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Ice Lab

Mon, Feb 18, 2013·Pepsi Center, Denver

Nashville Predators 5, Colorado Avalanche 6

Away

Nashville Predators

5

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 76% of the time.

COL winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:45Shot by Hejduk, saved by Mason
  3. P1 3:08Shot by Fisher, saved by Varlamov
  4. P1 3:43Goal by Palushaj (Jones, Hejda)+17 pts WP

    On ice: COL Kobasew, O'Byrne, Bordeleau, Hunwick, Olver · NSH Fisher, Erat, Weber, Wilson, Josi

  5. P1 4:17Shot by Parenteau, saved by Mason
  6. P1 6:49Shot by Klein, saved by Varlamov
  7. P1 7:25Shot by McGinn, saved by Mason
  8. P1 8:43Smith: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: COL O'Byrne, Jones, Hunwick, Stastny, Palushaj · NSH Hannan, Halischuk, Spaling, Ellis, Smith

  9. P1 9:30Goal by Barrie (Duchene, Parenteau)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL Hejduk, Parenteau, McGinn, Duchene, Barrie · NSH Hannan, Legwand, Klein, Bourque

  10. P1 10:09Hunwick: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL O'Byrne, Jones, Hunwick, Stastny, Palushaj · NSH Legwand, Fisher, Klein, Blum, Bourque

  11. P1 11:32Shot by Josi, saved by Varlamov4v5
  12. P1 12:14Shot by Hunwick, saved by Mason
  13. P1 12:32Clune: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: COL Hejda, Jones, Stastny, Palushaj, Barrie · NSH Hannan, Klein, Clune, Halischuk, Spaling

  14. P1 13:01Shot by Duchene, saved by Mason5v4
  15. P1 15:30Bordeleau: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Kobasew, O'Byrne, Bordeleau, Hunwick, Olver · NSH Legwand, Erat, Blum, Wilson, Ellis

  16. P1 15:47Shot by Fisher, saved by Varlamov4v5
  17. P1 15:50Shot by Weber, saved by Varlamov4v5
  18. P1 17:20Goal by Kostitsyn (Smith, Wilson)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Zanon, O'Byrne, Jones, McGinn · NSH Kostitsyn, Blum, Wilson, Ellis, Smith

  19. P1 18:18Shot by Fisher, saved by Varlamov
  20. P1 18:34Shot by Jones, saved by Mason
  21. P1 19:12Shot by Erat, saved by Varlamov
  22. P1 19:27Hejda: Closing hand on puck (2 min)

    On ice: COL Parenteau, Hejda, Hunwick, Stastny, Duchene · NSH Weber, Hornqvist, Spaling, Ellis, Smith

  23. P1 19:59Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Varlamov4v5
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 1:43Shot by Blum, saved by Varlamov
  27. P2 2:50Shot by Clune, saved by Varlamov
  28. P2 2:59Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Varlamov
  29. P2 3:18Goal by Duchene (Parenteau)+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL Zanon, Parenteau, O'Byrne, McGinn, Duchene · NSH Hannan, Klein, Clune, Hornqvist, Smith

  30. P2 4:40Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Varlamov5v6
  31. P2 4:41Hunwick: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: COL Hejduk, O'Byrne, Mitchell, Hunwick, McLeod · NSH Legwand, Erat, Klein, Hornqvist, Blum, Wilson

  32. P2 4:49Shot by Kostitsyn, saved by Varlamov4v5
  33. P2 8:12Shot by Jones, saved by Mason
  34. P2 8:45Shot by Halischuk, saved by Varlamov
  35. P2 10:12Shot by Kostitsyn, saved by Varlamov
  36. P2 10:16Goal by Fisher (Weber, Kostitsyn)+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL Parenteau, O'Byrne, Hunwick, McGinn, Duchene · NSH Fisher, Weber, Kostitsyn, Josi, Bourque

  37. P2 11:06Goal by Kobasew (Stastny, Palushaj)+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL Kobasew, Hejda, Stastny, Palushaj, Barrie · NSH Klein, Hornqvist, Spaling, Blum, Smith

  38. P2 11:22Shot by Hejda, saved by Mason
  39. P2 12:18Shot by McGinn, saved by Mason
  40. P2 12:23Shot by McLeod, saved by Mason
  41. P2 13:17Goal by Wilson (Erat, Blum)+12 pts WP

    On ice: COL Zanon, Jones, Stastny, Palushaj, Elliott · NSH Legwand, Erat, Klein, Blum, Wilson

  42. P2 13:33Goal by Stastny (Jones, Palushaj)+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL Zanon, Jones, Stastny, Palushaj, Elliott · NSH Legwand, Erat, Klein, Blum, Wilson

  43. P2 13:31Shot by Stastny, saved by Mason
  44. P2 13:32Shot by Stastny, saved by Mason
  45. P2 13:46Goal by McGinn (Duchene)+6 pts WP

    On ice: COL Parenteau, Hejda, McGinn, Duchene, Barrie · NSH Legwand, Erat, Weber, Wilson, Josi

  46. P2 14:03Shot by McGinn, saved by Rinne
  47. P2 15:29Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Varlamov
  48. P2 15:30Shot by Fisher, saved by Varlamov
  49. P2 17:09Shot by McGinn, saved by Rinne
  50. P2 17:19Shot by Parenteau, saved by Rinne
  51. P2 17:30Shot by McGinn, saved by Rinne
  52. P2 18:10Shot by Stastny, saved by Rinne
  53. P2 19:10Goal by Blum, unassisted+5 pts WP

    On ice: COL Hejduk, Hejda, Mitchell, McGinn, Barrie · NSH Legwand, Klein, Kostitsyn, Blum, Wilson

  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 0:56Shot by Hejda, saved by Rinne
  57. P3 2:16Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Varlamov
  58. P3 3:26Shot by McGinn, saved by Rinne
  59. P3 4:05Shot by Legwand, saved by Varlamov
  60. P3 4:19Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Varlamov
  61. P3 4:29Shot by Ellis, saved by Varlamov
  62. P3 5:47Shot by Josi, saved by Varlamov
  63. P3 7:16Shot by McGinn, saved by Rinne
  64. P3 8:01Shot by McLeod, saved by Rinne
  65. P3 9:46Shot by Halischuk, saved by Varlamov
  66. P3 10:20Shot by Kostitsyn, saved by Varlamov
  67. P3 11:31Shot by Klein, saved by Varlamov
  68. P3 12:15Shot by Klein, saved by Varlamov
  69. P3 12:55Mitchell: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: COL Kobasew, O'Byrne, Mitchell, Hunwick, McLeod · NSH Weber, Clune, Hornqvist, Josi, Smith

  70. P3 14:01Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Varlamov4v5
  71. P3 15:53Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Varlamov
  72. P3 16:25Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Varlamov
  73. P3 16:41Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Varlamov
  74. P3 17:44Shot by Palushaj, saved by Rinne
  75. P3 18:39Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Varlamov5v6
  76. P3 18:42Goal by Weber (Fisher, Hornqvist)5v6+2 pts WP

    On ice: COL Zanon, O'Byrne, Jones, Stastny, Palushaj · NSH Fisher, Erat, Weber, Kostitsyn, Hornqvist, Josi

  77. P3 18:38Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Varlamov5v6
  78. P3 19:53Shot by Weber, saved by Varlamov5v6
  79. P3 0:00Period end
  80. P3 0:00Final