Sun, Feb 17, 2013·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Buffalo Sabres 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 63% of the time.
55%
31%
BUF winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 26:27 | 0.15 | 49.7% | +32.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 23:03 | 0.10 | 46.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 4 | 22:35 | 0.85 | 40.8% | +91.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:11 | 0.05 | 41.4% | +43.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:58 | 0.00 | 32.7% | +20.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:21 | 0.16 | 53.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 17:49 | 0.46 | 72.6% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 5 | 17:12 | 0.75 | 53.4% | +35.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:20 | 0.08 | 41.6% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 5 | 15:01 | 0.86 | 33.1% | +96.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:52 | 0.00 | 14.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:20 | 0.23 | 28.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:10 | 0.02 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:29 | 0.18 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:13 | 0.09 | 63.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:11 | 0.26 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:49 | 0.01 | 32.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:42 | 0.03 | 35.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 30 | 3 | .909 | 5.08 | +2.1 | 59:40 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24:18 | 0.09 | 63.8% | +36.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 5 | 21:04 | 1.25 | 69.4% | +20.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:34 | 0.02 | 48.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:47 | 0.51 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:42 | 0.15 | 81.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:40 | 0.51 | 67.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 18:29 | 0.66 | 54.1% | +36.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:28 | 0.00 | 33.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:56 | 0.06 | 59.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:50 | 0.27 | 59.7% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:23 | 0.02 | 53.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:04 | 0.78 | 54.1% | +31.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:38 | 0.19 | 55.8% | +31.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:27 | 0.23 | 74.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:21 | 0.17 | 71.1% | +31.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:29 | 0.12 | 14.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:47 | 0.00 | 3.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4:27 | 0.04 | 18.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 35 | 31 | 4 | .886 | 3.66 | −0.3 | 59:17 |