Tue, Feb 5, 2013·HP Pavilion at San Jose, San Jose
Chicago Blackhawks 5, San Jose Sharks 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 316 | 16 | 19 | 531 |
| SJS | 310 | 012 | 011 | 333 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:54SJSJoe PavelskiAssists: Ryane Clowe, Marc-Edouard Vlasic · Wrist, 0.42 xG0–1
- P1 5:18SJSTommy WingelsAssists: Michal Handzus, James Sheppard · Wrist, 0.03 xG0–2
- P1 10:08CHIBrandon SaadAssists: Brent Seabrook, Jonathan Toews · Slap, 0.14 xG1–2
- P1 10:47SJSMichal HandzusAssists: Tommy Wingels, Dan Boyle · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–3
- P1 10:55CHIAndrew ShawAssists: Bryan Bickell, Viktor Stalberg · Wrist, 0.14 xG2–3
- P1 11:37CHIMarcus KrugerUnassisted · Wrist, 0.30 xG3–3
- P2 11:52CHIPatrick KaneGWGAssists: Jonathan Toews · Wrist, 0.03 xG4–3
- P3 18:48CHIPatrick KaneENAssists: Marcus Kruger, Brent Seabrook · Wrist, 0.67 xG5–3
Penalties (14)
- P1 6:43SJSDan Boyle: Holding2 min
- P1 17:00CHINick Leddy: Hooking2 min
- P1 17:57SJSDan Boyle: Holding2 min
- P2 8:48SJSAndrew Desjardins: Fighting5 min
- P2 8:48CHIDuncan Keith: Instigator face shield2 min
- P2 8:48SJSAndrew Desjardins: Match penatly 10 minutes10 min
- P2 8:48CHIDuncan Keith: Instigator2 min
- P2 8:48CHIDuncan Keith: Fighting5 min
- P2 8:48CHIDuncan Keith: Misconduct10 min
- P2 16:15CHIMarcus Kruger: Tripping2 min
- P3 6:34CHINick Leddy: Holding2 min
- P3 6:45SJSAntti Niemi: Delaying game illegal play by goalie2 min
- P3 14:41CHIPatrick Sharp: Slashing2 min
- P3 14:41SJSMarc-Edouard Vlasic: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Thornton won the faceoff against Toews
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestHossa – Toews – Saad9:52
xG 0.40–0.00 (100%)attempts 9–0goals 1–0
- Mayers – Frolik – Kruger5:48
xG 0.43–0.45 (49%)attempts 7–4goals 1–1
- Bickell – Stalberg – Shaw9:09
xG 0.28–0.32 (47%)attempts 10–10goals 1–1
- Sharp – Bolland – Kane11:02
xG 0.04–0.63 (6%)attempts 3–16goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestBrookbank – Leddy7:14
xG 0.61–0.28 (69%)attempts 8–10goals 2–1
- Keith – Seabrook11:29
xG 0.45–0.30 (60%)attempts 11–10goals 1–0
- Seabrook – Leddy2:50
xG 0.04–0.19 (17%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestThornton – Clowe – Pavelski9:31
xG 0.56–0.13 (81%)attempts 7–8goals 1–0
- Handzus – Sheppard – Wingels7:20
xG 0.54–0.37 (59%)attempts 14–5goals 2–1
- Handzus – Burish – Sheppard2:03
xG 0.19–0.04 (83%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Marleau – Havlat – Couture8:42
xG 0.46–0.34 (57%)attempts 10–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestBoyle – Irwin12:39
xG 0.40–0.07 (86%)attempts 12–5goals 0–0
- Stuart – Murray6:17
xG 0.41–0.14 (75%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
- Stuart – Vlasic8:06
xG 0.45–0.28 (62%)attempts 3–6goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).