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Ice Lab

Mon, Feb 18, 2013·Pepsi Center, Denver

Nashville Predators 5, Colorado Avalanche 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 76% of the time.

COL winsNSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

COL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Legwand–Erat–WilsonFisher–Kostitsyn–BourqueHalischuk–Spaling–SmithClune–Hornqvist–SmithLegwand–Kostitsyn–WilsonLegwand–Erat–BourqueClune–Halischuk–SpalingHornqvist–Spaling–BourqueFisher–Smith–BourqueFisher–Kostitsyn–WilsonFisher–Erat–SmithClune–Hornqvist–SpalingWeber–JosiKlein–BlumHannan–EllisHannan–KleinBlum–EllisHannan–Blum
Parenteau–McGinn–Duchene4:210.18–0.002:120.05–0.160:410.14–0.060:340.00–0.000:490.13–0.261:060.21–0.017:410.49–0.460:360.00–0.001:060.15–0.001:160.14–0.06
Jones–Stastny–Palushaj1:230.54–0.143:390.13–0.020:530.00–0.000:300.00–0.001:040.11–0.000:470.00–0.123:410.15–0.003:320.55–0.112:270.11–0.16
Hejduk–Mitchell–McLeod0:340.00–0.092:420.08–0.241:080.00–0.000:450.00–0.002:150.00–0.153:500.08–0.18
Kobasew–Bordeleau–Olver0:380.00–0.000:330.00–0.020:310.02–0.101:340.02–0.02
Hejduk–McGinn–Duchene1:170.00–0.221:170.00–0.22
Hejduk–Parenteau–Mitchell0:430.08–0.000:430.08–0.00
Hejduk–Kobasew–Olver0:310.00–0.000:390.00–0.42
Hejduk–Mitchell–Palushaj0:300.00–0.030:460.02–0.03
Hejda–Barrie2:070.13–0.002:140.03–0.001:250.00–0.150:310.00–0.001:070.00–0.021:150.08–0.000:390.00–0.260:530.01–0.036:160.16–0.323:090.15–0.172:420.07–0.001:060.08–0.00
O'Byrne–Hunwick2:490.05–0.092:500.00–0.171:180.02–0.091:180.00–0.101:060.21–0.010:470.00–0.125:250.33–0.273:130.02–0.023:240.10–0.30
Zanon–Elliott1:390.54–0.141:430.16–0.021:030.06–0.000:340.00–0.001:510.00–0.220:480.11–0.001:490.16–0.003:440.61–0.333:000.17–0.000:390.00–0.42
Hunwick–Barrie0:480.00–0.01
Zanon–O'Byrne0:410.14–0.060:410.14–0.06
O'Byrne–Hejda0:340.00–0.03
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndPalushaj FStastny FJones FDuchene FMcGinn FParenteau FMitchell FHejduk FMcLeod FKobasew FOlver FBordeleau FO'Byrne DHunwick DHejda DBarrie DZanon DElliott DVarlamov GFisher FBourque FKostitsyn FErat FLegwand FWilson FSpaling FSmith FHalischuk FHornqvist FClune FGaustad FWeber DJosi DBlum DKlein DEllis DHannan DMason GRinne G
COLNSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Roman JosiNSH3025:450:521:5782
Shea WeberNSH3025:320:512:3982
Ryan O'ByrneCOL3323:200:421:1916
Tyson BarrieCOL2822:180:481:3735
Matt DucheneCOL3122:120:432:0248
Mike FisherNSH2921:360:451:1693
Martin EratNSH2621:090:491:5761
Jan HejdaCOL3021:030:421:4726
Paul StastnyCOL3320:010:361:08311
Jamie McGinnCOL2620:000:462:0241
Greg ZanonCOL2719:520:442:0214
David LegwandNSH2518:490:451:5711
David JonesCOL2818:200:391:1934
Colin WilsonNSH2318:070:471:4631
Patric HornqvistNSH2417:580:451:3971
Kevin KleinNSH2717:530:401:5743
Jonathon BlumNSH2317:490:461:2540
Matt HunwickCOL2717:400:391:1913
Sergei KostitsynNSH2717:330:391:0553
Ryan EllisNSH2517:330:421:2452
PA ParenteauCOL2217:280:481:1231
Gabriel BourqueNSH2316:360:431:5722
Milan HejdukCOL2216:310:451:2831
Craig SmithNSH2015:550:481:1690
Scott HannanNSH1915:150:481:2444
Aaron PalushajCOL2314:490:391:0833
John MitchellCOL2014:040:421:2111
Nick SpalingNSH2112:580:371:2443
Stefan ElliottCOL1612:550:482:0210
Cody McLeodCOL2012:250:371:2110
Matt HalischukNSH1410:040:431:2413
Chuck KobasewCOL179:070:321:2202
Rich CluneNSH158:080:330:5971
Mark OlverCOL85:150:391:2202
Patrick BordeleauCOL52:520:340:4501
Paul GaustadNSH20:580:290:4510