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Ice Lab

Sun, Feb 17, 2013·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Buffalo Sabres 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 63% of the time.

BUF winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:35Goal by Dupuis (Orpik, Kunitz)+20 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Sulzer, Hodgson · PIT Dupuis, Orpik, Martin, Kunitz, Crosby

  3. P1 1:08Myers: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Regehr, Ott, Gerbe, Myers · PIT Cooke, Malkin, Niskanen, Neal, Letang

  4. P1 1:27Goal by Crosby (Malkin, Kunitz)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Leopold, Kaleta, Weber · PIT Martin, Kunitz, Malkin, Crosby, Neal

  5. P1 2:08Shot by Sulzer, saved by Fleury
  6. P1 3:52Pominville: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Stafford, Weber, Ennis, Foligno · PIT Dupuis, Malkin, Crosby, Niskanen, Neal, Letang

  7. P1 6:32Goal by Hodgson (Ehrhoff, Vanek)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Sulzer, Hodgson · PIT Cooke, Dupuis, Orpik, Vitale, Bortuzzo

  8. P1 6:56Shot by Glass, saved by Miller
  9. P1 7:38Weber: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, McCormick, Gerbe, Weber, Ennis · PIT Cooke, Malkin, Niskanen, Neal, Letang

  10. P1 7:38Malkin: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, McCormick, Gerbe, Weber, Ennis · PIT Cooke, Malkin, Niskanen, Neal, Letang

  11. P1 7:58Shot by Sulzer, saved by Fleury4v4
  12. P1 8:17Shot by Crosby, saved by Miller4v4
  13. P1 8:42Shot by Niskanen, saved by Miller4v4
  14. P1 9:32Shot by Ennis, saved by Fleury4v4
  15. P1 10:19Shot by McCormick, saved by Fleury
  16. P1 10:27Shot by Vanek, saved by Fleury
  17. P1 11:58Shot by Engelland, saved by Miller
  18. P1 12:46Shot by Neal, saved by Miller
  19. P1 15:19Shot by Letang, saved by Miller
  20. P1 15:47Neal: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Leopold, McCormick, Kaleta, Weber, Scott · PIT Glass, Malkin, Niskanen, Neal, Letang

  21. P1 18:28Shot by Kaleta, saved by Fleury
  22. P1 18:38Shot by Crosby, saved by Miller
  23. P1 18:48Shot by Malkin, saved by Miller
  24. P1 19:49Shot by Vitale, saved by Miller
  25. P1 0:00Regehr: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Stafford, Myers, Ennis, Foligno · PIT Dupuis, Orpik, Martin, Kunitz, Vitale

  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 1:39Shot by Malkin, saved by Miller4v5
  29. P2 2:06Shot by Kennedy, saved by Miller
  30. P2 2:53Shot by Myers, saved by Fleury
  31. P2 3:24Shot by Ennis, saved by Fleury
  32. P2 4:25Shot by Hecht, saved by Fleury
  33. P2 5:12Shot by Letang, saved by Miller
  34. P2 5:20Shot by Foligno, saved by Fleury
  35. P2 7:39Crosby: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Pominville, Vanek, Hodgson, Myers · PIT Adams, Engelland, Crosby, Letang, Vitale

  36. P2 7:39Glass: Delaying game face off violation (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Pominville, Vanek, Hodgson, Myers · PIT Adams, Engelland, Crosby, Letang, Vitale

  37. P2 8:01Shot by Ennis, saved by Fleury5v3
  38. P2 9:16Goal by Vanek (Ehrhoff, Ennis)5v3+20 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Stafford, Ennis · PIT Adams, Cooke, Orpik

  39. P2 10:04Shot by Leopold, saved by Fleury
  40. P2 10:08Shot by Gerbe, saved by Fleury
  41. P2 10:20Shot by Letang, saved by Miller
  42. P2 11:28Shot by Crosby, saved by Miller
  43. P2 11:49Shot by Kunitz, saved by Miller
  44. P2 11:50Pominville: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Sulzer, Hodgson · PIT Engelland, Kunitz, Kennedy, Crosby, Letang

  45. P2 12:35Shot by Kunitz, saved by Miller4v5
  46. P2 12:42Shot by Kunitz, saved by Miller4v5
  47. P2 13:24Shot by Martin, saved by Miller4v5
  48. P2 14:37Shot by Pominville, saved by Fleury
  49. P2 17:19Shot by Niskanen, saved by Miller
  50. P2 18:48Shot by Dupuis, saved by Miller
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 1:43Shot by Kennedy, saved by Miller
  54. P3 2:22McCormick: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: BUF Leopold, McCormick, Kaleta, Weber, Scott · PIT Adams, Orpik, Martin, Glass, Vitale

  55. P3 2:22Glass: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Leopold, McCormick, Kaleta, Weber, Scott · PIT Adams, Orpik, Martin, Glass, Vitale

  56. P3 3:39Shot by Kunitz, saved by Miller
  57. P3 3:59Shot by Vanek, saved by Fleury
  58. P3 4:10Shot by Sulzer, saved by Fleury
  59. P3 4:13Shot by Pominville, saved by Fleury
  60. P3 4:29Shot by Neal, saved by Miller
  61. P3 4:56Shot by Stafford, saved by Fleury
  62. P3 5:01Shot by Ennis, saved by Fleury
  63. P3 5:04Shot by Ennis, saved by Fleury
  64. P3 5:04Shot by Foligno, saved by Fleury
  65. P3 5:17Goal by Ott (Gerbe, Hecht)+31 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Ott, Ehrhoff, Sulzer, Gerbe · PIT Cooke, Orpik, Martin, Malkin, Neal

  66. P3 6:14Shot by Kennedy, saved by Miller
  67. P3 6:39Shot by Kunitz, saved by Miller
  68. P3 6:54Shot by Dupuis, saved by Miller
  69. P3 7:06Goal by Dupuis (Letang, Crosby)+32 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Pominville, Vanek, Weber, Ennis · PIT Dupuis, Kunitz, Crosby, Niskanen, Letang

  70. P3 7:52Shot by Stafford, saved by Fleury
  71. P3 12:05Shot by Bennett, saved by Miller
  72. P3 13:42Kunitz: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Ott, Ehrhoff, Sulzer, Gerbe · PIT Dupuis, Orpik, Martin, Kunitz, Crosby

  73. P3 14:37Shot by Hodgson, saved by Fleury5v4
  74. P3 15:23Shot by Ott, saved by Fleury5v4
  75. P3 15:24Shot by Ott, saved by Fleury5v4
  76. P3 15:58Shot by Adams, saved by Miller
  77. P3 16:18Shot by Malkin, saved by Miller
  78. P3 16:40Shot by Kaleta, saved by Fleury
  79. P3 16:51Shot by Neal, saved by Miller
  80. P3 17:01Shot by Hodgson, saved by Fleury
  81. P3 17:06Shot by Hodgson, saved by Fleury
  82. P3 17:34Shot by Foligno, saved by Fleury
  83. P3 17:56Goal by Martin (Crosby, Dupuis)+44 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Sulzer, Stafford, Ennis, Foligno · PIT Dupuis, Orpik, Martin, Kunitz, Crosby

  84. P3 18:32Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Fleury
  85. P3 19:00Shot by Dupuis, saved by Miller
  86. P3 0:00Ott: Misconduct (10 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Ott, Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Hodgson, Ennis · PIT Adams, Orpik, Martin, Crosby, Sutter

  87. P3 0:00Period end
  88. P3 0:00Final