, saved by Ward
  95. P3 18:52Brent: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Liles, Grabovski, Franson, Komarov, Kulemin · CAR Gleason, Brent, Wallace, Westgarth, Faulk

  96. P3 19:05Shot by Kessel, saved by Ward5v4
  97. P3 0:00Shot by Kadri, saved by Ward5v4
  98. P3 0:00Period end
  99. P3 0:00Final