Mon, Feb 4, 2013·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Carolina Hurricanes 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 68% of the time.
60%
25%
TOR winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Justin FaulkD · #27 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 29:04 | 0.18 | 40.6% | +18.1 |
 Joni PitkanenD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:19 | 0.00 | 38.2% | 0.0 |
 Tim GleasonD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 22:13 | 0.03 | 42.9% | 0.0 |
 Jordan StaalC · #11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 20:26 | 0.14 | 28.1% | +25.8 |
 Eric StaalC · #12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18:13 | 0.43 | 78.7% | +21.7 |
 Jeff SkinnerLW · #53 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 5 | 18:06 | 0.47 | 34.7% | +44.0 |
 Alexander SeminRW · #28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:57 | 0.29 | 74.6% | +18.1 |
 Patrick DwyerRW · #39 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 17:13 | 0.09 | 24.6% | +25.8 |
 Jay HarrisonD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:12 | 0.20 | 74.3% | 0.0 |
 Jiri TlustyLW · #19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16:11 | 0.47 | 72.9% | +21.7 |
 Drayson BowmanLW · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:07 | 0.16 | 41.1% | 0.0 |
 Jamie McBainD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:04 | 0.02 | 30.4% | 0.0 |
 Tim BrentC · #37 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 13:36 | 0.16 | 29.3% | +21.7 |
 Jussi JokinenLW · #36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:26 | 0.03 | 49.7% | 0.0 |
 Bobby SanguinettiD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:04 | 0.00 | 84.0% | 0.0 |
 Chad LaRoseRW · #59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:58 | 0.02 | 48.0% | 0.0 |
 Tim WallaceRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:35 | 0.06 | 44.1% | 0.0 |
 Kevin WestgarthRW · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:08 | 0.00 | 74.4% | 0.0 |
 Cam Ward#30 | W | 42 | 41 | 1 | .976 | 3.77 | +2.8 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Dion PhaneufD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24:13 | 0.22 | 44.2% | 0.0 |
 John-Michael LilesD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 23:58 | 0.07 | 49.6% | 0.0 |
 Michael KostkaD · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23:22 | 0.10 | 52.2% | 0.0 |
 James van RiemsdykLW · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20:31 | 0.51 | 54.7% | 0.0 |
 Nikolay KuleminLW · #41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 20:31 | 0.50 | 65.5% | 0.0 |
 Tyler BozakC · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:12 | 0.09 | 52.0% | 0.0 |
 Phil KesselRW · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 20:06 | 0.51 | 48.5% | 0.0 |
 Mikhail GrabovskiC · #84 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:44 | 0.16 | 64.9% | 0.0 |
 Korbinian HolzerD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:53 | 0.02 | 49.9% | 0.0 |
 Cody FransonD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:15 | 0.01 | 61.5% | 0.0 |
 Clarke MacArthurLW · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 15:34 | 0.46 | 65.2% | 0.0 |
 Mark FraserD · #45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:36 | 0.00 | 82.4% | 0.0 |
 Nazem KadriC · #43 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:29 | 0.48 | 54.4% | +17.2 |
 Leo KomarovRW · #47 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:26 | 0.03 | 54.2% | +17.2 |
 Matt FrattinRW · #39 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 11:57 | 0.45 | 60.5% | +17.2 |
 Jay McClementC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:33 | 0.00 | 22.1% | 0.0 |
 Colton OrrRW · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:57 | 0.12 | 27.9% | 0.0 |
 Frazer McLarenLW · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4:36 | 0.04 | 8.3% | 0.0 |
 James Reimer#34 | L | 39 | 35 | 4 | .897 | 2.75 | −1.3 | 60:00 |